Will Sascha confidently advance to the third round?

After reaching the semifinals at the French Open 2023, winning the tournament in Hamburg and the recent semifinals at the Western & Southern Open, Alexander Zverev seems to be back to his old self. The German was already in the final at Flushing Meadows in 2020 and is definitely among the US Open 2023 overall winner favorites in the extended circle. Accordingly, in the German duel between Alexander Zverev and Daniel Altmaier, there seems to be no alternative to betting on the Hamburg player advancing to the next round.

For the player from Kempen, who only made his debut at the US Open a year ago and promptly failed in the first round, the 3:1 opening victory over Constant Lestienne can already be seen as a success. For the first time ever, Altmaier won a match at the Grand Slam tournament in New York City. Overall, it was only his sixth win in a singles match at Grand Slam level and the first ever that he did not record on clay. Accordingly, our prediction for Alexander Zverev against Daniel Altmaier clearly goes to the favored Hamburger.

By the way, both compatriots already faced each other in a Grand Slam tournament on hard court at the beginning of 2022. At the Australian Open, it was the first round in which Sascha was able to assert himself in Down Under with a commanding 3:0 against the player from Kempen, who was able to force the tiebreak twice, but saw no ground there and was clearly defeated.

A lot of value can be found not only in the bet on the progress of the Hamburg player, who started on the twelfth place of the seeded list in Flushing Meadows, but even in the bet that Sascha will also be able to record the 3-0 victory against Daniel Altmaier.

Alexander Zverev – statistics & current form

Current position in the world ranking: 12
Position in the seedings: 12

The 26-year-old German Alexander Zverev has already won quite a few major titles in his career. In 2018 and 2021, he crowned himself world champion twice by winning the overall title at the ATP Finals. In Tokyo, he also won the gold medal at the Olympic Games.

In addition, he has five overall victories at Masters tournaments. Only the Grand Slam title is still missing for the Hamburg player, who in 2020 was already leading 2:0 in sets against Dominic Thiem in the final of the US Open, but in the end had to admit defeat 2:3.

Won 19 of 26 singles matches at the US Open

Now Sascha wants to reach for the stars again at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, where he missed the US Open a year ago due to injury. He has played a total of 26 singles matches at Flushing Meadows, winning 19 of them.

Since 2018, he has always reached at least the third round without exception. Accordingly, the odds are clearly in favor of Alexander Zverev against Daniel Altmaier, who also beat his compatriot once before at the Australian Open 2022 in a Grand Slam tournament on hard court with a straight 3:0 win.

Won 39 of 59 singles matches in 2023

Half the battle for Sascha could once again be his incredibly strong and consistent serve. In his opening match against Aleksandar Vukic (ATP 50), he scored in 50 of 58 cases when his first serve arrived – a crazy 86% rate.

As a result, the Hamburg native allowed just two break points, one of which he was even able to fend off. There is room for improvement in his second serve, which won him the point in only 41% of all cases. In the end, however, it was a straightforward 3-0 win against the Australian – win number 39 in the 59th singles match in 2023.

Daniel Altmaier – statistics & current form

Current ranking in the world: 53
Position in the seedings: unseeded

The 24-year-old German Daniel Altmaier still mainly competes on the ATP Challenger Tour, although he has been able to increasingly recommend himself for the ATP Tour with quite good results in the last two years.

However, the player from Kempen has not yet won a title on the ATP Tour. However, he has already won seven tournaments on the ATP Challenger Tour, with six of these seven individual titles coming on clay courts, which he clearly favors.

A shocking win percentage of just 16% on hard court

While Altmaier reached the third round of the French Open on clay this year, for example, and reached a quarterfinal at the Madrid Masters for the first time at Masters level, his results on hard court continue to read meager.

In the run-up to the US Open, the 24-year-old played 25 rated singles matches on the ATP Tour on hard court. He has won just four of these matches – a desolate win rate of 16%. On the Grand Slam level, moreover, he celebrated all of his five victories at the French Open without exception. At all other Grand Slams he always finished in the first round.

14 break points allowed in the opening game

The 24-year-old can be proud that he has now broken this spell at the US Open with his 3:1 opening victory over Constant Lestienne (ATP 101), even though he was initially trailing 0:1 against the Frenchman, who is ranked outside the top 100 of the ATP world rankings.

A positive aspect is certainly the fact that Altmaier was able to fend off eleven of the 14 break points he allowed against himself (79%). But if he offers his compatriot even that much on his own serve, there will be little to gain for the player from Kempen, which is why our tip for Alexander Zverev against Daniel Altmaier is a clear 3:0 win for Sascha.

Alexander Zverev – Daniel Altmaier Direct comparison / H2H balance

Head to head: 1:0

Only once have the two countrymen faced each other in a singles match on the ATP Tour. That pairing also dates back to a Grand Slam tournament on hard court. In the first round of the Australian Open 2022, Alexander Zverev gave his opponent no chance and claimed a straightforward 3-0 victory (7-6, 6-1, 7-6).

Alexander Zverev – Daniel Altmaier Tip

In all clarity, the betting odds on Alexander Zverev against Daniel Altmaier swing in the direction of the world number twelve, who already reached the final of the US Open three years ago and has gradually broken free from his slump in form over the last six months. Sascha has already proven several times that he can beat any player on the ATP Tour when he is in top form. He should not have too many problems with his compatriot from Kempen, who is only ranked 53rd.

Daniel Altmaier showed a very good performance in his opening match. However, even winning the set against Sascha would be a small surprise in our eyes, which is why our forecast for Alexander Zverev against Daniel Altmaier is for an outright 3-0 victory for the Hamburg player.