Once again, the Championship began its regular schedule as the World Cup tournament progressed. This league allows no weaknesses, the programme remains tough. A Luton vs Millwall betting tip is not easy before the game, because the league is not only tough, but also extremely tight.

If there is a slight favourite, it is the hosts. Luton have made a good impression on several occasions this season, but that is also true of the visitors. However, the home side have the home advantage, which should not be underestimated, especially in England.

Interesting about the Championship is that a short series of victories can already provide a very significant improvement in the overall situation. Even Luton, 13th in this league, still have a real chance of promotion or intervention in the playoffs. There have been stories like this more often in recent years.

Luton – statistics & current form

Luton Town are a typical, thrown-together Championship side. There are the experienced warhorses like captain Bradley or goalkeeper Shea, then some young talents, such as midfielders Watson and Doughty and the technicians like Lansbury, who used to go through the Arsenal school. All in all, this team has some strengths but also weaknesses. And consistency is lacking.

The latter is the case with many Championship teams and that is why this league is so tight. The table situation of both teams is emblematic of this, as there are six places between Luton and Millwall in the table, but only two points. Luton are in 13th place, the play-off places are only four points away. A small series can change everything again.

The focus is on striker Morris, who has scored eight goals in the league and is thus responsible for exactly one third of the goals alone. He has to be served by his colleagues. In the 1:2 against Middlesbrough last Saturday, that succeeded too rarely. Rob Edwards, coach of the team, will have that written on the agenda.

Luton aim to convince in front of home crowd

Directly at the beginning of the season there were already the first problems, Luton celebrated the first victory on the fifth matchday. Since then, the team has improved somewhat, but there has still only been one win in the last seven competitive games. Especially at home, the shoe is on the other foot, although there have been four defeats away from home and only two in front of the home crowd. The problem is that there have also only been two home victories. Seven times the team did not manage more than a draw.

An average of 1.18 points at home, 1.55 away from home: these are not the results of a promotion candidate. Only the defence, with 24 goals conceded, is reasonably respectable. After 22 games, it is clear that the defence is not so easy to overcome. Both are similar in many ways, that can be said. Based on the stats, our prediction before the Luton vs Millwall game is that the hosts don’t lose and score more than 1.5 goals.

Predicted Luton line-up:
Horvath – Osho, Bradley, Lockyer – Bree, Mpanzu, Lansbury, Campbell, Potts – Adebayo, Morris

Luton’s last games:

Championship
10/12/2022 – Middlesboro 2 – 1 Luton

12/11/2022 – Luton 1 – 1 Rotherham

09/11/2022 – Stoke 2 – 0 Luton

05/11/2022 – Blackpool 0 – 1 Luton

02/11/2022 – Luton 0 – 0 Reading

Millwall – Statistics & current form

Much of what can be said about Luton can also be applied to Millwall. There are experienced players as well as talents in the squad, the mix seems very decent, but not perfect and of course this team also lacks consistency. Purely in terms of the composition of the squad, however, Millwall is the slightly more exciting team, and above all has the higher density of talent. Cresswell, Mitchell or Burey have what it takes for the Premier League.

The last game was more of a setback. After the break around the World Cup, Millwall only managed a 1-1 draw against Wigan last Saturday. And that at home. Wigan went into that game in 22nd place, so there was no satisfaction. Nevertheless, the top places are still within reach. With only one win in six games, but also only two defeats, the form looks rather mixed at the moment, although due to the long break only the last game can be taken into account.

As with Luton, the key for Millwall is to play as consistently as possible in the remaining months of the season. The squad has a bit more quality across the board, which definitely speaks in favour of the visitors, who also have clear advantages in the direct comparison.

Millwall fighting against away weakness

The visitors are particularly dissatisfied with their record away from home. At home, everything looks decent, there were seven wins and over two points on average per game. On the other hand, they have lost six of their eight games away from home this season and have conceded 18 of their 26 goals. When Millwall play away from home, the team often looks inhibited.

Even the system adjustments of the last few games have not been particularly effective. However, there have been slightly fewer goals conceded, four in the last five games. In the long term, this new-found stability could help the team to become more stable again in its performances. So on the one hand there is the stabilisation in defence, on the other hand the disastrous record away from home. In view of this, our value tip before the Luton v Millwall match is that both teams will score.

Predicted Millwall line-up:
Long – McNamara, Cresswell, Cooper, Malone – Mitchell, Styles – Voglsammer, Flemming, Bennett – Burey

Last games played by Millwall:

Championship
10/12/2022 – Millwall 1 – 1 Wigan

03/12/2022 – Sunderland 3 – 0 Millwall

Club friendlies
26/11/2022 – Millwall 1 – 1 Brøndby Copenhagen

Championship
12/11/2022 – Preston 2 – 4 Millwall

05/11/2022 – Millwall 0 – 0 Hull

Luton – Millwall Direct comparison / H2H balance

55 duels have taken place between these two teams so far. 26 of them went to Millwall, twelve times Luton were the winners. The games last season went more in the direction of Luton, who won once and drew once. Overall, Millwall also lead in goals scored, currently 83:57.

Luton – Millwall Tip

Luton have the home advantage, Millwall the slightly higher quality. Both have not performed ideally in recent games, so a Lutonvs. Millwall prediction with attractive odds is not that easy. The direct comparison speaks for Millwall, against the guests, however, the record away from home.

Because the quality is quite similar and both teams have not been able to convince for several games in a row so far, we play the betting odds before the match Luton vs. Millwall that the hosts will not lose and more than 1.5 goals will fall.