Is the twilight of the gods approaching for the galactics?

If you search the internet for the term “La Remontada”, which translated into English and applied to sports means something like comeback or catch-up, you will immediately find various news articles dating back to 2017. After a 4-0 defeat at Paris St. Germain, FC Barcelona caused one of the greatest sensations in football history in the last sixteen of the Champions League by winning the second leg 6-1 and still advancing to the quarter-finals.

Real Madrid also need a “remontada” on Wednesday evening to continue dreaming of defending the title in the premier class. However, the betting odds on Real Madrid and Arsenal are not looking good for the Whites to advance.

The Gunners deservedly won the first leg in London 3-0, opening the door wide to the semi-finals themselves. So even if a prediction of a home win by two goals should come true in Real Madrid’s second leg against Arsenal, the English team would book their ticket to the semi-finals. However, after the latest impressions, the question must be allowed as to whether the Madrilenians are not still being hugely overestimated. Against the background of the additional side issues that have popped up, the chances of eliminating the most successful football club in the world have rarely been better.

The betting providers with Paysafecard are of a similar opinion in this respect and are offering odds of up to 1.15 before the second match between Real Madrid and Arsenal, that the runner-up in the Premier League will bring the comfortable lead over time and advance to the semi-finals. In the three-way market, on the other hand, the role of favorites lies quite clearly with the team of coach Carlo Ancelotti, who will enter this duel in a weakened state and will probably have to vacate his post in the Spanish capital by the summer at the latest.

Real Madrid vs. Arsenal prediction AI

If you ask the AI about the top favorites for the CL, the betting base supercomputer “BETSiE” spits out Paris St. Germain. However, Arsenal FC is lurking right behind them, with a 28.4% chance of lifting the trophy for the first time, according to the artificial intelligence.

Even in the second leg at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, “BETSiE” does not see the English top club as having no chance at all. While the home win is only estimated to have a 47.5% chance, a draw and an Arsenal away win even combine for 52.5%. Since Merkur Bets offers a strong 2.11 for this, the Real Madrid vs. Arsenal AI forecast on the double chance X2 brings with it an extremely appealing value.

Real Madrid – Statistics & current form

What is going on with Real Madrid? This question is being asked a lot in these days and weeks and refers to the fact that the footballing magic of the most successful football club in Europe over the last few decades has faded. Although last year’s CL winner added Kylian Mbappé, a superstar, there is currently no indication that the Spaniards will be able to defend their title.

This can be explained, among other things, by the fact that the majority of the key players are lagging behind their best form and that injury-related absences also repeatedly hamper successful work. In addition, there are heated discussions about the polarizing personalities of Vinicius Jr. and coach Carlo Ancelotti, whose futures at the “Blancos” are more than just on the line. To make matters worse, Kylian Mbappé made a momentous mistake at the weekend when he kicked an opponent rudely against the calf during the narrow 1-0 victory at relegation candidates Alaves and was rightly sent off with a red card.

Real Madrid’s defense lacks royal traits

Since a certain feeling of disappointment cannot be denied and the Madrilenians were well served thanks to outstanding saves from Thibaut Courtois in the English capital a week ago, I am a little surprised that the betting odds for Real Madrid’s home win against Arsenal are only 1.68 before the second leg on Wednesday evening.

While you should never count out the hosts, who have been finding almost mystical ways to win football matches for years, I still think the odds on the double chance X2 offer much more value.

Looking back over the last ten competitive games, the Whites have only kept their white record once. Before the aforementioned 1-0 win at Alaves, they conceded eleven (!) goals in four games, including three in the first leg, two in the home defeat to Valencia and four in the Copa del Rey semi-final second leg at home to Real Sociedad.

I think it is rather unlikely that the current second-placed team in La Liga can now keep a clean sheet against the Gunners in the second leg. Instead, it is conceivable that the English team could take advantage of the spaces that arise when Real play aggressively and possibly even take a 1-0 lead. If they do, the dream of a 16th triumph in the premier class would probably be over. At the same time, it would only be the second time that the star ensemble from Madrid has been eliminated in the 16th CL knockout second leg since 2016 that the industry leader has been allowed to play at home!

Arsenal – Statistics & current form

Arsenal have had an outstanding Champions League season so far. The Gunners were already convincing in the group stage, with six wins, one draw and only one defeat. In the round of 16, Mikel Arteta’s team also left PSV Eindhoven no chance. After ten CL matches, Arsenal have scored 28 goals and conceded just six. The average xG value (2.55) and the xGA value (0.55) mean second place in the premier class ranking! The Londoners have therefore rightly risen to become title contenders.

Arsenal has what it takes to beat Real a second time

That was also evident in the first leg, when the gunners created chances galore but remained very stable defensively. In the end, two spectacular free-kicks from Declan Rice and a well-placed shot from Mikel Merino secured the 3-0 win.

If Arteta’s team can build on their focused performance in their own stadium on Wednesday evening, a prediction for an away win between Real Madrid and Arsenal can be considered. For the Asian handicap (0 AHC), which guarantees a refund of the stake in the event of a draw, you can find a strong 3.55 top offer at Bet365.

The fact is that the starting position naturally plays into the hands of the English. Traditionally, the PL runner-up has a good defense that can use its physicality to stand up to the speedster in the Real offense. Especially when Saliba, Lewis-Skelly, Timber and Co. can even sit a little deeper and leave little space behind them. Up front, Saka, conductor Odegaard or Martinelli have the quality to finish counter-attacks anyway. In midfield, players like Rice or Partey are physically superior to their counterparts in white.

The right matchup, combined with the comfortable cushion at the back, makes the mission perfectly feasible for the supposed underdog. In the end, I wouldn’t be surprised if Arsenal, after scoring 14 goals in their last three CL appearances, also leave the pitch as winners for the fourth time in a row in a game played away from home. On the three-way market, odds of up to 5.00 can even be found in the Bet365 app before the Real Madrid-Arsenal clash.

Real Madrid – Arsenal Head to head / H2H record

Not many club teams in Europe can claim that they have never lost a competitive game against Real Madrid. However, Arsenal Football Club is one of them. In three meetings in the European Cup, the Gunners have two wins and a draw to their credit. Also interesting: in all three encounters, the Londoners kept a clean sheet. No club has managed four consecutive CL matches including a clean sheet against the industry leader from the Spanish capital!

Real Madrid – Arsenal Tip

Real Madrid have played against English clubs 53 times in the Champions League and the European Champions Clubs’ Cup. Only twice have “Los Blancos” won by more than three goals, the last time being in 2010/11 in the quarter-finals against Tottenham (4-0). On Wednesday night, after the 3-0 defeat at home a week ago, they will need to win again by at least three goals. However, neither the current form nor the fact that their opponent is in the best possible position in terms of the matchup should encourage the galacticos, who should never be underestimated.

However, I believe that the Götterdämmerung will take place in this quarter-final second leg and that Ancelotti’s underperforming team will once again be shown their limits to some extent. My Real Madrid vs. Arsenal betting tip is therefore that the English will score the first goal of the game at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu.