Can the Celeste upset the sovereign Selecao?
Head coach Tite’s side lost their spotless whitewash in their tenth qualifier, having to settle for a goalless draw against Los Cafeteros. The five-time world champions have home advantage again to complete the October triple-header. Brazil and Uruguay face off in Manaus
Brazil may not have secured their World Cup ticket yet, but there is no longer any doubt about it. The Selecao are in outstanding form and have gone from victory to victory recently. After losing the first point against Colombia, they are now looking for another win. The betting odds offered for the Brazil vs. Uruguay match are in the region of 1.50 for this bet.
Uruguay has also been one of the top teams in South American football in recent years, but not only is the coach of the Tabarez team at an advanced age, but the team is also slowly but surely past its zenith. Accordingly, the clear role of the favourites is absolutely understandable. The match in the Arena de Amazonia kicks off on Thursday night at 2:30 a.m. Central European Time.
Brazil – Statistics & current form
After the disappointing World Cup in 2016, Tite took over the Selecao and breathed new life into them. In the meantime, the Brazilian national team has already played 65 international matches under his wing and boasts an outstanding average of 2.43 points per game. Outstanding figures – and yet a flaw remains, because Neymar & Co could only celebrate winning the Copa America in 2019. That year saw a bitter defeat to arch-rivals Argentina in the final.
Outstanding defence
For many decades, Brazil has always had exceptional players on the offensive. In Neymar, Tite can also rely on an absolutely exceptional player who always displays great ambition in the national team. 138 goals were scored in the 65 international matches, which means an average of just over two goals per match. A passable figure, but the defence is absolutely outstanding.
Whether it’s Alisson from Liverpool FC or Ederson from Manchester City in goal, the box is usually kept clean. The Selecao have conceded just 26 goals in the Tite era. In Brazilian international matches, bets are often placed on the Seelcao to win “to nil “
Seven of eight games ended with a score of under 2.5
A strong offence, which however rarely ignites a goal festival, and a superior defence add up to a clear tendency towards the under 2.5. Seven of the most recent eight international matches ended with a maximum of two goals. The only exception was the 3-1 win in Venezuela. Between Brazil and Uruguay, odds of over 2.00 are currently offered for the over 2.5. Quite understandable, although these betting odds do have value.
Uruguay’s defence is getting on in years and already revealed major problems against the Gauchos. Luis Suarez and Edinson Cavani are also at the end of their careers, but still know how to impress with their scoring threat. Despite Brazil’s strong defence, a goal would by no means be a surprise.
In addition, Brazil’s first loss of a point and the loss of their spotless white waistcoat may cause the tension to drop a little, as their World Cup ticket is more or less fixed. So there could also be a rotation or two in the camp of the title-winning eleven.
Predicted line-up of Brazil:
Alisson – Alex Sandro, Marquinhos, Militao, Danilo – Fabinho, Fred – Paqueta, Neymar, Gabriel Jesus – Gabriel Barbosa
Last matches played by Brazil:
Uruguay – Statistics & Current Form
In the second match of the current course, the two-time world champions conceded an emphatic 3-0 rebuff from the Albiceleste. A highly deserved defeat, but one that did not have too much of an impact. After all, all five teams between third and seventh place missed out on a win on the eleventh qualifying matchday. This makes the race for the four direct World Cup tickets even more open. As things stand, long-term coach Oscar Tabarez’s side should be jubilant, with Uruguay remaining in fourth place.
A team above its zenith
The Celeste are far from having their World Cup ticket in the bag and the upcoming international matches will accordingly have great significance. All in all, the two-time world champions have to admit unreservedly that the team is getting on in years. The ruthlessness and scoring threat of a Suarez or Cavani still helps in individual situations, but in the past the duo went extremely wide and worked enormously for the team. The passage of time is undeniable in that respect, and Suarez and Cavani increasingly need the balls in the front third to be dangerous.
But the defence is also ageing with Diego Godin and Fernando Muslera (both 35) as well as Martin Caceres (34) and Sebastian Coates (31). The upcoming World Cup, if the qualification is successful, could possibly be one of the last participations for a long time. The upcoming generation is currently unable to build on the existing performance A point win in Manaus would therefore be a big surprise and recommended between Brazil and Uruguay this tip is by no means.
Only an away win
The underdog role is also underlined by the available away statistics. The Tabarez eleven does not necessarily feel comfortable outside the country’s borders. In the current qualifiers, only the match in Colombia (3:0) was victorious. On the other hand, they lost in Ecuador and at the weekend in Argentina and drew in Venezuela and Peru.
Predicted Uruguay line-up:
Muslera – Vina, Godin, Coates, Araujo, Nandez – Rodriguez, Vecino, Valverde, de la Cruz – Luis Suarez
Last matches played by Uruguay:
Brazil – Uruguay Direct comparison / H2H balance
This is the twelfth time the two former world champions have faced each other in World Cup qualifying. So far, the Celeste from Uruguay have not had much reason to laugh against the team from Sugarloaf. Only once did Uruguay celebrate a victory (qualification for the 2002 World Cup), in the ten remaining games there were five Brazilian victories and five draws. The Tite team won the first leg 2-0.
Brazil also has the lead in direct comparisons across all competitions, although Uruguay has been able to celebrate far more often. In 77 international matches, the two-time world champions have celebrated 20 victories, while Brazil have been able to celebrate 37 times.
Brazil – Uruguay tip
The home side can already use the remaining qualifiers to do some experimenting. The World Cup ticket can still be taken away from Brazil mathematically, but it is by no means realistic. It is possible that head coach Tite will give one or two European legionnaires a rest as early as Thursday night. Nevertheless, between Brazil and Uruguay, a prediction on the visitors is far too risky.
The visitors are by no means in strong form and have failed to score a goal of their own in their last two international matches. At the same time, Uruguay still have a big-name attack at their disposal. Despite the two games without a goal, our prediction between Brazil and Uruguay is for at least one goal from both teams. The home side will not be expected to play with the utmost consistency and concentration, which should definitely create opportunities At least one goal is therefore to be trusted to Suarez & Co, betting odds of up to 2.30 seem a bit too high here.