Will the Canadians make history?
In the final of the Davis Cup Finals 2022, the Canadian selection will face Australia. The search is on to find the successor to the Russian tennis federation, which was not allowed to compete in this year’s revolutionised Davis Cup, which is being played in this form for only the third time. For the team from Down Under, it could be their 29th overall victory in the competition, which could close the gap on the USA (record winner with 32 Davis Cup victories).
However, the betting on Canada against Australia is much more favourable. Not only did the Canadians just reach the final of the Davis Cup Finals in 2019, but they also have a real difference-maker in world number six Félix Auger-Aliassime. The 22-year-old has already won both his singles against Germany and Italy.
While predicting Canada against Australia, it must be taken into account that Australian number one Alex de Minaur (ATP 24) has won all six of his matches in the Davis Cup this season. However, the 23-year-old just lost to Félix Auger-Aliassime 0:2 at the Western & Southern Open 2022 without a chance.
If it comes to the first singles match between the two top stars of both nations, everything speaks for the 1:0 lead of the Canadians, which is why our prediction for Canada against Australia clearly goes in the direction of the team from the “Great White North”. Shortly after the Davis Cup finals, all Canada fans can also keep their fingers crossed for the national football team in the 2022 World Cup Group F, which will be facing runners-up Croatia today.
Canada – Statistics & current form
Never before has Canada won the Davis Cup so far. In 2019, however, captain Frank Dancevic’s team came close for the first time when they reached the final. However, they then suffered a 2-0 defeat against hosts Spain in Madrid.
Apart from that, the Canadians have only reached the semifinals twice, in 1913 and 2013, but failed to make it to the grand final. The current run of the Canadians is being cheered accordingly, and according to the bookmakers’ odds, they are even favoured going into the final in Canada vs. Australia.
Only lost to Serbia in the group stage
At the same time, Canada started the Davis Cup with only a wild card, where it was thanks to the two singles players Félix Auger-Aliassime (ATP 6) and Vasek Pospisil (ATP 100) that the tough group matches against South Korea and Spain were won.
Admittedly, there was then a 1-2 defeat against Serbia in the last group match when the doubles team of Alexis Galarneau and Vasek Pospisil had to concede defeat without a fight due to an injury after only three service games. The two victories were nevertheless enough to qualify for the Davis Cup Finals in Málaga.
Félix Auger-Aliassime plays the leading role
Here the Canadians defeated first Germany and then Italy to reach the final for the second time in history. In the process, Félix Auger-Aliassime, who had just joined the ATP Finals, was the mainstay of Frank Dancevic’s team. The 22-year-old won both against Oscar Otte and Lorenzo Musetti smoothly 2:0 and thus set the course for the final.
The sixth-ranked player in the world is also the clear favourite against Alex de Minaur, who recently also replaced Denis Shapovalov, who is not in too good a form, in the doubles and won the decisive point against Italy together with Vasek Pospisil.
Australia – Statistics & current form
The Australian Davis Cup team is traditionally one of the best teams in the world. The Davis Cup has gone Down Under 28 times so far, which puts Australia in second place behind the USA in the all-time best list (32 titles).
However, the last time the Australian side won the Davis Cup was 19 years ago in the 2003 season, so this year’s run for captain Lleyton Hewitt, who was responsible for numerous Davis Cup victories as a player in his day and won 59 of his 80 singles in the competition, is very special despite the successes of the past.
Defeat against Germany in the group phase
Although Alex de Minaur (ATP 24) is still far away from these numbers. The current number one from Down Under was nevertheless the guarantor that Australia won two of the three matches in Group C with Germany, France and Belgium and entered the final.
Only the Germans were beaten 2-1 by Australia, although the Australian side had already qualified at the time of the match and accordingly relied on second-tier players in the pairings.
Alex de Minaur won all six matches
When Alex de Minaur played, however, the Australian side were virtually uninspiring. The 23-year-old has played six matches in the current Davis Cup season. The Sydney man has won all six matches, beating Botic van de Zandschulp 2-1 on his way to the final on Tuesday and then disenchanting Grand Slam champion Marin Cilic 2-0 in the semifinals (6-2 and 6-2).
Nevertheless, the more realistic bet for Canada against Australia is that de Minaur’s winning streak will come to an end. After all, the Australian just lost to Félix Auger-Aliassime 2-0 in Cincinnati in August. If the team from Down Under then falls behind 1-0, a comeback is unlikely.
Canada – Australia Direct Comparison / H2H Record
Head to head: 1:9
Ten times there has been an international match between Canada and Australia in the Davis Cup. After the selection from Down Under initially won all of their first nine encounters, Canada defeated the Australians for the first time back in 2019, 2-1 in the quarter-finals.
Canada – Australia Tip
The odds are now also going to the Canadians against Australia, largely due to the tireless and in-form Félix Auger-Aliassime. The 22-year-old practically single-handedly lifted his team into the final and impressed not only in the singles but also in the doubles in the semi-final against Italy. If he brings the Canadians the 1-0 lead against Alex de Minaur, Denis Shapovalov could theoretically close the bag already in the second singles before, in case of doubt, Félix Auger-Aliassime could be back on the court in the doubles.
The betting companies are also firmly expecting the Canadians to win the Davis Cup for the first time overall, which is why the betting odds are clearly leaning towards the selection from the “Great White North” in Canada vs. Australia.