Will Jordan Love continue his strong start?
Packers vs. Lions – a tip for the Thursday Night Game that seems to become more difficult than keeping Bayern away from the German championship. Because both teams have been equally convincing so far – but both also with exceptions.
Recently, both offenses had enormous difficulties scoring points. The positive thing about this situation: It became obvious that both teams can also rely on their defenses – something that was not to be expected before the season, especially with the Lions.
With 20.7 points conceded per game (Packers) and 21.0 (Lions), both are in the upper midfield of the league here, which also promises no scoring spectacle for Thursday. It is unlikely that the 50-point mark will be broken here.
So for Packers vs. Lions our forecast is a defence dominated game, which Green Bay could win narrowly in the end due to their even slightly better defence. It would give them a great 3-1 start, which would then silence the Jordan Love critics.
Kick-off of the NFC North battle is Thursday night at 02:20 in Green Bay. The game can be watched live on DAZN.
Green Bay Packers – Statistics & current form
The Packers were already back in Aaron Rodgers comeback mode on Sunday – only without Rodgers, but with Jordan Love. That’s a good sign that even the young quarterback can win games already, even if he’s down 17-0 before the final quarter.
However, the Packers defence also had a lot of shares in the game in this success, which had unnerved New Orleans at the end and stopped them continuously. In the end, they held New Orleans to only 252 yards. They themselves scored 340, which also shows that the victory was thoroughly deserved.
The foundation is right in Green Bay
So the basics were there again against the Saints. A strong defence, a Jordan Love who makes few mistakes of his own, and a coaching staff that knows when which play is called. These three ingredients alone can form a powerful team.
In the end, the only things missing are top receivers and running backs to become a contender. Perhaps the situation can best be compared to the Eagles of two years ago. Hurts made the decisive move and A.J. Brown was traded – and they were already a contender.
What is important against the Lions?
Now against Detroit on Thursday, it’s important to continue this consistent defensive work. Jared Goff can also be rattled with enough pressure – especially since his best playmaker Amon-Ra St. Brown has been banged up for a week.
With running back David Montgomery also out, the Packers can focus primarily on their secondary and play to one of their great strengths. It wouldn’t surprise us if they could force Goff into more interceptions.
All in all, however, it is unlikely to be an offensive spectacle. That also plays into the Packers’ favour as we see them as the more ball-secure team. So the odds are a little better on Green Bay at home at Lambeau Field in Packers vs. Lions.
Key Players:
- QB: Jordan Love
- RB: Aaron Jones
- WR: Romeo Doubs
- TE: Luke Musgrave
- K: Anders Carlson
Detroit Lions – Statistics & current form
The Lions can play defence. That is probably the first learning from their start to the season. However, it was obvious in the 31:37 against the Seahawks that this is not yet completely constant. Against Kansas City and Atlanta, however, the whole thing looked promising.
Above all, it was surprising that their secondary did not completely collapse despite the loss of C. J. Gardner-Johnson. Especially rookie Brian Branch showed an outstanding performance with eleven tackles. The second round pick definitely paid off.
Defence duel expected
But now they have a similarly good, if not even better, defence coming at them in the form of the Packers. Of course, the loss of David Montgomery as the starting running back hurts. Jahmyr Gibbs has talent, but opposing defenses already know what the Lions want to do with him.
For example, his runs on the outside are not as successful as Detroit had envisioned. And over the middle, he’s just not the top running back. So the Lions are in a bit of a dilemma with their playcalling.
They have to throw more, which of course plays into the hands of the opposing secondaries. If St.Brown doesn’t put an over game on the field on Thursday, we see the Lions at a disadvantage in this matchup, which may end up costing them the win as well.
More turnovers than last year
The Lions were the most ball-secure team in the league in the preseason (only 15 turnovers in 17 games), but now they already have five turnovers after three games. That’s when you notice their numerous absences, because the backups are not as well-rehearsed.
Another point that speaks slightly in favour of Green Bay on Thursday. Besides bets on a few points, a bet on the Packers is therefore interesting for Green Bay vs. Detroit. The most value is even a combination of a Packers win + under 45.5 total points. Both are quite likely.
Key Players:
- QB: Jared Goff
- RB: Jahmyr Gibbs
- WR: Amon-Ra St. Brown
- TE: Sam LaPorta
- K: Riley Patterson
Green Bay Packers – Detroit Lions Direct Comparison / H2H Balance
Let’s move on to a point in Detroit’s favour: the direct comparison. All three of the last direct duels went to the Lions and at Lambeau Field they won four of the last eight duels – and that during the Aaron Rodgers era.
So they have one of the best records in this stadium in recent years. They also won 20-16 in this stadium on the last day of the pre-season and thus spoiled the Packers’ play-off qualification.
That, in turn, should spur the Packers on enormously, so that they are eager for revenge. There are a number of points in favour of a drawn game, which is why the sub-par games of the previous season (24 and 36) could find a continuation and a bet on sub-par points is to be favoured for Packers vs. Lions.
Green Bay Packers – Detroit Lions Tip
The Lions have often looked good recently in Green Bay, but they are also dealing with some injury concerns. The Packers also have a few absences, but the Lions’ weigh a bit heavier in our opinion.
In this respect, a bet on the Packers + Under 45.5 total points is our choice for Packers vs. Lions. It is unlikely that this duel will turn into a shootout like the one the season before last without Aaron Rodgers.
As an alternative for a Player Bet, we see the odds on a touchdown by Romeo Doubs in Packers vs. Lions as exciting. He has become Jordan Love’s absolute favourite target in Watson’s absence (3 touchdowns already this season).