Will Nadal also ensure a clear balance of power against Kubler?
Comeback perfect: Rafael Nadal has made a successful comeback after his long injury break and won his first match since the Australian Open 2023. The Spaniard celebrated a successful return to the big stage against Thiem in the first round of the Brisbane International 2024. The decision went in favor of the former world number one after just two sets.
Now the showdown against Kubler awaits in the second round. Rafael Nadal also goes into this match as the favorite – this time even more clearly than in his first round duel against Thiem. Our Kubler vs. Nadal betting tip is for another clear victory for the Majorcan
Jason Kubler also prevailed in the first round of the Brisbane International after two sets. However, the local hero benefited from Karatsev’s withdrawal due to injury. After the Australian won the first set 6:4, his Russian opponent fought back again and won the tie-break to level the score at 1:1. However, Karatsev then had to retire
Jason Kubler – statistics & current form
Jason Kubler was merely the beneficiary of his opponent’s withdrawal due to injury in the first round of the Brisbane International. After a successful first set, which Kubler won 6:4 against Karatsev, the local hero lost all momentum in the second set and ultimately even lost the tie-break to level the score at 1:1.
The course of the match was certainly surprising, as Kubler had dominated the match for long stretches beforehand. In the second set, the world number 102 even won 92% of his points on his first serve. Nevertheless, Kubler lacked the necessary nerve in the decisive moments.
It remains difficult to assess how the Australian will now perform against Nadal, as Kubler played on the Challenger Tour for long stretches last year. Kubler’s best result on the ATP Tour was the third round at the clay court tournament in Houston in April 2023. Since then, the Australian has largely flown under the radar.
Injury overcome: Is Kubler back to his old strength?
His poor results in recent months were partly due to his shoulder injury. The match against Karatsev was therefore also a comeback The Australian hadn’t played a single singles match since the 2023 US Open – when he was 0:1 down against Arnaldi.
It was therefore all the more pleasing to reach the second round of the Brisbane International. 2023 Jason Kubler played mostly with solid statistics. Kubler won 73.6% of his points on first serve in 2023. Kubler will have to build on this to keep up against a player like Nadal.
If the Australian does indeed pull off the coup, it would be a new milestone in the 30-year-old’s career. Last year, Kubler only played one match against a player from the ATP’s top 10. The Australian lost that match 2:1 against Felix Auger Aliassime – then ranked ninth in the ATP
Rafael Nadal – statistics & current form
Rafael Nadel is back on the big stage! The Mallorcan silenced his critics and produced an impressive comeback. In his showdown against Thiem, Nadal prevailed 7:5 and 6:1 after two sets to secure his ticket to the second round of the Brisbane International 2024.
The statistics on his own serve were particularly commendable. Over the two sets, Nadal – currently ranked 672nd in the world due to his long injury break – won 90% of his points on his first serve. The percentage of points won on second serve was equally impressive at 80%.
If Nadal takes this momentum into the match against Kubler, it is obvious that he will also bag a clear victory this time without losing a set. Bets on this can be placed in the Bet at Home app
Nadal is warming up for the Australian Open 2024
Due to his long injury layoff, Rafael Nadal’s 2023 statistics are not particularly meaningful. However, if you take a look at the numbers from 2022, a forecast for the Majorcan in the second round duel against Jason Kubler is confirmed once again. Nadal played nine times against players outside the top 100 in 2022.
In these nine encounters, Nadal emerged victorious eight times. Only once was there a surprise. Of a total of 26 sets played against players outside the top 100, Rafael Nadal won 21, giving him a win rate of 80.8% per set. It is quite possible that this will also be extended against Kubler
Jason Kubler – Rafael Nadal head-to-head / H2H record
It is the premiere duel between the two players
Jason Kubler – Rafael Nadal betting tip
Rafael Nadal goes into the match against Jason Kubler with a broad chest after his impressive comeback. Like Nadal, Kubler also had to battle with injury-related setbacks last year. Both players have already recovered from their injuries – especially the former world number one Nadal.
Although Kubler did not make a bad impression in the first round of the Brisbane International, the result against Karatsev – a victory after his opponent withdrew due to injury – should not be overrated. After all, Nadal has completely different qualities to the Russian, especially with his strong return game.
We rule out a set win for the local hero Kubler this time and are leaning towards a clear victory for Nadal. For our Kubler vs. Nadal betting tip on a 2:0 win for the Majorcan, we are betting five units. The best odds for this are offered by Bet365