Italian mega duel in round two
Italian sport is in the valley of tears. The Squadra Azzura have already bid farewell to UEFA EURO 2024 in Germany after a very modest performance. Reason enough for the Tifosi to turn their attention to tennis at an early stage. There will definitely be a sense of achievement on Wednesday, as our Jannik Sinner vs Matteo Berrettini betting tip shows that at least one Italian will make it through to the next round of Wimbledon
Italian sports fans are still eagerly waiting for someone from their ranks to finally triumph at the world’s most important tennis tournament. Three years ago, it was almost time. Matteo Berrettini at least made it to the final, but ultimately lost to Novak Djokovic in four sets after taking the lead. It remains to be seen whether the 28-year-old can come as close to his success at Wimbledon again.
In Jannik Sinner, however, the Italians have an even hotter iron in the fire anyway. The world number one could perhaps achieve something historic for his country this year. According to the rankings, the South Tyrolean is currently the best tennis player in the world, which is why the 22-year-old is predicted to win the match between Jannik Sinner and Matteo Berrettini.
The odds also speak for themselves. Even using a Bet-at-Home voucher, we see no real value in the odds on a victory for the world number one. In any case, we can imagine that this match will be closer than the favorites would like. Nevertheless, we believe that Jannik Sinner will advance to the third round
Jannik Sinner – Statistics & current form
Current world ranking position: 1
Position in the seeding list: 1
Neither defending champion Carlos Alcaraz nor seven-time Wimbledon winner Novak Djokovic is considered the top favorite to triumph at Church Road by all bookmakers. Jannik Sinner is the most highly rated. This is due to a great step in his development and his recent good results on grass
Sinner with four tournament wins in 2024
This year, the Italian has already triumphed at the Australian Open, in Rotterdam and at the Masters in Miami. He then reached the semi-finals of the French Open before winning his first title on grass at his only preparatory tournament on grass in Halle, Westphalia. His record for the year is simply outstanding with 38-3 victories.
He has lost twice this season to Carlos Alcaraz and once to Stefanos Tsitsipas. His Italian compatriot is unlikely to have the qualities of the two aforementioned players at the moment, which is why we can’t help but take a closer look at the odds on a win for the world number one in the match between Jannik Sinner and Matteo Berrettini.
Although not everything went smoothly in the opening match at Wimbledon on Monday, Jannik Sinner prevailed against Yannick Hanfmann 6:3, 6:4, 3:6 and 6:3 despite a slight weak phase in the third set. After exactly three hours, the Italian converted his second match point. This means that Jannik Sinner now has six grass court victories in a row to his name and that’s not the end of the story on Wednesday
Matteo Berrettini – statistics & current form
Current world ranking: 59
Position in the seeding list: unseeded
Matteo Berrettini was the great hope of Italian tennis. For a long time, he lived up to the expectations of the tifosi and was ranked sixth in the ATP rankings after the 2022 Australian Open. Last year, however, a long period of suffering began from which the Roman still doesn’t seem to have really recovered
New momentum after a long break
Due to a long-term foot injury, Matteo Berrettini had to end last season after the US Open. He was on court sporadically in 2024. However, his record of 14:5 wins in 2024 is certainly impressive. It was bitter that he missed almost the entire clay court season with the European Masters tournaments and the French Open.
However, the 28-year-old wants to get back on the attack at Wimbledon and even made it to the final in Stuttgart, where the Italian was beaten by Jack Draper. In Halle, he then had to call it a day in round two. In any case, the former Wimbledon finalist has shown that he can play very good and successful tennis on grass and could potentially be a stumbling block for his compatriot.
However, it remains to be seen what physical condition he will be in. During his four-set victory over Hungary’s Marton Fucsovics in the first round, the Italian had to be treated for back problems for around 15 minutes. This is at least not good news for predicting a victory for the slightly older Italian between Jannik Sinner and Matteo Berrettini
Jannik Sinner – Matteo Berrettini head-to-head comparison / H2H result
Jannik Sinner and Matteo Berrettini are not only Italian compatriots, but are also reasonably good friends. When the Italians won the Davis Cup last year, the two celebrated together, even though Berrettini was not part of the team due to injury. But every now and then you have to forget your friendship, namely when you play against each other on the court.
However, this has only happened once before. In 2023, this duel took place in the second round of the Masters in Toronto, Canada. Jannik Sinner retained the upper hand relatively clearly at 6:4 and 6:3 and converted his first match point after a good hour and a half
Jannik Sinner – Matteo Berrettini tip
It is a double-edged sword for Italian tennis fans that their two idols Jannik Sinner and Matteo Berrettini are already meeting in the second round of Wimbledon. It would have been better if it had been the quarter-finals or even the semi-finals. On the one hand, one of the Italian heroes will be eliminated, but on the other hand, one of them is sure to go through to the third round.
There is little doubt that it will be Jannik Sinner. The Bwin app offers odds of just 1.20 on a win for the world number one. That is too little to find any value there. We also think that the victory will go to the Halle champion, but we think that you can bet on more than 3.5 sets in the match between Jannik Sinner and Matteo Berrettini
We can imagine that things will go the same way for Jannik Sinner as they did in round one against Yannick Hanfmann. The world number one will largely dominate the match, but will also have a weaker round, so we could understand a bet on a 3:1. However, we have decided to play the odds on more than 3.5 sets between Jannik Sinner and Matteo Berrettini