Zverev with a clear win against Carballes Baena?
Alexander Zverev starts the grass court classic at Wimbledon with a first-round match against Roberto Carballes Baena. As the Carballes Baena vs Zverev betting odds for a bet on the German tennis pro show, the bookmakers have clearly assigned the role of favorite. Meanwhile, only Wimbledon odds under the 1.10 mark are on offer for a win for the world number four!
This will be the 27-year-old Zverev’s eighth appearance at the Grand Slam on the (initially still) lush green. In Wimbledon, the best result in his long career was reaching the fourth round. It therefore remains to be seen when Zverev will fail this time in London
Carballes Baena comes in handy as an opponent on grass. The Spaniard has only reached the second round of the classic once in his entire career. It would therefore be all the more surprising if a prediction on the underdog pays off in Carballes Baena vs. Zverev
Roberto Carballes Baena – Statistics & current form
Roberto Carballes Baena has already started the grass court season in Mallorca. After his second-round exit against Novak Djokovic at the French Open, the Spanish tennis pro took a one-month break from the game. The 64th-ranked player in the world only resumed play at the aforementioned grass court tournament on the Balearic Islands.
After defeating his compatriot Carreno-Busta 2:1 in the first round, he then lost 2:0 to Gael Monfils in the following round. Although the 31-year-old won 77% of his points on his first serve, he had no chance against the Frenchman.
It remains difficult to assess how Carballes Baena will now perform against Zverev, as the Spaniard is still largely a blank slate at Wimbledon. In addition, the head-2-head also speaks against a Carballes Baena vs. Zverev prediction in favor of the underdog
Weak record against players from the top 10
The weak record of Roberto Carballes Baena in tennis duels against the ATP’s top 10 also speaks against a prediction in favor of the Spanish underdog. In a total of 14 matches in his entire career, the Spaniard has only won once against a player from the absolute top of the world rankings. This victory came in August 2023 against Holger Rune at the US Open.
Carballes Baena is therefore also doomed to fail against Zverev. Particularly after his disappointing results in recent months. Since reaching the final at the ATP tournament in Marrakech almost three months ago, the world number 64 has recorded a record of 7-7. He has also suffered defeats against players like Shang (1:2), who is ranked below the Spaniard.
If you still fancy a coup, you can pick up double-digit odds for a Carballes Baena vs Zverev bet on the Spaniard. However, betting on this is associated with a lot of risk:
Alexander Zverev – Statistics & current form
Alexander Zverev was defeated by Hubert Hurkacz in Halle. The German tennis hopeful lost out to the world number seven from Poland in two sets and lost a respectable match 0:2, with Hurkacz hitting 17 aces in the entire match. Nevertheless, Zverev had the better percentage of points on his first serve.
If the momentum is carried forward, the 27-year-old can be expected to do well at Wimbledon 2024. The quality is there in Zverev’s game, even if the transition from clay to grass court is not easy. Just under a month ago, the world number four was still in the final of the French Open 2024. Zverev lost there in five sets to Alcaraz and thus missed out on his first title win at a Grand Slam. The 27-year-old can be expected to do just as well at Wimbledon, especially as Zverev had a doable half of the tournament
Will Zverev win in three sets?
Given how well Alexander Zverev played in Halle, the world number four shouldn’t have too much trouble in the first round at Wimbledon. The only question is how clearly Zverev will win the match against Carballes Baena. If the French Open finalist gets off to a good start, it stands to reason that the match will end in three sets.
Throughout his career, Zverev has won 70% of all grass court matches against players ranked lower than the German tennis pro in the ATP rankings. It is quite possible that this rate will be extended against his upcoming opponent from Spain. Zverev has won an average of 77.2% of all points on grass court in his entire career on his first serve – a good omen ahead of the first round duel against Roberto Carballes Baena?
Roberto Carballes Baena – Alexander Zverev head-to-head / H2H record
Until now, the two players have only met once. In their first meeting in April 2023, Zverev beat Carballes Baena in three sets to book his place in the last 32 of the ATP clay court tournament in Madrid
Roberto Carballes Baena – Alexander Zverev betting tip
Alexander Zverev starts Wimbledon 2024 with a broad chest. The world number four has impressed at the Grand Slams this year. After reaching the semi-finals of the AO 2024 in Australia, he even made it to the final in France at the French Open 2024. Zverev only lost to Alcaraz there in five sets.
The German tennis pro can now be expected to do just as well in the grass court classic in London. Zverev was already convincing on grass in Halle – even though he had to cope with a bitter defeat against Hurkacz there. However, the switch from clay to grass court was a success, as Zverev’s recent performances have shown
We expect a clear victory for Alexander Zverev. The German tennis hopeful should have no trouble against a clay court player like Carballes Baena and bag a win in three sets. We are not ruling out a tie-break. Our Carballes Baena vs Zverev betting tip is for at least one tiebreak in the match. Odds are available at Bet365. We are betting five units
