Will the Nerazzurri bury Paris’ triple dream?
Who will win the title? This question will be answered on Saturday evening in Munich, when the Henkelpott will be contested for the second time in history in a French-Italian duel. In 1993, Olympique Marseille beat AC Milan 2-1 to become the only Ligue 1 representative to win the Champions League. According to the best bookmakers, however, the odds are now in favor of PSG against Inter Milan, with the Rouge-et-Bleu set to bring the coveted Henkelpott back to France for the first time in 22 years.
But: Inter Milan were not necessarily the favorites in the two previous rounds against Bayern and FC Barcelona. Nevertheless, the Nerazzurri kept the upper hand, partly thanks to their clinical finishing in front of goal. The Lombards have scored at least two goals in all six knockout games, which certainly influences our prediction for PSG vs. Inter Milan.
In the last six Champions League finals, only one team has scored in every game. There have also been fewer than 2.5 goals in every game. However, we don’t expect another such tactical game this year. Instead, it could be the most lively final in a long time. The omens are certainly favorable. While three-time Champions League winners Inter Milan have already scored 26 goals, equaling their club record from 2002/03 (also 26), Paris Saint-Germain have already scored 33 goals.
PSG vs. Inter Milan prediction AI
Basically, supercomputer BETSiE also sees value in our suggested tip that both teams will score. The AI calculates an expected goals value of 1.69 for Paris Saint-Germain and 1.04 for Inter Milan. However, the AI prediction for PSG against Inter Milan actually points to a different tip. BETSiE ultimately sees the greatest value in the Rouge-et-Bleu winning the title. The odds of 2.25 on the Parisiens, available at Winamax, where new customers can pick up a $10 free bet with our exclusive Winamax promo code, suggest a probability of 44.4 percent. BETSiE, on the other hand, rates the chances of PSG winning in regular time at 52.7 percent, which is significantly higher and promises a positive expected value.
PSG – Statistics & current form
Paris Saint-Germain has reached the Champions League final for the second time after 2020. After the Rouge-et-Bleu lost 1-0 to FC Bayern Munich back then, they are now hoping to finally win the coveted trophy. The Parisians would be only the second French club after Olympique Marseille (1993) to win the Champions League. At least their coach knows how to do it. In 2015, Luis Enrique triumphed with FC Barcelona over Juventus Turin (3-1).
A Champions League victory would be historic in many ways for the wealthy club from the Seine. Not only would it be their first European title since winning the European Cup Winners’ Cup in 1996, but the French side would also win the treble after winning the Ligue 1 title early and securing a comfortable 3-0 victory over Stade Reims in the Coupe de France final.
Will PSG finally win the trophy in their 168th Champions League game?
In any case, the betting odds for PSG against Inter Milan are very favorable for the Rouge-et-Bleu to win the title, which is also due to the fact that the Parisians have already scored 33 Champions League goals in the 2024/25 season. This has already led to ten wins, which is the highest number in the club’s history in a single Champions League season. Paris Saint-Germain has also never surpassed its 18.6 shots per game since records began.
This is also remarkable given that the era when PSG’s attack consisted of world stars such as Messi, Neymar, and Mbappé is over. However, it may be precisely the fact that the club from the Seine is no longer a collection of talented individuals and solo entertainers, but has grown into a real team, that is the decisive factor in helping the team finally win its first title in its 168th Champions League game. Only Arsenal (211), Dynamo Kiev (185) and Atlético Madrid (175) have played more games without ever winning this competition.
Inter Milan – Statistics & current form
Inter Milan already knows what it’s like to win the Champions League. The Nerazzurri have reached the final six times and won the title three times (1964, 1965 and 2010). However, the Lombards last lost in the final two years ago, going down 1-0 to Manchester City. Back then, the Biscione’s coach was Simone Inzaghi, who could now become the ninth coach in history to lose two or more finals in the Champions League.
However, his team has a wealth of experience. Players aged 30 or over account for 43.3 percent of all Inter’s minutes played in the 2024/25 Champions League. Defensive stalwart Francesco Acerbi, who scored the equalizer in stoppage time against FC Barcelona in the semifinals, could even become the fourth-oldest field player ever to appear in a Champions League final at 37 years and 110 days.
Inter Milan struck back quickly after falling behind
In addition to their wealth of experience, two other factors also favor the Beneamata. First, Inter know exactly where the opponent’s goal is, as evidenced by the 26 goals they have already scored in the Champions League. In all six knockout games they have played, the Nerazzurri have scored at least two goals, with star striker Lautaro Martínez finding the net in the round of 16, the quarter-finals and the semi-finals.
Secondly, the Lombards have always been able to come back from behind. In fact, the Biscione have only trailed in three Champions League games. Against Bayer Leverkusen, they conceded the only goal of the season in December (0-1) after 285 seconds, against Bayern they equalized after 370 seconds in April, and against Barcelona they did the same after 343 seconds in May. The Nerazzurri were behind in just 1.2 percent of the total playing time in the Champions League, which is why it is quite surprising that VBET is offering odds of 3.47 for a Biscione victory against PSG. With the VBET bonus, in addition to a 100% bonus up to €100, you could also get a €5 free bet, which could be used to place the supposed underdog bet risk-free.
PSG – Inter Milan Head-to-head comparison / H2H record
Head to head: 0 – 0 – 0
There has never been an international competitive match between these two clubs before. Consequently, there is no head-to-head data available that could influence the prediction for PSG vs. Inter Milan.
PSG – Inter Milan Tip
While the bookmakers and supercomputer BETSiE favor the Rouge-et-Bleu, we would definitely not write off the Nerazzurri, given their proven comeback qualities. Although very risky, it is therefore not uninteresting to predict that there will be no winner after 90 minutes in PSG vs. Inter Milan and that the match will go into extra time, for which the ODDSET app is offering odds of 3.40. When asked “Who will win after 120 minutes?”, the Italians, who have already defeated FC Barcelona in extra time, are likely to have the upper hand, especially as European finals have rarely been a happy hunting ground for French clubs.
We expect a hard-fought final in which nuances could make the difference in the end, which is why we are avoiding the question “Who will win the Champions League in 2025?” by betting that both teams will score. After all, both teams have offensive firepower and comeback qualities.
