Will the Clarets put up another fight?

Last summer, Brighton & Hove Albion were one of the teams of the moment in the Premier League and qualified for the Europa League in sixth place in the final table. In the new season, however, the Seagulls have been brought back down to earth. After 31 league games, they are only in tenth place with 43 points. Nevertheless, the betting tip for an away win for Burnley against Brighton is under the more favorable signs

With just 19 points from 32 league games, the Clarets are in a direct relegation spot and are already six points behind the drop zone. However, the newly-promoted side have recently gone unbeaten in two home games in a row (one win, one draw), which should certainly be taken into account in the predictions for Burnley against Brighton. Moreover, the Clarets held the Seagulls to a 1-1 draw in the first leg

Brighton & Hove Albion have been particularly hard to beat away from home recently. The team from the south coast of England have won just two of their last 14 Premier League away games (four draws, eight defeats). One reason for this is that the club has lost its attacking punch in the new year. Brighton have already failed to score in six of their twelve Premier League games this year, which reinforces our bet on a not too high-scoring duel at Turf Moor.

The under bet would have gone through in the first leg between the two teams (1-1). Accordingly, it makes sense to bet on under 2.5 goals in the duel between the two teams via the practical Interwetten app

Burnley – Statistics & current form

Burnley FC were promoted as EFL Championship champions last summer, returning to the top flight of English soccer just one year after relegation. However, all the signs are now that the club from the east of Lancashire, which is increasingly becoming an elevator team, will immediately drop back down a level.

With six games left to play, they are already six points adrift of safety. Given that only 18 points are still up for grabs, coach Vincent Kompany’s squad need a series

Burnley with a slight upturn in fortunes at home

At least: A small start has already been made. Burnley remained unbeaten in two consecutive Premier League home games (one win, one draw) and picked up four points from a possible six. That is just one point fewer than from the first 14 Premier League home games of the 2023/24 season (one win, two draws, eleven defeats).

Nevertheless, the odds are now naturally against the Clarets in Burnley v Brighton, who to make matters worse have won just one of their last seven Premier League games against the Seagulls (four draws, two defeats).

Burnley countered the flood of goals conceded with a change of goalkeeper

The change of goalkeeper that Kompany made in mid-March proved to be a smart move. Compared to an average of 2.2 goals conceded under James Trafford (62 in 28 games), Arijanet Muric has conceded just 1.3 goals per game (five in four games).

With not much going forward – Burnley have the second weakest offense in the Premier League with just 32 goals – a goal festival at Turf Moor is not to be expected.

Predicted Burnley line-up:

Brighton – Statistics & current form

Brighton & Hove Albion finished in a surprising and almost sensational sixth place at the end of the 2022/23 season and thus entered the Europa League, where their journey only ended in the round of 16 against AS Roma.

At the moment, however, there is every indication that this was a one-off trip to a UEFA competition. After 31 league games played, the Seagulls are only tenth in the overall Premier League table.

Brighton have left a lot to be desired away from home recently

The betting odds for an away win for Roberto De Zerbi’s side against Brighton are still not the best. After winning their first two away games of the 2023/24 season, the southern English side then only managed two more wins from 14 further Premier League visits (four draws, eight defeats).

The curiosity here is the lack of consistency in front of goal. While a total of 15 goals were scored in the four away victories (⌀ 3.8 per game), only eight goals were scored in the twelve games on foreign pitches that were not won (⌀ 0.7 per game).

Brighton have failed to score in half of all league games in 2024

Scoring goals has become the Seagulls’ biggest shortcoming. After Brighton went goalless in just two of 41 Premier League games in the 2023 calendar year and scored in 32 consecutive league games, Albion failed to score in six of twelve games in the top flight of English soccer in the new year.

Since the turn of the year, no other team in the Premier League has failed to score as often as the East Sussex club, who recently surprised everyone by deciding to recall German international Deniz Undav, who has just been loaned out to Stuttgart, to the south coast of England at the end of the season. However, a goal fest at Turf Moor would be surprising given the recent goal drought.

Brighton’s expected line-up:

Burnley – Brighton head-to-head comparison / H2H result

Head to head: 12 – 16 – 12

A total of 40 meetings have taken place between the two teams so far and with twelve wins each, the direct comparison is completely even. In the Premier League, however, Burnley have won just one of their seven matches against Brighton (four draws, two defeats). The first leg of the 2023/24 season ended in a 1-1 draw on December 9, 2023

Burnley – Brighton betting tip

The betting odds for Burnley vs Brighton are in favor of the visitors. However, this bet comes with high risks. Not only have the Seagulls won just two of their last eleven Premier League games against the Clarets (six draws, three defeats), but they have also performed very poorly away from home. Albion have won just two of their last 14 away games in the Premier League (four draws, eight defeats), while the promoted side from the east of Lancashire have gone unbeaten in two consecutive home games (one win, one draw).

It is noticeable that both teams have struggled to score goals in the new year. It is therefore very consistent to predict a not too high-scoring match between Burnley and Brighton. Moreover, the under bet has always gone through in 17 of the last 23 matches between the two clubs – including the first leg (1-1).

Odds of 2.30 are available at Interwetten for under 2.5 goals, which we play with three out of ten units