Can Utah get their first home win of the season?

In the night from Thursday to Friday, the NBA will see the clash between Utah and Dallas. In terms of the standings, we are in the back third of the Western Conference in this duel, because while the Mavericks are currently in twelfth place, the home side are in last place. The table situation is also reflected in the betting odds of the bookmakers, which is why the Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks odds also clearly favor a win for the away team.

In the course of our Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks prediction, we will collect many more facts and take a closer look. We want to start with the home and away record of the two teams. Here, the two teams actually take hardly anything, because while the Mavs could only win one of their four away games, the hosts remained winless at home. So one of the two statistics will be improved a bit on the next game day.

The highest odds for a Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks tip for a victory of the favorite can be found at the bookmaker Bet-at-home, which we have tested. Tipoff is on Friday at 3:00 a.m. at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City. The game can be watched live and in full with the NBA League Pass.

Utah Jazz – Statistics & current form

Utah had a disastrous start to the season, winning only two of their first ten games. This puts Will Hardy’s team in only 27th place and in last place in the Western Conference. However, the gap to tenth place, which is enough to reach the play-in tournament, is only four wins. Furthermore, the team’s form has improved somewhat recently, as the home side has managed to win two of its last four games. Will the Utah Jazz get back on track?

We don’t think so, because Will Hardy’s team already missed the playoffs last season, and by a wide margin. In the end, Utah lacked a full 15 wins for tenth place and as many as 18 wins for a playoff spot. Moreover, the host team was unable to really strengthen its roster in the offseason. For this reason, we are also firmly convinced that the home side will not play a role this year either. The results so far speak for themselves and strongly support our statement.

Utah Jazz too harmless so far

With an average of only 105.7 points per game, the home side has the weakest offense in the National Basketball Association. In addition, only 42.7% of shots from the field find their way into the opposing basket. That is also the worst value of all 30 NBA teams. In addition, Will Hardy’s team has no player in the squad who scores 20 or more points on average. This is a real indictment and also explains the weak start to the season. With so little offensive power, it’s hard to win a game.

Utah Jazz are also too vulnerable defensively

However, it is not only in offense that things are going badly, but also in defense. Utah concedes an average of 119.0 points and is therefore ranked 26th in the league. So it doesn’t add up for the home side at the back or at the front, which makes us wonder how Will Hardy’s team has managed to win any games at all. On the other hand, the starting five reads very well with players like Collins, Markkanen and Sexton. The bench, on the other hand, sounds less impressive and that is where the problem lies.

Predicted Utah Jazz starting five:
Collins – Markkanen – Sexton – George – Williams

Dallas Mavericks – Statistics & current form

Dallas got off to a slightly better start this season, but will still be very dissatisfied with the results. Jason Kidd’s team has only won five of its first 11 games and is currently only twelfth in the West. With players like Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving and Klay Thompson, that’s definitely not good enough. On the other hand, playoff spots are currently only two wins away. A win against Utah is therefore almost mandatory and could even catapult the Mavs up to ninth place.

The playoffs are clearly the goal of the away team, because last season the Mavs finished the regular season in fifth place in the Western Conference. In the playoffs, Jason Kidd’s team only lost to the Boston Celtics in the finals and was thus on the verge of winning the championship. We should therefore not write off the guests yet, because once the train gets rolling, it is difficult to stop. We therefore believe Dallas can do well again this year.

Dallas lacks depth in its squad

With 114.4 points per game, the Mavericks’ offense is not to be underestimated. In a league-wide comparison, Jason Kidd’s team is ranked 13th with this value. Nevertheless, the away team has a glaring weakness, because while the starting five repeatedly delivers, the bench rarely manages to score. In the last game against the Golden State Warriors, the substitutes scored only 22 points and thus only 19% of all baskets. Furthermore, the free throw percentage of 76.5% is not particularly good.

Dallas is very solid at the back

It looks similar defensively, because Jason Kidd’s team is doing a very decent job here too. On average, the Mavs only concede 111.0 points per game and are therefore ranked eleventh in the NBA. This could be a deciding factor for victory or defeat in the game against the Utah Jazz, who are anything but dangerous on offense. If the visitors’ defense can build on its previous performances, there is little to stand in the way of a win.

Predicted Dallas Mavericks starting five:
Doncic – Irving – Thompson – Gafford – Marshall

Utah Jazz – Dallas Mavericks Head-to-head record

In a pure team analysis, the home side seem to be clearly inferior, but what about in direct comparison? Utah is actually ahead there, having won 85 of 152 duels. However, the Mavs have recently won six of the last nine games and thus caught up somewhat. For this reason, the Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks betting odds remained unaffected by the visitors’ negative record. Moreover, the visitors have already won this season with 110:102 against Utah.

Utah Jazz – Dallas Mavericks Tip

Before this duel, almost everything points to a victory for the away team. However, the odds hardly offer value, so we have decided on a different main bet. We therefore recommend the Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks betting tip on under 238.5 points in the game. This is primarily due to the weak offense of the home side, who only score 106 points per game on average. In addition, only 112 points were scored in the first meeting this season. In our opinion, the line is set far too high.

Alternatively, we recommend the Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks odds for an away win with a handicap of -5.5 points. Here we again refer to the duel on October 29, 2024, which the Mavs won by eight points. In addition, the home side lost by at least eight points in all of their eight defeats. So the line definitely has potential.