The opening match of Group F of the Club World Cup will take place on Tuesday afternoon, when Fluminense and Borussia Dortmund face off at the impressive MetLife Stadium. Let’s analyze the most interesting data and markets for betting.

Having only participated in FIFA’s most important international club tournament on one previous occasion, Fluminense is looking forward to the opportunity to compete against some of the strongest teams in the world.

The Rio de Janeiro side qualified for the new Club World Cup by winning the 2023 Copa Libertadores, its first continental trophy. John Kennedy’s extra-time goal saw them overcome Argentine giants Boca Juniors in the final, played at Fluminense’s home stadium, the Maracanã. Less than four months after celebrating this historic victory on home soil, the “Fluzão” won the Recopa Sudamericana after defeating Ecuadorian side LDU Quito in a two-legged tie.

The inaugural triumph in the Copa Libertadores earned the Cariocas a ticket to the last Club World Cup, held in Saudi Arabia in December 2023. After winning 2-0 against hosts Al Ahly, the Brazilians returned to the King Abdullah Sports City Stadium to face the 2023 Champions League winners, Manchester City. The outcome was quite different on this occasion, as Fluminense conceded four goals to the English side on a disappointing night in Jeddah.

Despite being widely regarded as one of Europe’s elite teams, Borussia Dortmund has never participated in a Club World Cup. However, if the competition had been established three years earlier, Dortmund would have qualified after winning its first Champions League in 1997. Instead, the Black and Yellows faced Cruzeiro in the Intercontinental Cup, a one-off annual match between the best European and South American teams from the previous season. Dortmund won 2-0 in Tokyo, seven years before the tournament was finally abolished.

Thanks to their results in the last four seasons in UEFA’s top competition, the German club has accumulated enough points in the rankings to qualify as the third European representative in this summer’s Club World Cup.

Ahead of Tuesday’s fascinating clash in New Jersey, we enlist the help of our expert Ryan Murray to analyze the odds markets at bet365, Planetwin365, and GoldBet to find the most interesting bets.

Fluminense – Borussia Dortmund betting tips

Borussia Dortmund to win and both teams to score – priced at 3.20 on bet365, 3.10 on PlanetWin365 and 3.10 on GoldBet

Serhou Guirassy to have more than 2.5 shots – priced at 3.75 on bet365

Odds courtesy of bet365, Planetwin365 and GoldBet. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Dortmund’s class should shine through

Neither of Tuesday’s opponents have been in particularly good form recently, with both teams struggling to find consistency in their respective domestic leagues. When Dortmund and Fluminense arrive at MetLife Stadium on Tuesday afternoon, it will be exactly one month since the last Bundesliga matchday. In contrast, the 2025 Série A is in full swing after kicking off in March. Therefore, physical fitness could play a key role.

Fluminense are sixth in the Brazilian top flight, four points behind Flamengo, who are participating in the Club World Cup, and Cruzeiro, who are top of the table. However, after a narrow defeat to Atlético Mineiro in early May, Renato Gaúcho’s men are unbeaten in six games in all competitions. In addition, they have advanced directly to the round of 16 of the Copa Sudamericana after topping a group that included Bolivian side GV San José, seven-time Chilean champions Unión Española, and 2004 Copa Libertadores winners Once Caldas.

Although their fortunes have improved dramatically since the appointment of former Bayern Munich midfielder Niko Kovač as coach, Borussia Dortmund have had a disappointing 2024/25 season. A run of seven wins in their last eight Bundesliga games secured the Black and Yellows’ place in the Champions League for the tenth consecutive season, but it remains to be seen whether this run of results has merely served to paper over the cracks.

After finishing the 2023/24 season as runners-up in the Champions League, Dortmund were knocked out of the same competition in the quarter-finals by Barcelona in this year’s edition. Despite an impressive 3-1 triumph at Signal Iduna Park, the Schwarzgelben were unable to overcome a four-goal deficit from the first leg. As the defeat in Catalonia came under Kovač’s leadership, the Croatian’s assessment could be somewhat negative.

Regardless of its recent problems, Dortmund should be able to overcome Fluminense on Tuesday afternoon. However, this game could be a little more competitive than the odds suggest.

Tip: Borussia Dortmund to win and both teams to score – priced at 3.20 on bet365, 3.10 on PlanetWin365 and 3.10 on GoldBet.

Explanation of the bet: This bet wins if Borussia Dortmund wins and both teams score.

All eyes on striker Giurassy

Although Dortmund underperformed in the last league season, the same cannot be said for striker Serhou Guirassy. The Frenchman of Guinean origin scored 21 goals in his 30 Bundesliga appearances, a record surpassed only by Bayern Munich center forward Harry Kane.

Despite his impressive domestic exploits, Guirassy has probably saved his best form for the continental stage. At the end of the 2024/25 Champions League campaign, the predatory striker was awarded the Golden Boot (sharing the honor with Brazilian forward Raphinha) after scoring 13 times in just 14 games. He found the net more than once in a single game on four separate occasions, scoring three braces during the preliminary stages before netting a perfect hat-trick in Dortmund’s quarter-final second leg against Barcelona.

Guirassy had 90 shots on goal during the Bundesliga season, while 24 of his 40 shots in the Champions League were on target – a conversion rate of 60%. Therefore, the 29-year-old is expected to put pressure on Fluminense’s number one.

Tip: Serhou Guirassy will take more than 2.5 shots – priced at 3.75 on bet365, not available on Planetwin365 and GoldBet

Bet explanation: This bet wins if Serhou Guirassy takes three or more shots.

Fluminense – Borussia Dortmund

Fluminense to win – odds of 2.75 on bet365, 2.70 on PlanetWin365 and 2.75 on GoldBet

Draw – odds 3.90 on bet365, 4.25 on PlanetWin365 and 4.50 on GoldBet

Borussia Dortmund to win – odds 6.00 on bet365, 5.25 on PlanetWin365 and 5.35 on GoldBet

Odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.

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