Will the Spaniard stop the new world number one?
With the Spaniard, the new top favorite in the French Open 2024 Overall Winner Prediction now meets the future world number one. The fact that Novak Djokovic had to withdraw due to injury means that Jannik Sinner is guaranteed to overtake the Serb by reaching the semi-finals
Of course, the South Tyrolean would love to crown this milestone with his second Grand Slam title after the 2024 Australian Open. To do so, however, he must now defeat an opponent who has won 16 of 19 singles matches at Roland Garros in a kind of early final. Looking at the oddsmakers’ quotes, the forecast for Carlos Alcaraz against Jannik Sinner is generally leaning towards the Spaniard
For the frenetic crowd in the Stade Roland Garros, this direct duel between two title contenders is associated with the hope of a long, intense and hard-fought match. In principle, we would also recommend betting on over 36.5 games before the European Championship 2024 Group B match on the 20th
Excluding a five-year-old duel between the two players on the ATP Challenger Tour, the only relevant clay court duel between the two athletes in 2022 went to Jannik Sinner 2:1 (6:7, 6:1 and 6:1) in the final of the ATP Umag, which is why we recommend betting on a handicap of +1.5 sets on the player from Sesto as an exciting betting alternative. Odds of 1.70 are available for this at Bwin, where there is also an interesting special offer for the French Open at the moment.
Carlos Alcaraz – Statistics & current form
Current position in the world rankings: 3
Position in the seeding list: 3
The 21-year-old Spaniard Carlos Alcaraz has already won 13 singles titles on the ATP Tour at a very young age – not counting his success at the Next Generation ATP Finals 2021.
In addition to five titles at Masters tournaments, “Carlito” has also already lifted his first two Grand Slam trophies. He won the US Open in 2022 and the Wimbledon Championships in 2023. Now he needs two more wins before he can also tick Roland Garros off his list
A year ago, Carlos Alcaraz missed out on the final
The player from El Palmar, Murcia, has a strong French Open record. The 21-year-old has already won 16 of 19 singles matches played on the red clay of Paris. A year ago, the world number three also reached the semi-finals of the French Open, where he was beaten 3-1 by Novak Djokovic.
This year, the Djoker, who had to throw in the towel without a fight after reaching the quarter-finals due to a torn medial meniscus in his right knee, will certainly not be able to end “Carlito’s” run. As a result, the Spaniard is now the odds-on favorite to win the tournament
Carlos Alcaraz with a strong record against top 10 players
In Carlos Alcaraz’s match against Jannik Sinner, the bookmakers’ odds are rightly pointing towards the 21-year-old, who recently rolled over Stefanos Tsitsipas (ATP 9) very impressively 3:0 (6:3, 7:6 and 6:4).
The young Spaniard, who has little respect for big names, recorded his 27th win in his 43rd duel with a reigning top 10 player. That corresponds to an incredibly strong win rate of 62.8 percent against opponents from the current top 10 of the ATP world rankings
Jannik Sinner – Statistics & current form
Current position in the world rankings: 2
Position in the seeding list: 2
Although the 22-year-old Italian Jannik Sinner, who was born in the autonomous province of South Tyrol, is still officially ranked second in the ATP world rankings, he will in any case become the 29th player in history to become the new world number one on Monday following Novak Djokovic’s withdrawal due to injury.
The man from Sesto will thus succeed Novak Djokovic, who will then be replaced as world number one for the time being after a total of 428 weeks in his career. However, if Jannik Sinner were to reach this milestone after losing in the semi-finals or even the final, it would probably be associated with rather mixed feelings
Jannik Sinner is hard to beat in 2024
The 22-year-old has set his sights accordingly for this semi-final, in which the latest run is to be confirmed. So far in the 2024 calendar year, the man from Sesto has only lost two of his 35 singles matches. However, one of the two defeats came at the hands of Carlos Alcaraz in the semi-finals of the Indian Wells Masters in March this year.
The Italian was beaten 1-2 by the Spaniard on the hard court in the United States of America (6-1, 3-6 and 2-6), which should certainly influence the betting tip for Carlos Alcaraz against Jannik Sinner. Against this background, we also consider the bet on over 36.5 games to be a little safer than the bet on the South Tyrolean, which we would only play with the proposed handicaps
Jannik Sinner marched into the semi-finals at breakneck speed
It should be noted that the Italian has only won one title on clay. Interestingly, however, this title win in Umag, Croatia, was again a 2:1 victory in the final against Carlos Alcaraz (6:7, 6:1 and 6:1).
The South Tyrolean certainly has the physical fitness for a match that could potentially go the full distance, having not yet left too much energy on the court. Most recently, Jannik Sinner was again “only” on court for two hours and 32 minutes in his smooth 3-0 quarter-final victory over Grigor Dimitrov (ATP 10), having previously recorded four wins in record time, in which he only dropped a set against the unconventionally playing local hero Corentin Moutet (ATP 79).
Carlos Alcaraz – Jannik Sinner Direct comparison / H2H result
Head to head: 5:4
When the two protagonists meet in the semi-finals of the French Open 2024 on Friday, it will be the tenth clash between the two exceptional players. The head-to-head record could hardly be tighter. Carlos Alcaraz leads the direct comparison with five wins, although the only clay court duel between the two players on the ATP Tour went to Jannik Sinner in the final of Umag in 2022. Only in 2019 at a Challenger tournament in Alicante did the Spaniard prevail against the Sesto native on red clay
Carlos Alcaraz – Jannik Sinner tip
The betting odds for Carlos Alcaraz against Jannik Sinner are tipped in favor of the Spaniard, who is facing an opponent who has only lost two singles matches this year. Accordingly, the Spaniard has a tough task ahead of him if he wants to reach the final at Roland Garros for the first time at his fourth attempt. However, the South Tyrolean has never reached the final of the French Open either
The prediction for Carlos Alcaraz against Jannik Sinner is that it will be a match of at least four sets in which both players will give each other nothing. Accordingly, we find a lot of value in the bet that more than 3.5 sets will have to be played before the winner is determined.
Tipwin offers odds of 1.65 for this Spanish-Italian duel, which we play with three units. Speaking of the Spanish-Italian duel: Both nations will clash in the preliminary round of EURO 2024
