Will the Colchoneros take the lead?
At first, Atletico Madrid did not exactly get off to the best start in the 2024/25 season. However, after the Colchoneros first lost 1-3 to OSC Lille in the Champions League in an English week in October, before also suffering a 1-0 defeat at Betis Sevilla in La Liga, they got back to winning ways in style. Our Atletico Madrid v Osasuna prediction is for a home win for the Rojiblancos, who have won an incredible 13 competitive games in a row since the defeat at Real Betis.
In La Liga, there was even a 2-1 away win at FC Barcelona shortly before the winter break, which consolidated the Madrilenians’ second place in the table behind city rivals Real Madrid. If the forecast of the next home win for the team of cult coach Diego Simeone comes true against Osasuna, the Colchoneros would even take the lead in the table temporarily, as the Blancos are currently in Saudi Arabia for the Supercopa de Espana.
Atletico Madrid may have lost their last home game against CA Osasuna 1-4, but they have won 11 of their last 12 competitive games against the Rojillos. All in all, the team from Pamplona is a formidable opponent at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano. After all, coach Vicente Moreno’s side have not won in six consecutive league games (four draws, two defeats).
In our opinion, there is a lot to be said for a start-to-finish victory for the in-form capital city team, which is why we favor the halftime final score bet 1/1 in this Sunday game, which can be played at LeoVegas at odds of 1.93.
Atletico Madrid – Statistics & current form
Last summer, Atletico Madrid only finished fourth in the final table, which is why the Rojiblancos are not currently qualified for the Supercopa de Espana taking place in Saudi Arabia. At first, it didn’t look like Diego Simeone’s team would be able to join the fight for the Spanish championship in 2025.
However, after not only FC Barcelona stumbled several times recently, but also Real Madrid dropped points, the Colchoneros are suddenly fully back in the race for the title. They are only two points behind city rivals Real Madrid.
13 consecutive competitive wins
If Atletico Madrid’s betting tip of a home win against Osasuna comes true, the Rojiblancos would take the lead in La Liga at least until next Thursday, which would be a highlight in the wake of their recent winning streak.
Since a 1-0 loss at Real Betis, which dates back to October 27, 2024, the capital city side have not lost a single competitive game. What’s more, they have won all 13 competitive games played since that defeat in Andalusia. Three days before Christmas, they even managed a 2-1 win at FC Barcelona.
Atletico Madrid are undefeated at home
Although Atleti only just managed a 1-0 away win against Marbella in the Copa del Rey during the week, the Colchoneros are now back at home, where they are an absolute force. In nine La Liga home matches in the 2024/25 season, the Rojiblancos have yet to lose (seven wins, two draws).
They also have a phenomenal record against CA Osasuna. The team from the Spanish capital have won 11 of their last 12 meetings with the Rojillos (one defeat). Considering that they have only conceded six goals in nine La Liga home games, they should be fine.
Osasuna – Statistics & current form
Club Atlético Osasuna had a very strong season as early as 2023/24, when the Pamplona-based side repeatedly sniffed out European starting places and ultimately finished eleventh.
The Rojillos were knocking on the top again for the new season, but they have lost their way a bit in the last few weeks before the winter break. After only four out of a possible 18 points from the last six league games, the club from the autonomous region of Navarra is now only in tenth place.
Osasuna with an underwhelming away record
Although the team of head coach Vicente Moreno has no relegation worries and also secured a place in the next round of the Copa del Rey with a 2-1 away win in Tenerife during the week. In La Liga, however, CA Osasuna have been waiting for another three points for six matchdays (four draws, two defeats).
Added to this is a generally unconvincing performance record away from home. The Rojillos have only managed a single win in eight league games away from home in the 2024/25 season (four draws, three defeats), which is also due to the fact that they have only scored five away goals compared to the 13 they have conceded away from home.
Osasuna concede too many goals
In general, the defense of Moreno’s team is too vulnerable to really be enough to fight for Europe. With 27 goals conceded already, the Pamplona team has the seventh-weakest defense in La Liga and the weakest defense of all ten teams in the upper half of the table.
It is therefore no wonder that the odds against the Rojillos are against Atletico Madrid against Osasuna. Although Club Atlético won their last game at the Colchoneros 4-1, Betano App quotes of 10.75 are on the books for tip 2, which is also due to the fact that Osasuna have lost 11 of their last 12 competitive games against the Madrilenians.
Atletico Madrid – Osasuna Direct comparison / H2H record
Head to head: 50 – 14 – 28
92 meetings have taken place between the two clubs so far, with Atletico Madrid winning well over half of them, 50. The capital city club also won 11 of their last 12 La Liga games against CA Osasuna, but were surprisingly beaten 4-1 by the Rojillos in their last home game on May 19, 2024. The Colchoneros will naturally want to get revenge for this.
Atletico Madrid – Osasuna Betting Tip
The betting odds for Atletico Madrid against Osasuna are clearly and unequivocally in favor of the Colchoneros, who have not only not lost in 13 competitive games in a row, but have actually won all 13 of them across all competitions. They also have the upper hand against the Rojillos, having won 11 of their last 12 meetings. As a result, the only question seems to be the margin of victory for the capital city side, who would even take the La Liga lead for a while with a win.
Accordingly, the prediction that the Rojiblancos will not only record a home win against Osasuna, who have not won in six league games (four draws, two defeats), but will also take the lead at half-time, makes sense against the visitors from Pamplona.
