Lack of goals in Asunción?
While the teams in Europe are measuring their strength in the Nations League, the battle for the coveted starting places at the 2026 World Cup is already raging in South America. Two struggling teams will meet at the Chaco Defenders Stadium in Asunción. As expected, the bookies give the five-time world champions the better chance of victory in their Brazil vs Paraguay prediction.
Because, despite their recent weaker performances, Brazil are much stronger individually than the upcoming hosts. In addition, the Seleçao have usually emerged victorious in recent matches. For example, in the 4:1 victory over Paraguay at this year’s Copa América, the Brazilians’ only convincing performance at this tournament.
However, our Paraguay Brazil betting tip does not expect another resounding victory in the upcoming match. There are good reasons to be skeptical about a high-scoring game. After all, the Albirroja have scored just four goals in seven World Cup qualifying matches
And Brazil have also been stingy with goals so far despite having a top-class attack. The signs ahead of the upcoming match therefore do not point to a goal festival next Tuesday. That’s why we’re opting for the odds for less than three goals for Paraguay v Brazil at British bookmaker Bet365. As of this year, betting with this provider is tax-free.
Paraguay – Statistics & current form
The Albirroja have failed to qualify for the last three World Cup finals. And qualification for the upcoming final tournament in Canada, Mexico and the USA is also in serious jeopardy. After seven matchdays, Paraguay are only in seventh place in the standings, which would be enough to qualify for the play-offs.
Harmless, harmless, Paraguay
With a goal difference of 1:3, it is hard to believe that seven matchdays have already been played in the CONMEBOL group of the World Cup qualifiers. Gustavo Alfaro’s team, who took over from the hapless Daniel Garnero as head coach just last month, have scored just one goal. Will Alfaro be able to breathe new life into his offense, which is actually of good quality with numerous Premier League players, in such a short space of time?
There was an initial answer to this question last Saturday – and it was clear. The goalless draw against Uruguay was an indication that little has changed in Paraguay’s style of play under Alfaro. It therefore makes sense to bet on another low-scoring game between Paraguay and Brazil.
Nevertheless, the draw against the strong “Urus” was a respectable result. It is therefore not unlikely that Paraguay will draw at home against the unconvincing Brazilians, but only their second win in their eighth World Cup qualifier is rather unlikely, which is also underlined by the Paraguay vs Brazil odds in the betting markets.
Paraguay’s expected line-up:
Fernandez, Alonso, Alderete, Gomez, Velazquez, Gomez, Cubas, Almiron, Bobadilla, Enciso, Pitta
Brazil – Statistics & current form
Brazilian soccer has certainly experienced more glorious times than in recent weeks and months. After a disappointing performance at the Copa América, Fernando Diniz’s side have also not performed well in World Cup qualifying so far. Nevertheless, the Paraguay vs Brazil odds show a clear favorite role for the guests
Which face will Brazil show in Asunción?
Was last Friday’s unadorned home win over Ecuador the turning point for the five-time world champions? Before this home win, the proud Seleção had suffered three defeats in a row in World Cup qualifying – something that has not happened too often in soccer history and hurt the Brazilian soccer soul. However, a win in Paraguay would put Diniz’s side back on course for the 2026 World Cup.
In our Paraguay vs Brazil betting tip, we agree with the oddsmakers that the visitors have the better chance of winning the upcoming match. And the Brazilians are likely to end up with at least a point. However, based on the Seleção’s recent impressions, the possibility of only a draw should not be ruled out.
Even though Brazil have always come out on top in recent matches against the Albirroja, the Seleção’s recent performances do not necessarily encourage betting on an away win. The Brazilians’ attacking play in particular has provided little threat since the Copa América, despite the presence of top-class players such as Real Madrid duo Vinicius Junior and Rodrygo.
In six of their seven World Cup qualifying matches, Brazil scored a maximum of one goal, with their offense only impressing in the 5:0 victory over the whipping boys Bolivia. These problems were already apparent at the Copa América. Apart from the clear 4:1 victory against their upcoming opponents, the five-time world champions’ offense managed just one meager goal in their three other games at this tournament. Two of the four matches at this tournament ended in a goalless draw.
It is therefore unlikely that Paraguay’s prediction of another goal festival against Brazil will pay off. Especially as the upcoming hosts are the weakest team offensively in the current World Cup qualifiers in South America.
Predicted Brazil line-up:
Alisson, Danilo, Marquinhos, Gabriel, Arana, Andre, Guimaraes, Luiz Henrique, Lucas Paqueta, Vinicius Junior, Rodrygo
Paraguay – Brazil head-to-head / H2H result
The two nations have faced each other a total of 82 times. Unsurprisingly, the record so far is clearly in Brazil’s favor. The Seleção have won 50 matches, while the Albirroja have won just eleven, with no winners on 21 occasions. On home soil, however, Paraguay’s record in this encounter looks much better.
There have been eight wins and five draws in 25 games (8-5-12). If Gustavo Alfaro’s team can also secure at least one point next Tuesday, the bookies have attractive odds for Paraguay v Brazil. Nevertheless, this prediction is associated with a high level of risk due to the most recent showdowns between the two nations, in which Brazil always came out on top.
Paraguay – Brazil betting tip
Paraguay will be looking to remain unbeaten in their second match under new head coach Gustavo Alfaro. The chances of this are not too bad, as the name of the former soccer superpower Brazil no longer scares anyone these days. However, after three defeats in the World Cup qualifiers, the Seleção managed to bounce back in their home game against Ecuador last Friday.
However, this does not necessarily mean that Paraguay’s prediction of a second successive victory for Diniz’s team against Brazil will come true. The five-time world champions underlined their persistent problems in attack in particular last Friday. Despite highly talented individuals such as Rodrygo and Vini Junior, Brazil simply cannot get their horsepower on the road. It is therefore rightly doubtful that they will be able to score more than one goal against the defensively strong hosts Paraguay
At least the Brazilians are good defensively and have only conceded three goals in their last five international matches – surely the signature of Fernando Diniz. As far as the goal threat of the upcoming hosts is concerned, there is probably no need to say anything more, as they have only scored once in seven qualifying matches.
The best option for Paraguay v Brazil is therefore to bet on a low-scoring encounter. In addition, betting that neither team will score next Tuesday seems promising
