The 2025 Tour de France promises to be a new challenge between Tadej Pogacar and Jonas Vingegaard, winners of the last four editions. But they won’t be alone: from Evenepoel to Roglic, via ambitious outsiders such as Rodríguez and Lipowitz, the battle for the yellow jersey promises to be spectacular right up to the last kilometer. Let’s take a look at the main favorites, the possible rivals, and the key points of the route that could change the fate of the race.
The start of the 2025 Tour de France, scheduled for July 5 in Lille, is fast approaching, and cycling fans are focusing their attention on the most anticipated stage race of the year. Who will be the rider wearing the Yellow Jersey on the Champs-Élysées at the end of July?
All eyes are on Tadej Pogačar and Jonas Vingegaard, already the absolute protagonists of previous editions. But they are not alone: in this article, we will analyze the most aggressive outsiders in the race for the symbol of supremacy.
Among them are João Almeida, Remco Evenepoel, Primož Roglič, Carlos Rodriguez, and the young talent Florian Lipowitz.
Starting with the two big favorites, let’s take a look at the physical condition and potential of each of the seven athletes, with odds from the best bookmakers.
Reigning champion Tadej Pogacar arrives at the 2025 Tour de France as the clear favorite. After dominating in 2024, the Slovenian has confirmed his excellent form in the first part of the season, with convincing victories in the classics and stage races. Determined and well supported by UAE Team Emirates, he will be aiming for his fourth overall victory in the Grande Boucle.
Tadej Pogacar to win – odds 1.36 at bet365, 1.50 at Sisal, 1.30 at GoldBet
All odds featured in this article are courtesy of bet365, Sisal and GoldBet. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Jonas Vingegaard
Jonas Vingegaard, winner of the Tour in 2022 and 2023, returns to competition after a long break caused by a bad crash at the Itzulia Basque Country. Despite his absence from major events, the Dane has reassured fans about his condition: he will be at the start in France with the aim of regaining the title.
Jonas Vingegaard to win – odds 3.50 on bet365, 3.30 on Sisal, 3.50 on GoldBet
Joao Almeida
A consistent and resilient rider, Joao Almeida comes to the 2025 Tour with concrete ambitions. Third in the Giro d’Italia and always competitive in stage races, the Portuguese rider from UAE Team Emirates could be the strategic card alongside Pogacar, but also an alternative for the overall classification if the race allows it. His strengths lie in time trials and climbing.
Remco Evenepoel
After his Tour debut in 2024, Remco Evenepoel is ready to return with more experience and a more measured approach. The former Belgian world champion has proven to be explosive in time trials and competitive on the climbs, although his endurance over three weeks remains to be seen. With the support of Soudal-QuickStep, he is one of the names most eagerly awaited by fans.
Remco Evenepoel to win – 10.00 on bet365, 25.00 on Sisal, 11.00 on GoldBet
Primoz Roglic
A veteran and winner, Primoz Roglic faces the 2025 Tour in the BORA-hansgrohe jersey and with the desire to add the only major trophy missing from his collection. After his success in the 2023 Giro and his early exit from the 2024 Tour, the Slovenian is looking for redemption. His experience, solidity in the mountains and time-trialing skills make him a constant threat.
Primoz Roglic to win – odds 26.00 at bet365, 66.00 at Sisal, 26.00 at GoldBet
Carlos Rodriguez
After finishing fifth overall in 2024, Carlos Rodriguez returns to the Tour on the back of solid preparation and convincing results in the spring months. The Ineos Grenadiers talent has shown great maturity on the climbs and growing confidence in his race management. If the team puts its faith in him, he could be a contender in the most decisive stages. Carlos Rodriguez to win – 126.00 on bet365, 300.00 on Sisal, 81.00 on GoldBet
Florian Lipowitz
Born in 2001, Florian Lipowitz is BORA-hansgrohe’s future hope. After showing promise in the preparatory races, the German comes to the Tour with the aim of growing and, perhaps, carving out a place for himself in a mountain breakaway. It’s still too early to talk about the podium, but he’s a name to keep an eye on. Florian Lipowitz to win – odds of 34.00 on bet365, 100.00 on Sisal, 41.00 on GoldBet
