Will Rublev surprise again against his compatriot?
The Russian duel already took place last year at the ATP Finals. Back then, the two professionals also met in the group stage and Rublev won in three sets. Which Medvedev vs Rublev betting tip does the betting pool have now?
Despite his success in the last edition of the tournament, the latter Muscovite goes into the match as the underdog. Medvedev qualified for the tournament as the third-best player after Djokovic and Alcaraz. Even if he can’t quite match the two top players mentioned, there is a huge gap between the former world number 1 from the previous year and the following qualified professionals
This season, he has collected around 1700 points more than South Tyrolean Jannik Sinner, who is fourth in the annual rankings. There is not such a big difference between any of the top eight in the annual standings
For the match in the “Red Group” between Daniil Medvedev and Andrey Rublev, the prediction is nevertheless for a victory for the underdog.
Daniil Medvedev – statistics & current form
The Russian can look back on a successful 2023: the Muscovite won no fewer than five tournaments. The professional, who is coached by Gilles Cervara, won in Rotterdam, for example, and also claimed two Masters victories in Miami and Rome.
On the other hand, his performances in the first half of the season were clearly better. He won all five tournaments in 2023 between February and May. The 27-year-old then showed a slight downturn in form.
Although he reached the final three times in the last two months, including at the US Open, he did not win another title. He also messed up his dress rehearsal for the ATP Finals. The right-hander was knocked out of the Paris Masters the week before last right at the start against the Bulgarian and eventual finalist Grigor Dimitrov
Does Medvedev lose the first set again?
It was also the second match in a row in which he had difficulties getting into the match. This can be seen from the fact that he lost the first set each time. With this in mind, it’s also worth predicting that Medvedev’s Russian compatriot, who is now much stronger, will win the first set again in his duel against Rublev
Andrey Rublev – statistics & current form
The number 5 in the world rankings made further gains towards the end of the season. In October and November, Rublev played 14 matches and only lost three times. He also reached the final at the Masters in Shanghai and the semi-finals in both Vienna and Paris.
His last appearance at the Masters on the Seine was particularly impressive: Although he had to concede defeat to the eventual winner Novak Djokovic in three sets, it was the toughest match in the entire tournament for the “Djoker” and a long ordeal to a narrow victory.
The Russian is also a complete player who is equally at home on clay, having already won four ATP tournaments, but he is particularly successful on hard court. He has won nine of his 14 tournaments on this surface and this is especially true of the Indoors. Six tournament victories can be found on his CV in this area
Rublev is a regular at the ATP Finals
He also performed strongly at last year’s finals. He made it through the group stage and only had to admit defeat in the semi-finals after losing to the Norwegian Ruud. The fact that he is competing at the ATP Finals for the fourth time in a row shows just how firmly established his position at the top of world tennis has become.
In view of this and his strong form, betting tips and odds on a tie-break are also worth considering for the clash between Daniil Medvedev and Andrey Rublev. A close match is to be expected, which is why at least one round will probably only be decided in this form. The prediction is supported by the duel at last year’s finals, which Rublev won and when two sets were only decided in a tie-break
Daniil Medvedev – Andrey Rublev Direct comparison / H2H result
The duel took place nine times and Rublev only twice recorded a win against Medvedev, who topped the world rankings for 16 weeks last year,
Daniil Medvedev – Andrey Rublev betting tip
Medvedev has already left a big mark at the ATP Finals: In 2020, the world number 3 won the tournament and the following year he reached the final again, but was beaten by Alexander Zverev.
Nevertheless, the prediction for the match between Daniil Medvedev and Andrey Rublev is that his compatriot will win. The latter has been very stable in recent weeks and has only lost three of his last 14 matches
In addition, he beat Medvedev in the group stage at the last ATP Finals and his most recent performance against Novak Djokovic once again demonstrated his strong form. Only after three sets did the “Djoker” defeat him with great difficulty in the semi-finals of the Paris Masters.
As he himself had the world number 1 on the brink of defeat, Rublev should now prevail against the recently shaky Medvedev, even if the bookies rate him as the underdog