Will Sascha confidently walk into the round of 16?
With two completely smooth 3-0 victories, the German superstar Alexander Zverev has so far lived up to the role of co-favorite, which he is also playing in the Australian Open 2025 winner prediction, in great form. The man from Hamburg could now advance to the round of 16 in no time at all if the tip that the world number two will win against Jacob Fearnley against Alexander Zverev comes true, which seems very likely overall.
After all, the 23-year-old Scot Sascha is now facing is still a completely unknown quantity. The 23-year-old is currently taking part in a men’s singles at a Grand Slam tournament for the first time in his career, but has won both of his matches at the Australian Open so far. Among other things, he beat the well-known local hero Nick Kyrgios 3-0, which Jacob Fearnley against Alexander Zverev must certainly take into account in the prediction.
Although no individual games have yet taken place between the Scotsman and the Germans that could be included in the evaluation of this supposedly unequal duel in the third round of the Australian Open, the German superstar is clearly ahead in practically all relevant performance data, which is why we also assume that the Hamburg native will approach the game very seriously and similarly confidently book his ticket for the round of 16.
In principle, the possibility of a tiebreak is now somewhat more likely, but we still expect there to be a maximum of 33 games in the end. Alternatively, you can bet directly on a 3-0 win for the German via the handy Interwetten app.
Jacob Fearnley – Statistics & current form
Current world ranking: 92
Seed: unseeded
23-year-old Scotsman Jacob Fearnley came to the 2025 Australian Open from nowhere. He only took part in the boys’ singles at a Grand Slam tournament three times during his junior career. The highlight of his career was reaching the Wimbledon quarterfinals – in the doubles, no less.
The man from Edinburgh has also achieved practically nothing on the ATP Tour so far. So far in 2025, he has only competed in one ATP Challenger Tour tournament, where he lost 2-0 to Joao Fonseca (ATP 145) in the semi-finals in Canberra.
Jacob Fearnley has won both of his previous Grand Slam matches.
By reaching the top 100 in the ATP world rankings for the first time, the Briton nevertheless secured the right to play in the men’s singles at a Grand Slam for the first time in his career. He definitely took advantage of this huge opportunity.
After an unexpected 3-0 opening victory against the out-of-ranking tennis enfant terrible Nick Kyrgios, he then followed up a 0-1 deficit in the second round with a 3-1 victory against Arthur Cazaux (ATP 78), who had previously eliminated the number 28 seed with Sebastian Báez. This brings young Jacob Fearnley to a 100 percent win rate in Grand Slam tournaments.
Jacob Fearnley needs an improvement in performance
Nevertheless, the odds in all forms against Alexander Zverev speak against the Scotsman in Jacob Fearnley’s favor. Bet365 offers odds of 9.00 for his victory, which would also be the first victory ever in his career against a reigning top 10 player. New customers can also get their hands on up to €100 in betting credits with the Bet365 bonus.
But if he is to pull off the sensation, the 23-year-old needs to improve his performance in many respects. Against the Frenchman Arthur Cazaux, the Brit made a whopping 40 unforced errors, which he was only able to counter with 30 winners. That might be a little too many mistakes to take on the crème de la crème of the ATP Tour…
Alexander Zverev – Statistics & current form
Current world ranking: 2
Seed: 2
27-year-old German Alexander Zverev has achieved almost everything in his career. He was crowned unofficial world champion at the end of two years (2018 and 2021). He also won gold at the 2021 Olympic Games in Tokyo.
However, the Hamburg native, who has already won seven Masters tournaments, still has two major goals: to become the world number one and finally win the Grand Slam, which he was denied in the 2020 US Open final and the 2024 French Open final.
Is Alexander Zverev reaching for the stars in Melbourne?
Melbourne has certainly been a good place for Sascha in the past, who has already won 27 of 36 singles matches at the hard-court Grand Slam in Down Under. It’s a strong record that he would naturally like to build on now.
The draw is quite promising. If the tip for Jacob Fearnley against Alexander Zverev to make it into the next round pays off, he would face either Ugo Humbert or his compatriot Arthur Fils. Although two players from the seed list, but two opponents who definitely deserve the label “doable”.
Alexander Zverev with flawless service so far
Once again, the almost unbreakable serve should ensure that Alexander Zverev does not have to spend too long on court in the third round either. So far, he has not lost a single service game in either of his two previous matches.
The 27-year-old hit an impressive eight aces against the Spaniard Pedro Martínez and directly scored with his first serve in 76 percent of all cases. No less impressive: the 63 percent of points won with the second serve. With 34 winners and 22 unforced errors, little should go wrong against the inexperienced Scot, provided Sascha gets comparable performance data again.
Jacob Fearnley – Alexander Zverev Direct comparison / H2H record
Head to head: 0:0
So far, not a single ranked singles match has taken place between the two athletes, who will now face each other for the first time in the third round of the Australian Open. Consequently, there is no “head to head” data that could in any way affect our prediction in Jacob Fearnley v Alexander Zverev.
Jacob Fearnley – Alexander Zverev Tip
In Jacob Fearnley vs. Alexander Zverev, the odds of the best bookmakers are clearly and unequivocally in favor of the world number two, who started from second seed in Melbourne Park and has not let anything slip with two sovereign and unchallenged 3-0 victories. Nevertheless, the situation is difficult for the clear favorite, who now faces an unknown quantity that, of course, has nothing to lose after two unexpected victories at the hard-court Grand Slam in Down Under.
Nevertheless, we expect Sascha not to falter and to win another sovereign 3-0 victory. Although the danger of a tiebreak is now considered to be somewhat greater, betting on the decision being made in a maximum of 33 games still makes a lot of sense.
Jacob Fearnley is priced at 1.75 to beat Alexander Zverev, with three out of ten units available at Tipwin.
