Tough act to follow on Burnley anniversary?
When Burnley host the English record champions on Tuesday night, the Clarets will be looking to reach a milestone. After all, it will be Burnley’s 5000th league game in English football since the Football League was founded in 1888, and the venerable east Lancashire club will become only the second professional club after Preston North End to reach the mark.
Meanwhile, the Clarets, who currently hold the red lantern in the Premier League, could move into the first non-relegation spot with a treble. However, the bottom side will be the underdogs against in-form Red Devils. Ahead of Burnley’s clash with Manchester United, the odds are swinging towards the visitors.
However, the English record champions did not exactly cover themselves with glory last week. Also because 30 shots resulted in only one goal, Manchester United did not get beyond a 1-1 draw against Middlesbrough in the FA Cup and then failed in the penalty shootout.
It could also be difficult to score against the defensively very compact Clarets, which is why we see the greatest value in betting on under 2.5 goals for Burnley against Manchester United.
Burnley – Statistics & current form
Two-time English champions Burnley FC (1921 and 1960) are once again in danger of losing their place in the Premier League. The Clarets have won only one of their 19 league games and are thus in the red.
The fact that the situation does not seem completely hopeless despite only one win is due to the fact that more than half of all league games (ten) of Sean Dyche’s team ended in a draw. That means there are only eight defeats on record, which leaves them three points off the safety line.
The second weakest attack in the Premier League
A home win against the English record champions would come at an appropriately good time, but they have recently suffered five consecutive home defeats in the Premier League, in which the Clarets’ offence failed to score a single goal.
It could be difficult to score goals again now, as the club from the east of Lancashire has the second weakest attack in the entire Premier League with only 16 goals. Meanwhile, centre-forward Chris Wood left for rivals Newcastle in the winter and successor Wout Weghorst is yet to acclimatise.
Recent two 0-0s in a row
Accordingly, the Clarets are left with only the underdog role in this duel.
Because, conversely, the defence once again stood firm and did not concede a goal, these encounters also ended in a goalless draw in each case. With this in mind, it makes the most sense to bet on a low-scoring match at Turf Moor.
Predicted Burnley line-up:
Pope – Pieters – Mee – Tarkowski – Roberts – McNeil – Stephens – Westwood – Lennon – Weghorst – Cornet
Last matches played by Burnley:
Premier League
02/05 2022 – Burnley 0 – 0 Watford
01/23 2022 – Arsenal London 0 – 0 Burnley
FA Cup
01/08 2022 – Burnley 1 – 2 Huddersfield
Premier League
01/02 2022 – Leeds 3 – 1 Burnley
12/30 2021 – Manchester United 3 – 1 Burnley
Manchester United – Statistics & current form
Since Ralf Rangnick took over for the resigned Ole Gunnar Solskjaer on an interim basis until the end of the season, things have been running smoothly again at Manchester United, at least in league play.
The English record champions lost only one of ten league games under the German coach (six wins, three draws) and thus returned to fourth place. However, Arsenal and Tottenham are both only two points behind and have played one and two league games less than the Red Devils, respectively, so they need to keep up the pace.
How do United react to the bitter cup exit?
Meanwhile, it is clear that the English record champions cannot win a title, at least in the FA Cup. Although Ralf Rangnick sent an absolutely A eleven onto the pitch, in which even Paul Pogba was involved for the first time after a long injury, United failed in the 4th round against second division Middlesbrough on Friday.
The lack of attacking power was problematic. From a missed penalty to a goal against the post and a crossbar to several unused 100% scoring chances, there was a lot of slapstick involved in a total of 30 shots, which ultimately led to the penalty shootout, in which youngster Elanga’s nerves failed him.
Won the last five away games at Burnley all to nil
Now it’s up to the Red Devils to get some more attacking punch back on the pitch against a very similarly minded opponent, who are also likely to be looking to destroy games and mix concrete. It is clear, however, that the longer it is 0-0, the more difficult the situation becomes.
Therefore, there is a lot of value in betting on Burnley against Manchester United to score less than 2.5 goals. After all, more goals have not been scored in any of the last eight away games at Turf Moor, of which the English record champions have at least won the last five games without conceding a goal, either 1-0 or 2-0.
Predicted Manchester United line-up:
De Gea – Shaw – Maguire – Varane – Wan-Bissaka – Pogba – McTominay – Elanga – Fernandes – Rashford – Ronaldo
Last matches played by Manchester United:
FA Cup
02/04 2022 – Manchester United (7)1 – 1(8) Middlesboro
Premier League
01/22 2022 – Manchester United 1 – 0 West Ham
01/19 2022 – Brentford 1 – 3 Manchester United
01/15 2022 – Aston Villa 2 – 2 Manchester United
FA Cup
01/10 2022 – Manchester United 1 – 0 Aston Villa
Burnley – Manchester United Direct Comparison / H2H Balance
Head to head: 45 – 23 – 65
The two teams have faced each other 133 times in a competitive match so far and with 65 wins, almost half of the duels went to the Red Devils, who most recently recorded three victories in a row over Burnley. The English record champions last celebrated a 3-1 home win in the first leg on 30 December 2021.
Burnley – Manchester United betting tips
Burnley vs Manchester United is a three-legged affair for the Red Devils, who have won their last five away games at Turf Moor without conceding a goal. However, with the Clarets very compact defensively, the English record champions, who already scored only one goal from 30 shots and the most top-class chances in the FA Cup last Friday, are likely to face a game of patience, which must first be put on the right track.
There is much to suggest that the defensively strong hosts will be able to keep the Red Devils in check, and perhaps even unnerve them, for long stretches of the game at least. Because a 0-0 draw cannot be ruled out, the greatest value lies in betting on a maximum of two goals