Djokovic with a clear win against Prizmic?
AO record title holder Novak Djokovic starts the Australian Open 2024 on Sunday. The Serb has already won the title in Melbourne ten times, making him the record holder at the AO. This year, the tournament starts for the ATP World No. 1 with a showdown against qualifier Dino Prizmic.
Djokovic is clearly favored against the youngster. Even for a Djokovic vs. Prizmic bet on the 3:0 of the world number one, odds of only 1.27 are offered.
Prizmic is still a blank slate on the big stage. The Croatian is taking part in the main round of a Grand Slam for the first time ever. However, the 18-year-old caused a sensation in the juniors last year and won the French Open 2023
In recent months, however, none of his opponents have been of the same caliber as Novak. It is therefore more than risky to predict that the youngster will win a set in Djokovic vs. However, his performances in the AO qualifiers should not be diminished by this
Novak Djokovic – statistics & current form
Novak Djokovic is on course for the next AO title. In his current career, the “Djoker” has already bagged 24 Grand Slam titles, making him the record title holder. The Serb has won ten of these 24 Grand Slams in Australia. The last time, mind you, was the Australian Open in 2023. Djokovic beat Tsitsipas 3:0 in the final of the last AO.
Novak is now aiming to win the next title this year. The Serb is one of the hottest candidates for the AO title. The first hurdle is Prizmic on Sunday. As the quotes from the best bookmakers show, Novak is the clear favorite. The only question is how high the “Djoker” will win against the up-and-coming youngster from Croatia.
Djokovic has not been eliminated in the first round of the Australian Open since 2006. This streak is likely to continue on Sunday. Especially as Novak’s record against players outside the top 100 confirms this assessment
Does Novak extend his record against players outside the top 100?
Over the course of the season, Novak has only lost once to a player outside the top 100 since 2018. Djokovic suffered that defeat at the 2022 ATP tournament in Dubai, losing the quarter-final duel against Vesely 2-0. It was his only defeat to a player outside the top 100 since 2018.
It is quite possible that this statistic will also be improved against Prizmic. The most recent bitter defeat was against Alex de Minaur in the United Cup 2024. Novak lost the match against the Australian 0:2 and was particularly disappointing with his weak return game. The world number one did not have a single break point over the course of two sets.
De Minaur played with a 97% winning rate on his own serve. Djokovic, on the other hand, “only” managed 70%. On his second serve, on the other hand, the Serb won only 44% of all points
Dino Prizmic – statistics & current form
Dino Prizmic makes his debut in the main draw of the AO 2024. The Croatian is taking part in the main draw of the Australian Open for the first time ever, and his first opponent is Djokovic of all people. After his confident qualification – three matches, three wins – the youngster has nothing to hide, especially as Prizmic has nothing to lose against a player like Novak.
After his 2:1 win against Navone in the first qualifying match of the AO 2024, Prizmic won the next two rounds against Ajdukovic and Dougaz without dropping a single set. The percentage on his own serve was particularly commendable. Prizmic was not broken in these two matches. There was only one break chance for his opponent.
It remains to be seen how the Croatian will now perform against the AO’s record title holder, as this is his first match against a player from the ATP’s top 10. Never before in his young professional career has Prizmic faced a top player like Djokovic.
Prizmic lacks the experience to keep up with Djokovic
In order to challenge the Serb, it is crucial for Prizmic to get through his own service games. Last year, the youngster won an average of 70.9% of points on his first serve. On the other hand, his return game could be improved. The 18-year-old only won 32.4% of the points after his opponent’s first serve
Novak Djokovic – Dino Prizmic tip
Djokovic has a “walkover”, so to speak, in the first round of the AO 2024. The Serb shouldn’t have too much trouble against an inexperienced player like Prizmic and should punch his ticket to the next round. In the best-of-five, the only question is how Novak will win the three sets for a 3:0 victory.
Prizmic’s results in the previous qualifying matches should not be overrated in view of the showdown against Novak. After all, none of his recent opponents have been anywhere near the caliber of the Serb
We are leaning towards a clear victory for the Serb and place our betting tip at odds of 1.44 on Djokovic vs. Prizmic at under 9.5 games in the first set. We bet five out of ten possible units on this. Alternatively, you can also consider betting on under 28.5 games in the entire match