Is there a shock for the Irons?
Imagine going into the international break in 14th place with 14 points and a nine point lead, and coming back with four points and 19th place. Not possible? Not possible! A week or so ago, the Ballers were docked a full ten points for breaching financial regulations. Now Liverpool start the 13th Premier League game from a relegation place. The visitors to Goodison Park are the struggling record champions, who can however record their third successive league win
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However, Everton vs Manchester United is not a particularly good bet for an away win. The Red Devils have been too inconsistent and inoffensive in recent weeks. Erik ten Hagg has been the subject of much criticism and could be questioned again in the event of another late Sunday afternoon disappointment. The task won’t be a walk in the park for Bruno Fernandez and company anyway, as the „Ballers“ certainly don’t look like a relegation-threatened team lately
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In particular, the visitors from the industrial city could cling to a generally solid home defence. Without going into detail, the prediction of quite a few goals between Everton and Manchester United over the course of the match provides attractive value
Everton – Statistics and current form
Just as Everton Football Club started to gain momentum, the news of points deduction hit like a bombshell. As the Liverpool club was accused of making losses of more than the allowed 120 million euros in the last three years, it was punished with a draconian penalty – the withdrawal of ten points. Immediately after the verdict was announced, a punishment that Everton said was „unfair and disproportionate“ was imposed, resulting in the Irises falling to penultimate place in the league table. It is only because of their better goal difference than Burnley that Everton are not in 20th place.
It will now be interesting to see how the team will cope with the setback, for which it bears no responsibility. Both extremes seem thinkable in terms of atmosphere and performance. Either a positive „now is the right time“ type mentality will develop that will rally the collective even more, or the upward sporting trend will come to an abrupt halt as the team is denied the chance to catch up from mid-table
Everton are comfortable when they don’t have to play the game
Considering the recent results, the prediction between Everton and Manchester United leans more towards the home side getting a point. Before the international break, coach Sean Deitch’s team had a very solid asset of seven points from three games. In fact, they have won three of their last five Premier League games. Thus, all four wins this season came in the last seven games in the English Premier League. Therefore, it can be said that the „Ballers“ are in very solid form, which is again based on a compact back line.
Liverpool have conceded only five goals in their last five games. With a total of 17 goals conceded, the Blues have one of the best defensive lines in the bottom half of the table. Furthermore, keeper Pickford has conceded only six of those 17 goals at home. In their six home games, only sensationally promoted Luton Town (1-2) have managed to get on the scoresheet twice at Goodison Park.
This once again underlines the fact that Deutch’s team find it much harder to play as favourites than as underdogs. Against the Red Devils, the „ballers“ can confine themselves entirely to defensive work and score goals through substitutions and offside. This is one of the reasons why we see more attractive value in the 1X double chance odds between Everton and Manchester United.
Everton’s predicted line-up:
Manchester United – Statistics & Current Form
There are still a few real weeks of truth before the end of the year between Manchester United and manager Eric Tan Hague. In the Premier League, the record champions must ensure they don’t completely lose touch with the top. At Champions League level there is also the threat of a bitter end two games from the end. Galatasaray’s visit to Istanbul next Wednesday is absolutely crucial in that respect.
First, though, the Red Devils want to confirm the pleasing results of the recent past. The global club from the industrial city has won four of its last five Premier League games. However, this result has to be kept in perspective as Marcus Rashford and company were not convincing in any of those four victories. With a lot of luck, opponents from the bottom half of the table (Luton, Brentford, Sheffield and Fulham) were beaten by exactly one goal each. Against stronger rivals like Manchester City (0-3) or in Copenhagen (3-4) they not only lost but conceded multiple goals
How long can ten hagg be maintained?
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Another worrying aspect is that there are hardly any clubs in the English Premier League that are even more harmless in attack than MUFC. Coach ten Hagg’s stellar ensemble has scored just 13 goals so far. On only three of the twelve occasions have they scored more than one goal, and in half of all the PL games played would the under 2.5 bet have gone out, the last twice in a row. Between Everton and Manchester United, the odds for few goals over the course of the game also play an important part in our reasoning.
Despite the fact that the champions of record have won all three of their last away games in the PL, we’d go for the away team, who are certainly stronger in terms of quality. On the one hand, there is a lot of pressure on the players & coaches, on the other hand, we can’t expect Lady Luck to have her fingers in the pie again. The conclusion is that we wouldn’t even be surprised if the Dutch coach is relieved of his duties before the end of this calendar year. The gap between ambition and reality is too wide – in terms of results and football.
Manchester United’s predicted squad:
Everton – Manchester United direct match results comparison / H2H
In the last eight Premier League meetings between these teams Everton has reached the victory only once (four draws, three defeats). In contrast, the ‚Balls have lost just four of their last eleven home games in the English Premier League. In the previous season, Man Utd narrowly won the first and second games 2-1 and 2-0. However, the last time the Red Devils scored two consecutive wins at Goodison Park was in 2007. Good omen for Everton FC on Sunday afternoon?
Betting order for Everton – Manchester United
For the first time since October 2022, Everton Football Club could achieve two consecutive Premier League wins on a Sunday afternoon. Although the betting odds between Everton and Manchester United don’t necessarily point to three home wins, we wouldn’t rule out such a scenario by any means. The ‚Toppers‘ have been in impressive form recently, picking up seven points from their last three games and winning three of their last five league games.
However, it remains to be seen how coach Sean Deach’s team will respond to the incidents during the international break. With ten points lost, Liverpool suddenly found themselves back in the relegation spot and under pressure to pick up points to stay in the relegation fight. The Red Devils could prove to be a welcome visitor, as so far this season the Stripes have had a much easier time as underdogs
Further complicating matters from MUFC’s perspective is the fact that the results on show don’t scare the competition. The individual quality is there, but as a team, the Hague Ten line-up hasn’t even come close to convincing. That’s why we predict a 0-0 draw between Everton and Manchester United at the break. The hosts certainly won’t be unhappy with that, while the visitors have scored just 13 goals so far and don’t have much attacking power anyway. Intervet’s top odds of 3.20 are too high in any case, so we play with four units