Will the Blues break the deadlock in the derby?

In the UEFA Champions League, none of the four remaining Premier League teams could prevail in the round of 16 first leg. A total of three teams even lost out. Among them were Tottenham and Chelsea. Both London clubs will have the chance to make amends in front of their home crowd at the beginning of March and punch their ticket to the quarter-finals.

The greater pressure in the league ahead of the clash is on the home side, who can only afford a few slip-ups in the battle for the four Champions League places. The Blues, on the other hand, have probably already resigned themselves to no longer playing a major role in the race for European Cup tickets.

Nevertheless, the Potter team will not be able to resist the eagerly hoped-for sense of achievement. But whether the wishful thinking alone is enough to make a tip or a prediction in the direction of an away win between Tottenham and Chelsea must be questioned extremely critically.

Tottenham – Statistics & current form

Tottenham Hotspur Football Club has become a real surprise package in recent weeks. Looking back at the past eight Premier League matches, the record shows four wins and just as many defeats. Very good performances, such as the 1:0 against Manchester City, alternate almost regularly with disastrous performances, such as the 1:4 at Leicester. Consequently, it is very difficult to make a differentiated statement about which face Conte’s team will show on Sunday.

The fact is that the two most recent performances at home against the Citizens (1-0) and West Ham (2-0) are encouraging. After four defeats from their previous five home games, the Londoners seem to have regained some composure at home. For the first time since April 2019, the former Champions League finalists could now even celebrate three home wins in a row without conceding a goal.

Tottenham improved defensively of late

The basis for increasing the likelihood of another treble has to be the defence. In three of the last four league games, the score was zero. Perhaps even more interesting, however, is that in twelve of the past 16 halves no goal was conceded.

It was therefore mostly isolated phases within a match in which concentration briefly waned and the opponent was able to mercilessly exploit the lapses. Nevertheless, the statistics shown lead us to focus more on the odds for a low-scoring encounter between Tottenham and Chelsea.

Does Son impress again as a wild card?

The Lily Whites will also have to do without coach Antonio Conte on Sunday, who will watch the clash against his former club on the couch in his Italian homeland. The football coach is still struggling with the after-effects of a gall bladder operation. He will be replaced by his assistant Stellini.

After consulting with his boss, Stellini will probably once again rely on the offensive trio of Kulusevski, Richarlison and Kane. Son will once again only have a place on the bench. The South Korean has scored four goals in his two wild card appearances this season. By comparison, the former Bundesliga international has scored just one goal in 20 matches.

Last matches of Tottenham:

Premier League
19/02/2023 – Tottenham 2 – 0 West Ham

Champions League Final
15/02/2023 – AC Milan 1 – 0 Tottenham

Premier League
11/02/2023 – Leicester 4 – 1 Tottenham

05/02/2023 – Tottenham 1 – 0 Manchester City

FA Cup
29/01/2023 – Preston 0 – 3 Tottenham

Chelsea – Statistics & current form

Week after week, you think things can’t really get any worse at Chelsea Football Club. Not so. In the previous week, the Blues experienced a new low in what has been a disappointing season so far. In front of their home crowd, the Londoners lost the league match against bottom team Southampton with 0:1 and once again revealed deficits in all areas. However, due to the serious injury to Cesar Azpilicueta, the result became a minor matter in the end.

But after the Spaniard’s health improved noticeably during the week and a return to the field has been decided, the star ensemble from Stamford Bridge must be judged harshly. A review of the past eight PL matches shows only one victory. An embarrassing two victories in the last 14 games in the English top flight have been recorded.

Chelsea have scored six goals in their last eleven PL matches

The offensive output of Kai Havertz and his colleagues reads even more embarrassing. The 2021 Champions League winner scored six (!) goals in the last eleven league matches. Six times they failed to score a single goal. The Blues scored more than one goal in the game on 27 December in a 2-0 home win against Bournemouth. Since the beginning of November, no other club in the Premier League has scored less often than the club that invested around 300 million euros in new players in the winter.

Along with the fatal lull in attacking play, not many goals are expected in the London city derby this weekend either. In 13 of the past 15 PL matches involving CFC, the Under 2.5 would have gone through. In five of the last seven matches involving the Potter eleven, the maximum number of goals was one. The bottom line is that Chelsea have scored the fewest goals in the league in the current season – exactly two on average.

The fact that the Blues, who have slipped to tenth place and are eleven points behind their upcoming opponents, are nevertheless clutching at straws is due to their undoubted individual quality. It can never be ruled out that the knot will finally burst. Those who speculate on this can get odds of 2.10 between Tottenham and Chelsea that Dortmund’s eighth-final opponents from the top flight will take a 1:0 lead.

Last games played by Chelsea:

Premier League
18/02/2023 – Chelsea FC 0 – 1 Southampton

Champions League Final
16/02/2023 – Borussia Dortmund 1 – 0 FC Chelsea

Premier League
11/02/2023 – West Ham 1 – 1 FC Chelsea

04/02/2023 – Chelsea FC 0 – 0 Fulham

21/01/2023 – Liverpool FC 0 – 0 Chelsea FC

Tottenham – Chelsea Direct comparison / H2H balance

Tottenham vs Chelsea is a real evergreen in England’s top flight. There have been 145 meetings in the top flight to date. Chelsea lead the direct comparison with 63 victories. Tottenham have 46 victories, 36 matches have ended in draws.

However, the Blues have now been unbeaten against Spurs for eight Premier League meetings (six wins, two draws). Chelsea could also become only the third team in English history to win four in a row away at Tottenham. Their most recent three victories have all come with a clean sheet. The first leg ended in a surprisingly high-scoring 2-2 draw. Previously, seven consecutive meetings between these teams have seen a maximum of three goals.

Tottenham – Chelsea betting tips

There are heaps of London derbies every season in England. One of the most exciting and prestigious is traditionally between Tottenham and Chelsea. Judging by the betting odds, we can once again look forward to a competitive capital duel on Sunday from 14:30. The odds are very close on the three-way market. A clear favourite cannot be named.

In terms of momentum, however, the home side has the advantage. Spurs have won their two most recent home games against Manchester City and West Ham. Chelsea have also won two of their last 14 PL games and scored only six goals in their last eight league games. High-scoring spectacles have been few and far between for the visitors of late. In 13 of 15 cases, a maximum of two goals were scored.

We therefore prefer to bet on the under 2.5 ahead of Sunday’s only Premier League match between Tottenham and Chelsea.