Can Brighton also win the second game against Wolves?

On Monday evening, Brighton & Hove Albion and Wolverhampton Wanderers will conclude the 21st matchday of the Premier League. A duel at eye level seems to be on the cards, as the two teams are currently separated by just three points. Nevertheless, the bookmakers’ odds between Brighton and Wolverhampton clearly favor a home win. We will take a closer look at the reasons for the odds distribution in our article

The current form of the two teams can hardly have played a role in the odds allocation, however, as the Seagulls are in anything but good form with two wins from their last seven league games. Wolves have also picked up four wins in the same period and have even won all of their last three Premier League games. Therefore, the odds should be closer between Brighton and Wolverhampton in our estimation

We recommend betting on a goal from Joao Pedro between Brighton and Wolverhampton. The Brazilian striker has scored 15 goals in all competitions, making him by far the home side’s most dangerous player. The attacker has also scored five goals in the last six competitive matches and is therefore on fire

Kick-off for this Premier League match is at 20:45 on Monday at the American Express Community Stadium in Falmer. The game can be watched live and in full on Sky or Wow.

Brighton – stats & current form

Brighton have had a very decent season so far, picking up 31 points from their first 20 games. This puts Roberto De Zerbi’s team in eighth place in the Premier League and in contention for the international places. They are currently just three points behind West Ham in sixth place, which would be enough to qualify for the Conference League. For this reason alone, a win against Wolverhampton Wanderers would be very important

Successful new signing

Joao Pedro moved to Falmer from Watford FC for around €34 million before this season. The transfer fee was the subject of much debate, as rarely has a first division club transferred so much money to a second division club for a player. In retrospect, however, the deal seems to have paid off, as the Brazilian is currently the Seagulls’ top scorer with 15 goals and two assists. However, as the striker scored more than half of his goals from the spot, the great euphoria has yet to materialize

Great home record

The home side play much better at home than away, picking up 19 points from ten home games (22:14 goals). Roberto De Zerbi’s side have lost just one game, and that was against West Ham United on matchday three. Even against stronger teams such as Liverpool and Tottenham, the home side have already managed to pick up some points this season

Always good for a goal

With 52 goals in 28 games in all competitions (⌀ 1.86), Roberto De Zerbi’s team are almost impossible to defend for 90 minutes. As a result, the Seagulls have only failed to score three times this season and have found the back of the net in 89% of their competitive matches. At home, the ratio is even better at an incredible 100%. A goal from the home side is therefore almost set in stone

Defensively rather weak

While the home side’s offense did an outstanding job, the Seagulls’ defense was rarely convincing. Roberto De Zerbi’s team have only conceded once in the Premier League and have already conceded 33 goals after 20 games. In the English top flight, only Luton and Sheffield are also without a clean sheet.

Predicted Brighton line-up:

Wolverhampton – stats & current form

Wolverhampton are currently in eleventh place in the Premier League. That may not sound particularly good at first, but in this case appearances are deceptive. Wanderers are twelve points clear of the relegation places and only six points behind sixth place. With a win against Brighton and at least one point in the catch-up game, Gary O’Neil’s team could even jump up to seventh place. The international places even seem to be within reach

The Asian Cup

Hee-chan Hwang has been called up for the South Korean national team as expected and will therefore miss Wolves for a few weeks. This is a huge loss for Wolverhampton, as the attacker has already scored eleven goals this season, making him the most dangerous player in the visiting team’s ranks. Without their striker, the visitors will lose a lot of attacking power, meaning that players such as Matheus Cunha and Pablo Arabia will be particularly challenged

Weak away record

The visitors have already played ten away games in the Premier League, picking up just ten points in the process. This puts Gary O’Neil’s side in 13th place in the away table, with their three away wins coming against Everton, Bournemouth and Brentford, all of whom are currently behind Wolves. A win against Brighton, especially at Falmer, is therefore not really on the cards

Always with pinpricks

With 41 goals in 24 competitive matches, the visitors’ offense has done a solid job so far. It is therefore no wonder that Gary O’Neil’s side have only failed to score twice this season. Conversely, this means that the Wolves have scored at least one goal in almost 92% of their games. Against the Seagulls’ weak defense, the visiting team should therefore also be able to make their pinpricks

Air to the top

Similarly to Brighton, Wolves’ problems lie more in their defensive work. In the Premier League, Wolverhampton conceded 31 goals in 20 games, allowing an average of 1.55 goals per game. In addition, Gary O’Neil’s side have only managed to keep a clean sheet three times this season. As a result, goalkeeper Jose Sa and his replacement Daniel Bentley have been beaten in 85% of league games.

Predicted Wolverhampton line-up:

Brighton – Wolverhampton head-to-head comparison / H2H record

The direct comparison of the two teams goes quite clearly to the home side. Brighton have won 19 matches against Wolverhampton, while 14 games have ended in a draw and the visitors have only won eight. The last time the two teams met was on the second matchday of the current season, almost five months ago. The Seagulls won 4-1 on that occasion, which is why our prediction between Brighton and Wolverhampton is clearly in favour of the home side.

Brighton – Wolverhampton betting tip

We are betting on a win for the home team between Brighton and Wolverhampton. This is primarily due to the fact that Wolves have not been particularly successful away from home so far and are without their most important player, Hee-chan Hwang. In addition, the home side are superior in terms of play anyway. In addition, the Seagulls won the first leg 4:1 to claim their fifth win in a row

Alternatively, we recommend the odds for both “Teams to score – yes” between Brighton and Wolverhampton. Both teams have rarely failed to score or concede a goal this season, as was the case in the first leg. We would therefore not be surprised if we see a match with as many goals as the one almost five months ago.