Will Arsenal temporarily move to the top of the table?
A derby between Arsenal FC and Brentford FC in England’s top flight on Saturday. In terms of the table, it looks like a very one-sided game, because while the Gunners are currently playing for the championship, the Bees have their backs to the wall and are currently fighting to avoid relegation. For this reason, the bookmakers’ odds between Arsenal and Brentford clearly favor a win for the home team
However, the visiting team should not be underestimated, as Thomas Frank’s team did manage to earn a point against Chelsea last weekend. At one point, Brentford were even leading 2:1. On the other hand, we must not forget that the away record is significantly weaker than the home record. Therefore, the odds between Arsenal and Brentford clearly speak against an away win
We recommend betting on Bukayo Saka to score between Arsenal and Brentford. The English attacker has already scored 31 goals this season, making him by far the most dangerous player in Mikel Arteta’s ranks. The youngster has also been on fire of late, scoring seven goals in his last six league games. The 22-year-old winger only failed to score in the 6-0 defeat to Sheffield United
This Premier League match kicks off at 18:30 on Saturday at the Emirates Stadium in London. The match can be watched live and in full on Sky Sport or Wow.
Arsenal – Statistics & current form
Arsenal are currently in third place in the Premier League and are having an excellent season so far. Mikel Arteta’s side currently have just two points less than current leaders Liverpool. As the Reds and Manchester City will be stealing points from each other on the upcoming matchday, the Gunners could at least jump to second place with a win. A draw between the two rivals would even put first place within reach.
The Gunners are also in third place in the home table, having picked up 32 points from 13 home games and have only lost a single match at home. The only home defeat was against West Ham United and was absolutely avoidable due to the course of the game. The major shortcoming in this game was clearly the conversion of chances, as Arsenal took 30 shots and missed five great opportunities. That is very unusual, because with 34 goals in 13 home games, the home side are hard to stop at home
New arrival from city rivals
Kai Havertz moved from Chelsea to Arsenal for 75 million euros in the summer. The move was ridiculed in the media, as the German international was not in really good form before his transfer. The midfielder struggled in his first few months at his new club, but the attacking player now seems to have found his feet. Havertz has really turned up the heat in the last three league games in particular, scoring three goals and providing two assists.
With a total of 87 goals in 38 competitive matches (⌀ 2.29), the home side’s attack is doing an outstanding job. The Gunners even have the best offense in the Premier League. In addition, Mikel Arteta’s team have only failed to score five times this season, finding the back of the net in almost 87% of matches. In their own stadium, the rate is even better at 88%. A goal against FC Brentford therefore seems almost set in stone
Very stable defensively
In addition to Arsenal FC’s offense, the defense has also done a great job so far. The Gunners have conceded just 34 goals in 38 games (⌀ 0.89), making them the best back line in the English top flight. It is therefore no wonder that the hosts have already kept a clean sheet 15 times this season, conceding at least one goal in just 60% of their games. Incidentally, Mikel Arteta’s team also kept a clean sheet against Brentford in the first half of the season.
Predicted Arsenal line-up:
Brentford – Statistics & current form
Brentford currently find themselves in 13th place in the English top flight and are therefore having a rather mixed season. After 27 games, Thomas Frank’s side have just 26 points to their name and are therefore in the relegation battle. However, the situation is still quite manageable, as the Bees are currently six points clear of the first relegation spot. However, as Luton Town still have one more game to go, the gap could soon be gone. A point against a top team would therefore be hugely important.
The visitors have played 13 away games in the Premier League, picking up just ten points in the process. The Bees can be anything but satisfied with this record, as it puts Thomas Frank’s team in 15th place in the away table. In addition, only one team in the English top flight has lost more away games and that is Sheffield United (10). There are therefore no signs of a points haul ahead of this match. Nevertheless, we should not forget that this is a derby
Duell with the new club (?)
Attacker Ivan Toney was suspended for over six months and only made his comeback on 20.01.2024. Since then, the attacker has played eight games and scored four goals. The England international is building on the great performances of the previous season. It is therefore no wonder that there are already a number of interested parties for next summer. One of the potential buyers is Arsenal, who would probably be prepared to pay the required sum. Currently, between 70 and 100 million euros are on the table.
With 43 goals in 31 competitive matches (⌀ 1.39), the visiting team’s offense is neither particularly strong nor particularly weak In a league-wide comparison, Thomas Frank’s team scored more goals than eight other Premier League teams (including Manchester United). As a result, the Bees only failed to score six times and found the back of the net in 81% of games. We would therefore not necessarily speculate on a clean sheet for the Gunners.
A little too vulnerable
While the visitors’ offense has done a decent job so far, the Bees’ defensive line has not been convincing. Brentford FC have already conceded 50 goals in the league alone, making them one of the weakest defenses in the Premier League. It is therefore hardly surprising that Thomas Frank’s team have only kept a clean sheet four times this season, conceding one goal in 87% of their competitive matches.
Predicted Brentford line-up:
Arsenal – Brentford head-to-head comparison / H2H record
Surprisingly, the direct comparison between the two teams is completely even. Arsenal have won seven matches against Brentford, while four games have ended in a draw and the home side have also won seven. However, the Gunners have held their own in the recent past, winning four of their last five matches. For this reason, our prediction between Arsenal and Brentford also goes in the direction of the favorite
Arsenal – Brentford betting tip
We recommend a win for the home team in conjunction with a half-time lead between Arsenal and Brentford. Our recommendation is almost self-explanatory, as everything really speaks in favor of the Gunners ahead of this match. Mikel Arteta’s side are very strong at home, are in much better form and also have a much better quality squad. In addition, the Bees’ away record is appalling, so anything other than a clear win for the favorites would come as a bit of a surprise
Alternatively, we recommend the odds on a win for the home side with a handicap of -1 between Arsenal and Brentford. In our opinion, the odds are highly recommended, as the Gunners have been on a roll recently and have scored 21 goals (⌀ 5.25) in their last four league games. In addition, the Bees’ backline is not particularly good, which suggests a clear victory