Will the world champions not give Brazil a chance?

It still takes some getting used to when the German national basketball team is presented as world champions at every suitable opportunity. However, after an outstanding World Championship last year, the DBB men are also the hunted at the 2024 Olympics. Nevertheless, head coach Gordon Herbert’s charges have set their sights on a medal and could take the decisive step towards the quarter-finals on Tuesday evening. If the betting tip between Germany and Brazil proves correct, Dennis Schröder and Co. would be in with a chance of reaching the last eight as the seeded team

Before the final group match with hosts France, certainly the most complicated opponent in Group B, the task against the South American representative should not be underestimated. In their first Olympic game, the Brazilians put up a good fight against the French for long stretches, but ultimately lost by twelve points. Coach Petrovic’s squad, which features a number of EuroLeague stars, will therefore be under pressure against the DBB team. However, we wouldn’t be surprised if a prediction of a relatively close match with a narrow outcome comes true in the duel between Germany and Brazil

Although the extremely one-sided Germany vs Brazil odds on the two-way market could lead to the conclusion that the second win in the second game will be a mere formality, the Brazilians are clearly stronger than Japan. Especially if Yago, Meindl and Co. get hot from beyond the three-point line, it could be a hard-fought encounter. If you therefore want to minimize your own betting risk, we recommend the Betway bonus in July 2024. All new customers will have their first deposit of up to 100 euros doubled

Germany – Statistics & current form

The German basketball team started the Olympic tournament with a fitting triumph. The world champions won a commanding 97:77 against the Japanese team and presented themselves in good form. With over 60% from two-point range, a three-point percentage of almost 38% and a reliable 91% from the free throw line, the DBB men laid the foundation for their success with their high-quality shooting. 24 assists and five turnovers underlined the all-round successful start, which should, however, be correctly classified in view of the overtaxed opponents

Germany must rebound better defensively

The fact is that, despite their physical superiority and enormous depth on the bench, the Germans not only conceded twelve offensive rebounds to Japan, but even lost the duel under the baskets – measured by the total number of rebounds. That could prove to be a sticking point on Tuesday evening, as the Brazilians also play fast basketball, shoot a lot from outside and are physically a completely different caliber.

The aim of Herbert’s team must therefore be to gain control, make good decisions from the set play and secure the defensive board. Should they succeed in doing so, the pendulum will once again swing in the DBB men’s favor. Nevertheless, the question must be asked whether there is value to be found in the odds on the world champions’ victory ahead of Germany’s second group game against Brazil? Our answer would rather be: no!

Although the advantages of the well-coordinated collective around the NBA stars Schröder, Franz Wagner, Moritz Wagner and Daniel Theis are obvious, we would be cautious about placing a bet on a resounding victory. We think twelve points is too high a handicap line. Instead, we are leaning towards a narrow victory with a maximum difference of five points. If you are of a similar opinion, you can play exactly this bet in the Bet365 app, which in this form even secures a surprise success for the Brazilians

Brazil – Statistics & current form

In the run-up to this Olympic basketball tournament, it was already clear to a certain extent that Brazil and Japan would be fighting it out for third place in Group B. This is important insofar as, in addition to the respective first and second-placed teams in all three preliminary groups, the two best third-placed teams in the group will also make it through to the quarter-finals. With this in mind, it is important for the South Americans to keep the defeats against France and Germany, which were probably “planned”, within limits and then secure their progress with a final win against Japan.

Brazil are reliant on a good three-point percentage

The French team did a good job of that in their opening game. Although coach Aleksandar Petrovic’s team ultimately lost to the highly favored hosts by twelve points, they kept up very well. Ultimately, it was a poor third quarter with just nine points scored that proved to be the nail in the coffin. Nevertheless, the Brazilians proved impressively that they should not be underestimated. In view of this, anyone wishing to bet on a surprise coup for the men from the Sugarloaf Mountain on Tuesday evening in Lille will find top odds of 7.60 between Germany and Brazil.

One advantage for the Brazilians could be that they have already been traveling together for many weeks. It was only at the beginning of the month, for example, that the world number two qualified for these Olympic Games. At the qualifying tournament in Riga, the Brazilians won three of their four matches, including the final against the hosts from Latvia with 94:69! Despite the aforementioned defeat against France, the South Americans can therefore be said to be in good shape.

There is also no shortage of prominent players in the squad. Yago Santos and Bruno Caboclo led Ulm to a sensational championship in 2023 and are now under contract with EuroLeague teams. Marcelinho Huertas has been one of the best rebounders in Spain’s Liga Endesa for a decade and players like Felicio, Leo Meindl and Vitor Benite are used to the FIBA basketball practiced at the Olympics. The Petrovic team is defined by good long-range shooters and hard, physical work in the zone. On a good day, this team can beat any opponent or at least put up an intense fight.

Germany – Brazil head-to-head / H2H result

The last time the teams faced each other was in the final of the qualifying tournament for the 2021 Olympic Games in Tokyo. Led by the outstanding Moritz Wagner, who scored 28 points, the DBB men won 75:64. The German team has won a total of three international matches to date, two of which were victorious.

Incidentally, we think it is unlikely that Moritz Wagner of the Orlando Magic will be just as outstanding on Tuesday evening. The scoring burden for the Germans is spread over many shoulders, and we don’t expect Germany to score as many points as in the opener. We are therefore also checking the odds for a maximum of eleven points between Germany and Brazil from Moritz Wagner, the brother of Franz Wagner, who is currently the highest-paid athlete from Germany in the NBA

Germany – Brazil betting tip

Only twelve teams are taking part in the men’s Olympic basketball tournament. The density of performance is therefore absolutely tight and guarantees many close matches. Only in two of the six games on the first match day did one team win by more than twelve points. We were therefore all the more surprised that the betting odds were so clearly in favor of the world champions on Tuesday evening between Germany and Brazil.

The euphoria surrounding the Herbert team remains unbroken, but the Brazilian team should not be taken lightly either. With a good three-point percentage, fewer turnovers than in the opener against France (66:78) and the ability to play their physicality under the baskets, the Petrovic team can be expected to do well against Dennis Schröder and Co.

The OSC Lille soccer stadium will once again be packed with almost 30,000 spectators on Tuesday when Germany and Brazil face off in Group B on matchday two. In view of the factors and impressions listed above, our tip is for a handicap bet in favor of the Brazilians. We believe that the DBB men will retain the upper hand with a maximum lead of twelve points. We have found odds of 1.87 at Betway