Will the Reds not let anything get in their way against the Cottagers?
Liverpool FC swept aside LASK 4-0 in the UEFA Europa League during the week. With one matchday to go before the end of the group stage, the Reds have already clinched top spot in the group and a direct place in the round of 16. The Reds can now concentrate fully on the Premier League. This is one of the reasons why the betting tip for a home win for Liverpool against Fulham is under a correspondingly good star
The record also clearly favors LFC. The Reds have lost just one of their last 48 Premier League home games (37 wins, ten draws) and have not even been able to break through when trailing. Only one of the last eleven Premier League games in which Klopp’s side have trailed has ended in defeat (four wins, six draws). Accordingly, there seems to be no alternative to predicting a home win for Liverpool against Fulham.
Fulham FC’s away record is also not very exciting. The Cottagers are winless in six Premier League away games (three draws, three defeats) and scored just six goals away from home in the 2023/24 season. At Anfield, the Londoners have scored just four goals in their last 16 away games. The average of 0.25 goals is the lowest score a team can record against another team in the Premier League, provided the duel has taken place at least ten times.
In short: We expect a confident and clear home win for the Reds, which is why it is very consistent to apply a small handicap of -1 to Jürgen Klopp’s in-form selection
Liverpool – Statistics & current form
After a somewhat complicated 2022/23 season, which ended with only fifth place in the Premier League, Liverpool FC seem to be in excellent shape again for the new season. The Reds picked up 28 out of a possible 39 points and are currently third in the table, just two points behind leaders Arsenal.
The Scousers are the early winners of Group E, thus skipping the next round and already securing their place in the round of 16
Only lost one of the last 48 Premier League home games
For now, Jürgen Klopp’s squad can concentrate fully on their domestic duties, which included a respectable 1-1 draw away to Manchester City last Saturday. Overall, the Reds have lost just one of their first 13 league games of the 2023/24 season (eight wins, four draws).
Even now, the odds are clearly in the Scousers’ favor for Liverpool v Fulham, who are hard to beat at home to Anfield anyway. LFC have lost just one of their last 48 Premier League home games (37 wins, ten draws) – a 2-1 defeat to Leeds United that dates back to October 2022.
The second-best defense in the Premier League
The Reds’ high degree of resilience also speaks in their favor. Falling behind neither pulls the plug on Jürgen Klopp’s team nor is it tantamount to a preliminary decision. Only one of the last eleven games in the Premier League in which LFC trailed was actually lost in the end (four wins, six draws).
This is also due to the fact that Liverpool have conceded just three goals in the second half of Premier League matches this season (the best record in the league). The total of just eleven goals conceded in 13 league games is also the second-best figure in the league behind leaders Arsenal (ten).
Predicted Liverpool line-up:
Fulham – Statistics & current form
Fulham FC returned to the country’s top flight in the summer of 2022 as champions of the EFL Championship. Under promotion coach Marco Silva, the Londoners finished in a remarkable tenth place in the final table.
The aim now is to build on this in the 2023/24 season. However, the interim result is currently not overly positive. With 15 out of a possible 39 points, the Cottagers currently only occupy 14th place in the table. However, they are at least a comfortable ten points clear of the first relegation spot
Winless in six Premier League away games
After four consecutive league games without a win (one draw, three defeats), the team from the west of London managed a three-pointer on Monday evening. The Cottagers sent Wolverhampton Wanderers home with a 3-2 victory.
However, they have been far less successful away from home recently. The Londoners have not won any of their last six Premier League games away from home (three draws, three defeats) and have scored just six goals in their seven away games in the 2023/24 season
Only won two of their last 36 away games at Anfield
Liverpool vs Fulham is another bad bet for Marco Silva’s side to pick up a point. Not only have Fulham won just two of their last 36 matches at the Reds (nine draws, 25 defeats), but the west Londoners have scored just five goals in their last 20 competitive games at Anfield.
However, at least one record speaks in favor of the team, whose superstar Palhinha is currently being increasingly linked with a winter transfer to FC Bayern: The Cottagers have lost just one of their last ten Premier League games in the month of December (three wins, six draws)…
Predicted Fulham line-up:
Liverpool – Fulham head-to-head comparison / H2H result
Head to head: 42 – 18 – 13
There have been a total of 73 meetings between the two teams so far and with 42 wins, 57.5 percent of all duels have gone to Liverpool FC, who also won their last home game against the Cottagers 1-0 on May 3, 2023. Overall, the Reds have lost just one of their last ten Premier League home games against Fulham FC (seven wins, two draws).
Liverpool – Fulham betting tip
The bookmakers’ odds for Liverpool v Fulham are clearly and unmistakably in favor of the Scousers, who have lost just one of their last 48 Premier League home games at Anfield (37 wins, ten draws). This contrasts with a poor away record for the Cottagers, who are winless in six Premier League away games (three draws, three defeats), have scored just six goals in seven away games in 2023/24 and have also lost three of their last five league games (one win, one draw).
The only question that arises is to find the bet with the maximum value, as the odds for bet 1 in the three-way system are very low. Because we assume a clear home win for the Reds, our Liverpool vs Fulham prediction is a small handicap bet on the home side -1.
Betano is offering odds of 1.70 for the Scousers to win the game by at least two goals, which we are playing with three out of ten units
