Will Struffi overcome the difficult hurdle in round one?
The ABN AMRO Open is being held in Rotterdam for the 51st time in its history. The 32-man main draw of the men’s singles not only includes the recent Australian Open winner Jannik Sinner, but also Jan-Lennard Struff, a German player who has had a mixed start to 2024 so far. The Warsteiner has three wins and three defeats to his name. Even now, the prediction for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina against Jan-Lennard Struff is that the German will lose in the first round
It should be noted, however, that Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has always failed in the first round of the Rotterdam Open in the last two years. However, the Spaniard has also faced very strong opponents in Stefanos Tsitsipas and Daniil Medvedev, against whom he at least managed to win a set. The oddsmakers are therefore leaning towards the Spaniard in the Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Jan-Lennard Struff prediction.
All in all, 2024 has also gone better for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina so far, who has won five of his seven singles matches, has already beaten the first top 10 player in 2024 and reached the quarter-finals in Marseille last week. However, the man from Málaga has yet to record any truly resounding successes. Accordingly, it would be very risky to bet on his victory, especially as Jan-Lennard Struff is no run-of-the-mill player.
In a match in which the form of the day will certainly play a decisive role, we expect a decision in two sets. The biggest value in this context is the bet that the winner will be decided in under 23.5 games
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Statistics & current form
Current position in the world rankings: 24
Position in the seeding list: unseeded
As the son of a Russian father and a Swedish mother, 24-year-old Spaniard Alejandro Davidovich Fokina received tennis encouragement at the tender age of two and a half, which paid off in his junior career.
In 2017, the Málaga-born player won the boys’ singles at the Wimbledon Championships before making the leap to the ATP Tour a year later. However, the really resounding successes have yet to come here
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina beat Hubert Hurkarcz at the United Cup
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina reached the final of a major tournament once at the Monte-Carlo Masters 2022. However, the 24-year-old has yet to win his first singles title on the ATP Tour.
In the 2024 season, however, the Spaniard has already impressed on several occasions. At the United Cup, he beat none other than Hubert Hurkacz (ATP 9) 2:1. It was only his sixth triumph over an opponent from the current top 10 of the ATP world rankings in his 30th match (win rate: 20 percent).
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has already lost two matches in 2024
The player from Málaga goes into this match with an annual record of five wins from seven singles matches, in which the betting odds for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina against Jan-Lennard Struff are also slightly in his favor.
However, the Spaniard has not yet achieved too much in the new year. Following his 0:3 second-round exit at the Australian Open 2024 against Nuno Borges (ATP 69), Alejandro Davidovich Fokina also recently lost 2:0 (1:6 and 4:6) to Ugo Humbert (ATP 21) in the quarter-finals in Marseille, when he was particularly pale on returns and scored just nine points on his opponent’s serve in the entire match
Jan-Lennard Struff – statistics & current form
Current position in the world rankings: 25
Position in the seeding list: unseeded
The 33-year-old German Jan-Lennard Struff has been part of the ATP Tour since 2012, although he has yet to win a title there either. The Warstein native has reached the final three times – in the summer of 2023 in Madrid, he even reached a major final for the first time, which he “only” lost 1:2 to superstar Carlos Alcaraz. However, he failed to win a title on all three occasions.
Nevertheless, Struffi had just played the most remarkable year of his career to date in 2023, in which he won 20 of his 37 singles matches and climbed to 21st place in the ATP world rankings, which was a new career high
Jan-Lennard Struff with a mixed start to the season
However, the German’s start to the new year was a little sluggish. The 33-year-old was able to defeat Marin Cilic, a former Grand Slam winner, 2:1 (3:6, 7:6 and 7:6) in impressive style in his first singles match in Hong Kong. At the Australian Open, however, he lost 3:2 to Miomir Kecmanovic (ATP 60) in the second round.
Overall, Struffi, who at least contributed a singles win over Mate Valkusz (ATP 213) in the most recent Davis Cup clash between Germany and Hungary, has three wins from six singles matches played in 2024.
Jan-Lennard Struff performs best on indoor hard court
Now the Warstein native wants to get off to a flying start in the Dutch port city, where a tough opponent and direct neighbor in the ATP world rankings is already standing in his way in the first round. The fact that the match takes place on indoor hard court certainly plays into the 33-year-old’s hands.
In no other constellation does Struffi have such a high win rate (52.3 percent) as on indoor hard court. Consequently, it can in no way be ruled out that the bet on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina against Jan-Lennard Struff will work out
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Jan-Lennard Struff Direct comparison / H2H result
Head to head: 0:0
There has never been a scored single match between the two players before. So far there is no head-to-head data available that could influence the predictions for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jan-Lennard Struff in any way
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Jan-Lennard Struff prediction
The odds on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Jan-Lennard Struff are currently slightly in favor of the Spaniard, whose annual record reads better. However, this match will certainly not be a walkover for the man from Málaga. After all, Struffi just played an outstanding year in 2023, which he was able to build on, at least in part, in the new year
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Jan-Lennard Struff tip
The odds of Alejandro Davidovich Fokina against Jan-Lennard Struff are slightly in favor of the Spaniard, whose annual record reads better. However, this match will certainly not be a walkover for the man from Málaga. After all, Struffi just played an outstanding year in 2023, which he was able to build on, at least in part, in the new year
We’re expecting a first-round match in which the first set in particular is likely to be very hard-fought. Whoever comes out on top here should also be able to win the match 2:0. The prediction that a maximum of 23 games will be needed to decide the winner of Alejandro Davidovich Fokina’s match against Jan-Lennard Struff is therefore very consistent
