In Group D of the 2025 Club World Cup, Esperance de Tunis and Chelsea face off in Philadelphia in a do-or-die match. Both teams need three points to advance to the knockout stage. In this high-tension scenario, we analyze the key points of the match, the most interesting odds, and the markets worth focusing on.
After two intense and hard-fought rounds, both clubs are tied with three points. Chelsea started with a comeback win over LAFC but then collapsed 3-1 against Flamengo. Esperance, on the other hand, reignited their hopes with a precious 1-0 win over LAFC, thanks to a goal from Youcef Belaïli and a decisive penalty save by Bechir Ben Said.
With Flamengo already assured of first place, the stakes are high: the winner qualifies for the next round, while a draw will see Chelsea through on goal difference.
Tips for Esperance de Tunis – Chelsea, Wednesday 25 June at 3:00 a.m.
Chelsea to win – 1.30 at bet365, 1.30 at Sisal, 1.30 at GoldBet
Under 2.5 goals – 2.10 at bet365, 2.20 at Sisal, 2.10 at GoldBet
Caicedo to make at least two tackles – 1.44 on bet365, not available on Sisal and GoldBet
Odds courtesy of bet365, Sisal and GoldBet. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Chelsea to win
Chelsea are considered the favorites in this decisive clash, with the Blues’ victory priced at 1.30 on bet365, Sisal, and GoldBet. Despite their recent defeat against Flamengo, the London side are in good form, winning nine of their last eleven games in all competitions.
Esperance de Tunis will be without their key player Youcef Belaïli, who is suspended, and this significantly reduces the North African team’s attacking potential. Chelsea, with their superior squad, should be able to control the game without too many risks.
With qualification at stake and talents such as Cole Palmer and Enzo Fernández on the pitch, we expect the Blues to dictate the pace and take all three points.
Tip: Chelsea to win – odds 1.30 at bet365, 1.30 at Sisal, 1.30 at GoldBet
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Chelsea beats Espérance de Tunis.
Less than 3 goals
Although Chelsea are the favorites, we expect a tight game with few goals. Espérance de Tunis have conceded an average of only 0.73 goals per game in the Tunisian league this season, and their games tend to be very tight: 57% of their Ligue 1 matches have seen fewer than 2.5 goals.
Chelsea have also adopted a pragmatic approach in knockout games, focusing on controlling the game and minimizing risks. Their 2-0 win against LAFC was under 2.5 goals, and in a game with such high stakes, both teams are likely to prioritize defensive solidity.
The Blues have kept a clean sheet in four of their last seven games, while only three of Espérance’s last eleven games in the Club World Cup have seen both teams score. The pressure of a must-win game for both sides could lead to a more cautious approach. In this context, Under 2.5 goals at 2.10 on bet365 represents great value.
Tip: Under 2.5 – priced at 2.10 on bet365, 2.20 on Sisal, 2.10 on GoldBet
Betting explanation: This bet wins if fewer than three goals are scored in the match between Chelsea and Esperance de Tunis.
Caicedo will make his presence felt in midfield
Moisés Caicedo’s defensive abilities are well known: the Chelsea midfielder is consistently among the best ball winners in the Premier League. In the 2024/25 season, he recorded an impressive average of 3 tackles per game, confirming his central role in breaking up play.
Playing as a defensive midfielder in front of the defense, Caicedo is tasked with breaking up the opposition’s play and providing cover for the back line. Multiple tackles are a constant feature of his performances.
He also confirmed his impact in the first two games of the Club World Cup: 5 tackles against LAFC and 4 against Flamengo, numbers that make him one of the key players when his team is not in possession. With Esperance de Tunis looking to up the tempo in midfield, we expect Caicedo to once again be a key player in the tackles. The “2 or more tackles” bet at 1.44 on Bet365 looks like a good option.
Tip: Moisés Caicedo to make at least two tackles – 1.44 on bet365, not available on Sisal and GoldBet
Explanation of the bet: this bet wins if Moisés Caicedo makes at least two tackles against Esperance de Tunis.
Chelsea – Esperance de Tunis odds
Esperance de Tunis to win – 9.00 on bet365, 11.00 on Sisal, 9.00 on GoldBet
Draw – 5.50 on bet365, 5.50 on Sisal, 5.25 on GoldBet
Chelsea to win – odds of 1.30 on bet365, 1.30 on Sisal, 1.30 on GoldBet
The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.
Discover the best bonuses for betting on the Club World Cup
The 2025 Club World Cup offers you an excellent opportunity to place your bets. On Flashscore, you will find everything you need, with an updated selection of the main promotions and active bonus codes, useful for optimizing your bets with the offers proposed by the leading bookmakers.
