Can Burnley get rid of the Reds frustration?

Identifying Liverpool Football Club’s weaknesses this season is like looking for a needle in a haystack. The Reds have had a fantastic season so far, have a realistic chance of winning the title in all competitions and are preparing to give their coach Jürgen Klopp a great send-off.

However, one player who has not reached his performance limit in recent months and has already scored the odd goal is keeper Alisson Becker. The Brazilian also became a tragic hero the previous week with his crucial mistake in the top-of-the-table game against Arsenal

On Saturday afternoon, FCL will be looking to return to winning ways and have an absolutely doable hurdle in front of them. Coach Vincent Kompany’s team, who are already seven points off the safety of the drop zone and slowly losing touch with the non-relegation places, will be the guests at Anfield. Even without in-depth analysis, there is virtually no alternative to betting on the hosts between Liverpool and Burnley. However, we’ll have to get creative, as the obligatory odds for the main markets don’t offer much in this one-sided match

In any case, the top matches in England will take place elsewhere on the 24th Premier League matchday. Above all, the capital London is the venue for two exciting matches between West Ham and Arsenal and Tottenham and Brighton.

Liverpool – statistics & current form

15 consecutive Premier League games Liverpool remained unbeaten until last weekend. Klopp’s side then lost 3-1 to their direct rivals for the championship, Arsenal FC, but still remained top of the table. However, Manchester City already have the chance to overtake the Reds in the standings with a win in the upcoming catch-up game. In any case, it is still far too early to attach any particular importance to the top of the table. It is much more important to keep the pedal to the metal and avoid any further slip-ups.

It seems almost impossible that Virgil van Dijk and Co. will slip up against relegation-threatened Burnley on Saturday afternoon. On the one hand, because the Reds have not lost any of their last 23 PL home games (18-5-0). On the other hand, due to the qualitative advantages, which of course swing the pendulum clearly in the Scousers’ favor in this encounter. Looking at the Liverpool v Burnley odds on the three-way market, it is clear that even a simple point win for the visitors would be a huge sensation. However, the implied probability of victory for LFC is a whopping 84%

Will Liverpool set off the next fireworks at home?

Since it makes no sense to play the too low odds on an isolated home win, we have to go into a little more detail when it comes to home statistics. It quickly becomes clear that the Reds have the best home attack in the Premier League with 30 goals scored in eleven home games. Darwin Nunez and Co. scored at least three of their own goals in eight of these eleven matches at home. Most recently, they have even scored four goals in three of their last five matches at Anfield.

It is also interesting to note that they have only managed to keep a clean sheet in one of their last five home games. In general, conceding goals has been the rule rather than the exception of late. In 2024, at least one goal was conceded in six out of eight competitive matches. This is precisely why it is worth considering a prediction for a home win between Liverpool and Burnley, including goals on both sides. Alternatively, the Over 3.5, which would have gone through in the last four PL games involving LFC, is also an option. The latter approach is offered at Interwetten with maximum odds of 1.80.

In terms of personnel, the situation at Liverpool FC seems to be easing just in time for the hot phase of the season. However, Jürgen Klopp will be without the suspended central defender Konate at the weekend, with youngster Quansah likely to replace him in the team. Bajcetic, Salah, Tsimikas and Matip are also missing. Szoboszlai, meanwhile, is set to return, as is Wataru Endo.

Predicted Liverpool line-up:

Burnley – Statistics & current form

While surprise promotion contenders Luton Town are gaining momentum and have even moved out of the relegation places thanks to recent results, last year’s Championship champions Burnley FC are still struggling to finally arrive in the English top flight. Coach Vincent Kompany’s men have yet to provide definitive proof that they are truly competitive in the long term.

After 23 match days, they have three wins, four draws and 16 (!) defeats to their name. The resulting 13 points are only good enough for penultimate place in the table. The Clarets are seven points adrift of the drop zone and there is not much to suggest that their situation will improve dramatically in the coming weeks. As things stand today, it can therefore be said that the promoted team’s new approach to the game is not yet producing the desired results. Unlike in many PL years in the past, former Pep protégé Kompany insists on a controlled and thoroughly offensive approach, which is sometimes associated with too much risk in view of the quality disadvantages compared to the competition

Burnley are at least always good for a goal of their own

Just one look at the goals conceded statistics is enough to back up this theory. The penultimate team conceded 47 goals in 23 league games. Especially against the top teams in the Premier League, the relegation-threatened Reds have so far conceded little. They suffered a 3-1 defeat at Manchester City two weeks ago, Burnley also lost 3-1 at Arsenal FC and regularly conceded three or more goals in front of their own fans against good opposition from the top third of the table.

However, there is a tiny glimmer of hope for the underdogs, as the Clarets have recorded eight of their 13 points away from home. However, Kompany’s side have also lost six of their last eight games away from home. On a positive note, however, they have scored in six of their last seven PL games away from home.

As a result, we take a closer look at the odds on both teams scoring between Liverpool and Burnley and finally point out that the relegation candidates have been behind at the break in 14 of 23 PL games. In five cases even with a difference of two or more goals

Predicted Burnley line-up:

Liverpool – Burnley head-to-head comparison / H2H result

In the English top flight, the clubs will face each other for the 90th time on Saturday afternoon. LFC have the edge with 40 wins. However, not as clearly as expected, as the Clarets have also celebrated 28 league victories. 21 draws round off the tally. In the recent past, however, the Reds have hardly shown any weakness. Eight of the last ten PL duels have gone to the favorites from Merseyside. At Anfield Road, Burnley have won just one of their last nine attempts (1-2-6).

Liverpool – Burnley betting tip

The starting position ahead of a Premier League match could hardly be clearer. On Saturday afternoon at Anfield Road, the leaders and the team bottom of the table face each other in a direct duel. The betting odds between Liverpool and Burnley leave no room for any questions regarding the role of the favorites. Anything but a commanding home win for the championship contenders would be a big surprise.

LFC are the best home team in the Premier League, have not lost in 23 home games in the English top flight this season and have really caused a sensation offensively in recent weeks. The visitors, on the other hand, are slowly losing their grip on the safety net, have the second-weakest defense in the league and have so far only been able to learn the hard way against the top clubs. However, the Clarets have managed to score at least one goal in six of their last seven league games, which increases the likelihood of an over on Saturday

In our Liverpool vs Burnley betting tip, we are taking an extreme risk this time and are pushing a combined bet on the double result HT1/FT1 with both teams scoring. At Betano, you can get an impressive 3.45 for this, which we play relatively carefully with three units. In our opinion, after the disappointment of the previous week, Klopp’s eleven start like a fire department, take an early lead, but concede a goal in the second half due to a lack of concentration