Can Zverev upset the top seed again?
Novak Djokovic and Alexander Zverev have faced each other in all three of the year’s major hard court tournaments. The Djoker won the quarter-finals of the Australian Open and the semi-finals of the US Open, while Sascha was victorious in the semi-finals of the Olympic Games. Consequently, the duel of the two giants will now also take place at the year-end tournament, which will be held on hard court.
Although Sascha played last on Thursday afternoon, the Djoker had to take to the court again late on Friday evening despite having already clinched the group title. Nevertheless, in the run-up to the semi-final between Novak Djokovic and Alexander Zverev, the odds are clearly in favour of the Serb.
The world number one, who has lost just six singles in the whole of 2021 and also won seven of the ten direct duels against the exceptional German player, entered the semifinals as the group winner. Meanwhile, Sascha only managed to finish second in the Red Group behind Daniil Medvedev, but he made life difficult for him in a long three-setter.
Once again, we suspect that the German will make a strong impression on a big stage. There is little to be said for a short match, which is why we recommend betting on Novak Djokovic and Alexander Zverev to win more than 22.5 games.
Novak Djokovic – Statistics & current form
Current ranking in the world: 1.
Position in the seedings: 1.
No matter how the ATP Finals ultimately turn out: It is already clear that the 34-year-old Serb Novak Djokovic will have played another exceptional year, which brought him several new records.
With his Grand Slam victories in Melbourne, Paris and London, the Djoker now stands at 20 overall Grand Slam victories, just like his two long-term rivals Federer and Nadal.
With the tailwind of a new ATP record into the Finals
Nole travelled to the ATP Finals in Turin with a lot of tailwind. Just the previous weekend, he secured overall victory at the Paris Masters in Paris, where he even got revenge on Daniil Medvedev in the final for losing the US Open final.
It was Djokovic’s 37th overall victory at a Masters tournament, which means that the Serb has also set a new record for eternity in this category. The Serbian superstar, who won a total of five tournaments, lost only six singles matches in the entire year of 2021.
Once again Alexander Zverev stands in the way of the Djoker
Now, however, the Djoker will once again have to face the German upstart, who already ended the Serb’s incredible run in Tokyo at the 2021 Olympics and robbed the previously impeccable world number one of a chance at the Golden Slam. Nole had already taken revenge on Sascha at the US Open, but had to go the full distance of five sets in New York.
In any case, none of their four encounters in the 2021 calendar year was decided outright. Also because both athletes have always won at least one set, it makes a lot of sense to bet on Novak Djokovic and Alexander Zverev to win more than 22.5 games.
Alexander Zverev – Statistics & current form
Current ranking in the world rankings: 3rd
Position in the seedings: 3.
The 24-year-old German Alexander Zverev is still waiting for his very first overall victory at a Grand Slam tournament. Nevertheless, the very successful tennis year 2021 held several highlights in store for the Hamburg native.
Sascha won a total of five singles titles in the current year. He thus increased his title tally to 18 singles tournaments won on the ATP Tour, won his Masters titles number four and five in Madrid and Cincinnati, and also secured the gold medal at the Olympic Games in Tokyo.
Won 57 of 72 singles played in 2021
At the ATP Finals, the German, who last week in Paris still looked visibly tired from the long season with a total of 72 completed singles (57 wins, 15 losses), convinced in the preliminary round with two straight 2-0 wins over Matteo Berrettini and Hubert Hurkacz.
It was not enough against Daniil Medvedev in the opening match. In the close 1-2 defeat, however, the decision was only made in the tie-break after Sascha’s serve could only be broken in the first set.
Three years ago already with victory over Djokovic at the ATP Finals
Also against the world number one, it will be very important for the Hamburg player to be able to rely on his first serve.
If he brings his service games home as confidently as possible, he could once again snip the Serb.
Three years ago, his first and only overall victory at the ATP Finals was over the Djoker, whom he defeated 2:0 in the final (6:4 and 6:3) after losing 0:2 in the round robin. With an overall record of 3:7 against the Serbian, however, he goes into this semifinal as an underdog.
Novak Djokovic – Alexander Zverev Direct comparison / H2H record
Head to head: 7:3
The two athletes have faced each other a total of ten times so far and the German has already been able to defeat the world number one three times. Excitingly, Zverev also won the tournament in the end on all three occasions. A triumph over the Djoker would therefore be a correspondingly good omen.
Novak Djokovic – Alexander Zverev Tip
With Novak Djokovic and Alexander Zverev, the prediction must take into account the fact that all four hard-court duels between the two athletes in 2021 were extremely close cases. In not a single match was the winner able to record an outright victory without losing a set. No matter if two or three winning sets: Both opponents always took at least one set.
This eagerly awaited semifinal promises to be correspondingly close, in which it therefore makes the most sense to bet on over 22.5 games. This number would also be reached in close two-setters with results such as 7:6 and 6:4.