Geodis Park in Nashville is the setting for Friday’s clash between Al Hilal and Pachuca, with both teams hoping to secure their first win in this summer’s Club World Cup. It’s a golden opportunity for both sides, with three points up for grabs and the chance to avoid finishing bottom of the group. In this guide, you’ll find predictions, the best odds and betting tips.

Currently third in Group F, Al Hilal know they must defeat last season’s CONCACAF Champions Cup winners to have any chance of progressing to the knockout stages. If the other Group H match on Friday between Real Madrid and RB Salzburg ends in a draw, the Saudis will need to win by at least two goals. Depending on the results, the process of determining first, second, and third place could become quite complex.

For Pachuca, it is a must-win game: the Mexican side lost both of their first two group stage matches, despite good performances in Cincinnati and Charlotte. The Liga MX club has thus joined the list of eliminated teams, suffering the same fate as their compatriots LAFC.

Whatever the outcome of the match scheduled for early Friday morning at Geodis Park in Nashville, we are in for an intense finale to the final day of the group stage of the Club World Cup.

We have studied the statistics and analyzed the betting markets to bring you a selection of data-driven betting tips designed to maximize your sports betting.

Al Hilal – Pachuca, Friday 27 June at 3.00 a.m.

Tips for Al Hilal – Pachuca

Draw – odds 4.20 on bet365

Sergej Milinković-Savić to score at any time – odds 2.60 on Sisal

Under 2.5 goals – odds 2.35 on GoldBet

Odds courtesy of bet365, Sisal, and GoldBet. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

A disappointing evening for the favorites?

Although Al Hilal has yet to reach its best form in the United States, draws against two top European teams are still a good start to its fourth Club World Cup campaign.

After Real Madrid took the lead through Gonzalo García in the 34th minute, the match was dominated by two penalties. Rúben Neves wrong-footed Thibaut Courtois from the penalty spot, while Federico Valverde saw his penalty saved by an extraordinary Yassine Bounou. In the end, a draw seemed the fairest result. Against RB Salzburg on Sunday evening, the Blue Waves also snatched a valuable point, once again relying on the reflexes of their Moroccan goalkeeper. Bounou made several decisive saves, most notably a close-range stop from young Swede John Mellberg, son of former Aston Villa defender Olof, to prevent defeat.

Although Al Hilal starts as favorite, Pachuca could prove to be a much tougher opponent than expected.

The Gophers were unlucky not to get at least a point in their first game, which was postponed due to bad weather and then decided by a second-half goal from Karim Onisiwo that gave RB Salzburg a narrow win in Ohio. In their second game, against Real Madrid, the Mexicans wasted several chances in a thrilling encounter. Despite Raúl Asencio’s early red card, Real managed to turn the match around and take all three points at Bank of America Stadium thanks to goals from Jude Bellingham, Arda Güler, and Federico Valverde. This defeat marked Pachuca’s elimination from the tournament.

It will be a do-or-die game for Al Hilal, while the Mexicans have nothing to lose. It remains to be seen whether these conditions will play in the Saudis’ favor, but what we have seen in the last week suggests that Pachuca could be a much tougher opponent than the odds suggest against the 19-time Saudi Pro League champions.

Tip: Draw – 4.20 at bet365

Milinković-Savić could make the difference

Alongside Rúben Neves, Sergej Milinković-Savić has probably been the player most likely to spark Al Hilal’s goals. Together with his Portuguese teammate, the 30-year-old has found the net in both of the tournament’s first two games.

However, it is in domestic competitions that Milinković-Savić has shown his true effectiveness in front of goal. Ahead of the 2024/25 Saudi Pro League season, he scored an important goal to equalize Cristiano Ronaldo’s opener in the Super Cup final, before Mitrović’s brace gave Al Nassr the trophy. He then scored 12 goals in 31 league appearances, contributing to Al Hilal’s title run, which ended behind Al-Ittihad, who finished eight points ahead.

The attacking midfielder was also a goal threat in last season’s AFC Champions League, finding the net against Qatari duo Al-Rayyan and Al-Gharafa, against Club World Cup participants Al Ain, and in a 7-0 demolition of Gwangju FC on their way to the semi-finals.

It may not be a goal fest at Nashville SC’s Geodis Park, but Sergej Milinković-Savić has a good chance of getting on the scoresheet.

Tip: Sergej Milinković-Savić to score at any time – odds 2.60 at Sisal

Bet explanation: This bet wins if Sergej Milinković-Savić scores at any time during the match.

A potentially low-scoring match

The two teams facing each other on Friday are among the least prolific in the tournament, having scored just three goals in total.

Al Hilal, without the injured Aleksandar Mitrović, have shown clear limitations in attack. The Serbian striker remains doubtful for this final group game as he continues to struggle with a nagging muscle strain.

Despite this, Simone Inzaghi – the coach who led Inter to the top of Serie A last season in terms of goals scored and who scored 89 goals as a player – remains confident that he can turn things around in the third match. However, the task is not easy: so far, Al Hilal has only had six shots on goal, and the only goal came from a penalty, thanks to Rúben Neves’ flawless execution.

The situation is different for Pachuca, whose difficulty lies not in the number of shots but rather in their finishing. Against Salzburg, the Mexicans tested goalkeeper Zawieschitzky seven times, while against Real Madrid they had 11 shots on target. However, only two of these were converted into goals, highlighting their obvious inefficiency in front of goal.

With Al Hilal likely to be affected by the tension and Pachuca struggling to convert their chances, the match promises few goals. It is difficult to expect a spectacular game, and a goalless draw is not out of the question. At 2.35, the bet on “Under 2.5 goals” offered by GoldBet seems to offer good value for money.

Tip: Under 2.5 goals – odds 2.35 on GoldBet

Al Hilal vs. Pachuca betting odds

Al Hilal to win – odds 1.61 on bet365, 1.62 on Sisal, 1.55 on GoldBet

Draw – odds 4.20 on bet365, 4.25 on Sisal, 4.10 on GoldBet

Pachuca to win – odds 5.00 on bet365, 5.00 on Sisal, 5.25 on GoldBet

The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.

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