Jannik, even if only for a week, could once again overtake the Spaniard. That’s why the 2003 class is still not sure of finishing 2025 at the top

By winning the ATP 500 in Vienna, Jannik Sinner has taken the first step towards attempting the impossible feat of returning to number one by the end of 2025. The Italian has gained 500 points on Carlos Alcaraz, who has not played in any official tournaments since Tokyo, reducing the gap to less than 1,000 points. Sinner has now climbed to 10,500 points against the Spaniard’s 11,340 points, so on Monday in the new rankings, the gap between the two is 840 points. Jannik and Carlos will meet again this week in the last Masters 1000 of the year in Paris, at the new venue in Nanterre, where the Spaniard will defend the 100 points he earned in the round of 16 in 2024. Points that the Iberian champion will lose in the rankings on Monday, November 3. In the live rankings, Sinner is 740 points behind Alcaraz.

To return to world number one at the end of the French tournament, the Italian must win his first 1000 of the year, climbing to 11,500 points, and hope that the Spaniard is eliminated before the semifinals (in the quarterfinals, Alcaraz would reach 11,440 points). There are no other scenarios for Jannik except victory. In any case, Sinner would only return to world number one for a week, as on Monday, November 10, in the rankings updated before the Finals, the points won in Turin in 2024 will be deducted: 1500 for Jannik and 200 for the Murcian, who, despite everything, is still not sure of finishing the year at number one for the second time in his career.