Is the German qualifier’s run of form coming to an end?
An unequal duel will take place in the third round of Wimbledon with Alexander Bublik against Maximilian Marterer. However, the betting base has a tip and odds at hand! The Kazakh is ranked 26th in the world, while his German opponent is only 170th in the rankings.
In addition, the 28-year-old only started as a qualifier and is in the third round of the Grand Slam tournament in London for the first time. Bublik, for his part, reached this round of play at Wimbledon for the third time and is now hoping to go even further for the first time this time.
For the match between Alexander Bublik and Maximilian Marterer, this prediction aims for a three-set victory for the Kazakh favourite.
Alexander Bublik – Statistics & current form
That Alexander Bublik is currently enjoying success at Wimbledon comes as little surprise. In the dress rehearsal for the major tournament in London, he won a grass court title at the end of June. He won it at the tournament in Halle and on his way to the final he defeated Alexander Zverev in two sets.
His form on the green surface can thus be considered very stable. Although he cancelled his participation in the Mallorca Open at short notice after winning the Terra Wortmann Open, this was not due to an injury, but rather to a planned stress management with regard to the preparation for the Grand Slam tournament that is now underway.
Bublik hopes to reach first round of 16 at Wimbledon
As mentioned, the Kazakh has never made it past the third round at Wimbledon. However, the fact that he also does well on grass is not only evident from his recent success in Halle, but also from other results on this surface. Admittedly, the win in Halle was his first title on grass, but he had also reached the final of the grass competition twice before in Newport, USA.
In the two previous rounds at Wimbledon, he again first beat Mackenzie McDonald from the USA. Even though his opponent is ranked almost 30 places behind Bublik in the world rankings, he had previously reached the semi-finals of the grass court tournament in Eastbourne, Great Britain, which is why the victory in four sets is to be regarded as respectable.
Especially in view of the fact that the lost set was only decided in his favour by a tiebreak from the Kazakh’s point of view. Afterwards, Bublik was again convincing with a smooth 3:0 against the US-American Jeffrey John Wolf, who previously had a positive record on grass in 2023.
Bublik was particularly impressive in the third set, which he won 6-0 in just 24 minutes. He has also been more satisfied with his service recently. Although he served an impressive 24 aces in the first round, he also produced eleven double faults.
Bublik almost halved this number in the last game and his improving form on serve was also reflected in the fact that he won 92 per cent of the points after the first service.
No tiebreak between Bublik and Marterer?
In light of this, predictions and betting odds on no tiebreak in the duel between Alexander Bublik and Maximilian Marterer are also recommended. It does not seem likely that the Frenchman will force a set decider in this way, given the very safe serve-and-volley play of the favourite, who has only had to accept two breaks on top in the course of the tournament.
Maximilian Marterer – Statistics & current form
After the cancellation of Jan-Lennard Struff, who had previously been in very good form, due to injury, German eyes were actually focused solely on Alexander Zverev, but now another German player, Maximilian Marterer, surprisingly entered the third round of the tournament at the All England Club.
The player from Nuremberg has not been very conspicuous in Grand Slam tournaments so far. His greatest success was only reaching the round of 16 in Paris five years ago.
Not to diminish his previous performances at Wimbledon completely, but the two victories in the main draw were also due to comparatively easy opponents. The Croatian Borna Gojo and the US American Michael Mmoh were players who, like him, have three-digit rankings in the world rankings.
More than 5.5 games difference?
With the left-hander now facing a fundamentally stronger opponent who is also in good form, the match between Alexander Bublik and Maximilian Marterer offers additional tips and odds on a defeat for the underdog with at least a six-game difference.
Alexander Bublik – Maximilian Marterer Direct Comparison / H2H-Balance
Alexander Bublik and Maximilian Marterer have only faced each other once before. The match took place in June 2017 in Halle, Westphalia, and thus also on grass. The German clearly prevailed 2-0 on that occasion and only allowed his opponent a meagre three game win.
Alexander Bublik – Maximilian Marterer Tip
Bublik won his first ATP Tour tournament last year in Montpellier, France, and his recent triumph in Halle added his second tournament success at this level to his CV.
Winning the Terra Wortmann Open also took place on grass and is therefore a particularly good omen with regard to the current tournament in Wimbledon. So far, he has also shown unbroken stability in this tournament.
This is why tips and odds on an outright 3:0 victory for the Kazakh are worth considering for the clash between Alexander Bublik and Maximilian Marterer. This is supported by the fact that his German opponent is generally considered to be weaker. This can easily be seen in his 140-plus lower ranking in the world rankings.
Moreover, the surprising entry of the qualifier was also due to a so far easy path in the main draw. In view of this starting position, it seems that the path of the outsider, who has only won titles in Challenger tournaments so far in his career, is now coming to an end.
