Will Vekic reach the quarter-finals?
Donna Vekic is riding a wave of euphoria. For the first time since 2018, the 28-year-old Croatian has reached the last 16 of the grass court classic, making her one of the positive surprises of the current Grand Slam. Now the showdown against Paula Badosa awaits. We don’t think a Badosa vs. Vekic bet on the supposed underdog is far-fetched
The first serve will be crucial for the world no. 37 from Croatia. In the three rounds of the current Grand Slam, Vekic has won almost 80% of her points on her first serve. If she can build on this, it is obvious that she will also win the round of 16 against Paula Badosa
The Spaniard has impressed in the current grass court classic, but Badosa has also had to contend with severe setbacks in recent months. Especially at the start of the current tennis season. We therefore do not rule out a relapse into the old days and see value in the high prices on the outsider from Croatia
Paula Badosa – statistics & current form
Paula Badosa disappointed at the start of the current season and had to contend with a number of setbacks. The Spaniard has only been back on the road to success since the Masters in Rome. However, Stefanos Tsitsipas’ girlfriend is still a long way from matching her WTA ranking from 2022. Paula Badosa was ranked second at the time.
Nevertheless, her performances in the current grass court classic are commendable. Two promising grass-court players have already been eliminated in the three rounds of Wimbledon 2024. At the start of the tournament, the Spaniard beat Muchová 2-0. In the following match, she also defeated Fruhvirtová without dropping a set.
In the final round, however, Badosa celebrated a 2:1 win against Kasatkina. The Spaniard won a hard-fought first set against the world number twelve from Russia, which was only decided in Badosa’s favor in a tie-break despite her leading the set 5:2 in the meantime. The mental strength to win the third set after being level at 1:1 was therefore all the more pleasing
Service game still in need of improvement
In order to win against a player like Vekic, the former world number two will have to work on her service game in particular. In the last round, Badosa won only 59% of points on her own first serve. Statistics that would be fatal against a strong-serving player like Donna Vekic.
Badosa has only reached the quarter-finals of a Grand Slam once in her long professional career. That milestone came at the 2021 French Open, when the Spaniard was surprisingly knocked out by Zidansek. Since then, her best result at a Grand Slam has been reaching the last 16 – a total of four times in her last ten Slams.
If you think the Spaniard will reach the quarter-finals again this time, you can currently pick up odds of up to 1.65 for a Badosa vs Vekic bet on the favorite.
Donna Vekic – Statistics & current form
Donna Vekic is on course for the quarter-finals of Wimbledon 2024. The Croatian tennis player has played a strong Grand Slam so far and is deservedly in the last 16. However, Vekic’s ticket to the last 16 was hard-fought, with the showdown against Yastremska only decided in the third set.
Although Vekic won 81% of her points on her first serve over three sets, she lost the second set 3:7 in a tie-break after missing a match point in the twelfth game. However, Vekic dominated the following set 6:1 and advanced to the next round.
With her strong service game, the Croatian tennis player should by no means be underestimated against Paula Badosa. The odds on a surprise in favor of the world number 37 are definitely worth it. After all, Vekic has already reached the final of the WTA tournament in Bad Homburg, where she only lost to Diana Shnaider
Vekic is difficult to break
Vekic played a total of eight sets in the three previous rounds. Over this period, the Croatian was only broken four times – quite commendable by WTA standards. If Vekic builds on her service game from the previous rounds, it stands to reason that this statistic will also be underpinned against Badosa.
So far, Vekic has felt comfortable on the “sacred grass” at Wimbledon. The odds on a coup for the 28-year-old have value and are particularly recommended for risk-averse bettors.
Paula Badosa – Donna Vekic Direct comparison / H2H result
The two players meet for the first time ever
Paula Badosa – Donna Vekic tip
Vekic has already reached the quarter-finals of a Grand Slam twice in her current professional career. Since then, the Croatian has largely flown under the radar on the big stage. This makes her appearance in the round of 16 at the grass court classic in London all the more pleasing.
The 28-year-old also has a realistic chance of reaching the quarter-finals of the current grass court tournament against Badosa. The Spaniard has been a surprise package in recent months and is difficult to predict. Although Badosa impressed at Wimbledon, we don’t think a surprise in favor of the Croatian challenger is out of the question
We dare to bet on a 2:0 win for the Croatian in Badosa vs. The bookmakers are currently offering odds above the 3.00 mark. We opt for Bwin. Odds of up to 3.50 are on offer for the Croatian tennis player to win to nil. A stake of three units is quite reasonable for this.
