Can TSG get back on track in Lower Saxony?

On Sunday, two of the big losers of recent months will face each other in the Bundesliga. While Wolves have only won two of their last 13 Bundesliga games (four draws, seven defeats) – only bottom club Darmstadt have scored fewer points (seven) than VfL (ten) in the same period – Hoffenheim have only won one of their last ten league games (four draws, five defeats). Accordingly, it is difficult to predict the outcome of this crisis summit between Wolfsburg and Hoffenheim

In principle, the record favors Lower Saxony, who have only won more Bundesliga matches against VfB Stuttgart (16) than against Hoffenheim (14) since TSG were promoted to the Bundesliga in the summer of 2008. However, the club from Lower Saxony have lost four of their last six encounters with the Baden-Württemberg side (two wins), including the first leg in Kraichgau (1-3). The outcome of this Sunday’s game between Wolfsburg and Hoffenheim is therefore open to prediction

In any case, we expect goals in this match. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in the last eight Bundesliga duels between the two clubs. In addition, Hoffenheim have scored in every one of their last 14 games against Wolves. In view of the fact that both opponents will be looking for the full three points in order to rectify their plight in the table, it is also unlikely that either of the two teams will be mixing concrete or playing destructively.

As a result, we recommend betting on over 2.5 goals in this match, in which the form of the day is also likely to decide who takes the full three points.

Wolfsburg – Statistics & current form

VfL Wolfsburg finished eighth in the final table in the 2022/23 season and narrowly missed out on qualifying for a European competition. Nevertheless, those responsible saw a lot of positives in the season, which is why Niko Kovac was allowed to continue despite missing out on the season’s goals.

However, instead of moving upwards in the new season, the Wolves have plummeted even further. With just 22 points from 19 games, the club from Lower Saxony are in a disappointing eleventh place in the table. The gap to sixth place is already nine points

Wolfsburg have left a lot to be desired in recent months

The start to the season was even halfway acceptable. The worm only really started to turn on the seventh matchday. Since then, VfL have won just two of 13 Bundesliga games (four draws, seven defeats). Only Darmstadt 98 have gained fewer points (seven) than the club from Lower Saxony (ten) in the same period.

As a result, Niko Kovac is now also coming under increased criticism, although he won four of his nine Bundesliga home games in 2023/24 (two draws, three defeats). Perhaps that’s why the odds are stacked in Wolfsburg’s favor against Hoffenheim

Wolfsburg are under pressure

The fact that VfL have not lost their first three Bundesliga games of the year for the first time since 2015 is certainly a positive. However, because all three games against Mainz, Heidenheim and Cologne “only” ended in a 1-1 draw, the Whites did not really get off the mark.

The Wolves are therefore under real pressure on matchday 20. They will be looking to build on their positive record against TSG. Since Sinsheim were promoted to the Bundesliga, Wolfsburg have only won more Bundesliga games against Stuttgart (16) than against Hoffenheim (14).

Predicted Wolfsburg line-up:

Hoffenheim – Statistics & current form

TSG Hoffenheim also missed out on qualifying for a European competition last season, finishing twelfth in the league table. Under Pellegrino Matarazzo, they were supposed to attack the top six again in the new season. However, after a good start to the season, things have not gone too smoothly for the Baden-Württemberg side of late.

With 25 points from 19 league games, Sinsheim are still in eighth place. However, they are already six points off sixth place. The Blue & Whites must therefore not let too much slip if they are to make the leap to Europe in the second half of the season

Hoffenheim have been waiting for another win since the start of December

The last two months in particular have not been very successful for Hoffenheim, who have won just one of their last ten Bundesliga games (four draws, five defeats). Their tally of just seven points in this period is only bettered by bottom club Darmstadt 98 (four).

However, the Sinsheim side came up just as short against those same Lilies at the end of December (3:3) as they did last weekend against newly promoted Heidenheim (1:1). This means that they have now gone five league games in a row without a win (two draws, three defeats)

Hoffenheim have lost their away strength

In addition, TSG have conceded three goals in four of their last five league games, which is why Wolfsburg vs Hoffenheim is a good bet for a high-scoring game. In the last 14 Bundesliga duels with the Wolves, the blue and whites have always scored without exception.

The most recent away record of Matarazzo’s team is curious. After TSG remained unbeaten in seven Bundesliga away games in a row (five wins, two draws) and won all of their first five away games of the 2023/24 season, they recently suffered four defeats in a row at foreign grounds.

Predicted Hoffenheim line-up:

Wolfsburg – Hoffenheim head-to-head comparison / H2H result

Head to head: 15 – 7 – 10

A total of 32 meetings have taken place between the two teams so far and VfL Wolfsburg lead the direct comparison with 15 wins. However, the team from Lower Saxony not only lost the first leg, but have also been beaten by TSG Hoffenheim in four of their last six Bundesliga matches

Wolfsburg – Hoffenheim betting tip

The betting odds for Wolfsburg v Hoffenheim are tipped in favor of the team from Lower Saxony, who have already won a total of 14 Bundesliga games against the Sinsheimers, but have been beaten in four of the last six duels (two wins). Neither team has a great deal of momentum to throw into the balance, meaning that an open outcome is to be expected. In particular, the form on the day is likely to decide who collects the full three points

It is clear that both teams need to win to improve their position in the table. As a result, a prediction of a high-scoring Bundesliga match between Wolfsburg and Hoffenheim is high on the agenda. After all, TSG have always scored in their last 14 duels with VfL.

We therefore recommend betting on over 2.5 goals, which we play at Betano at odds of 1.62 with four out of ten units.