Will TSG manage the important breakthrough?

TSG Hoffenheim currently just can’t find a way out of the crisis. The effect of the change of coach could only be seen in the very first game under Christian Ilzer, which was won 4-3 against Leipzig. Since then, there has only been one other victory in the subsequent ten league games (three draws, six defeats). So there is not much to suggest that the betting tip of an away win for Sinsheim will come true at Werder Bremen against Hoffenheim.

However, TSG has always been happy to travel to the Weser recently. The club from the Kraichgau region has not been beaten by Bremen in their last nine Bundesliga meetings (four wins, five draws), which is why a prediction of a point for the blue and whites against Hoffenheim is not completely out of the blue. After all, SVW have only won one of six Bundesliga games in the new year (two draws, three defeats) and are anything but in great form.

It is striking that Werder have become much more vulnerable defensively since the winter break. This is evidenced by the 14 goals conceded in the six league games since the turn of the year, which are only topped by Holstein Kiel and today’s guest from Sinsheim (16 each). This Sunday’s game will see two of the three weakest Bundesliga defenses in 2025 face each other, which is why the odds for over-goals against Werder Bremen against Hoffenheim should definitely be checked.

After their recent performances have been better than the sometimes devastating results, we definitely believe that the guests, with their backs to the wall, will get their next point on the Weser. We opt for the double chance X2 at over 1.5 goals.

Werder Bremen vs. Hoffenheim prediction AI

Supercomputer BETSIE, like us, expects this Sunday game to be a high-scoring clash. The AI calculates an expected goals value of 1.85 for SV Werder Bremen and 1.15 for TSG Hoffenheim. In combination, 2.99 goals are therefore expected, with goals on both sides also appearing very likely.

Meanwhile, the AI would keep its hands off the three-way system, as none of the three options currently results in a positive expected value without a possible odds boost. In view of the fact that Hoffenheim’s point win (double chance X2) has a 46.3 percent probability of occurring according to the BETSiE and the two goals are also very likely, there is at least some value to be found in our betting recommendation, also through the BETSiE glasses. Nevertheless, the AI prediction for the Werder Bremen v Hoffenheim game is simply for over 2.5 goals, which is certainly the variant with the lowest risk.

Werder Bremen – statistics & current form

Werder Bremen have only managed to win one of their last six Bundesliga games (two draws, three defeats). After a strong finish to last year, when the north Germans ended the winter break with three wins, the Hanseatic team has not yet found its stride in the new year.

Before the home game against Hoffenheim, at least the most recent home record speaks in favor of SVW. Of the last seven Bundesliga home games, the Weserelf only lost one (three wins, three draws), which is why the odds are also trending in the direction of the green and whites at Werder Bremen against Hoffenheim.

Werder Bremen has lost its defensive stability

It is striking, however, that Werder has major difficulties in the first 45 minutes. With 22 goals conceded before half-time, the team is among the weakest in the league in this statistic. In the memorable first leg, which curiously enough was still won 4-3, it was already 0-3 after twelve minutes.

In addition, Bremen have already conceded four goals from penalties this Bundesliga season – Anthony Jung even caused two penalties in one game recently. Overall, Bremen’s form curve is pointing noticeably downwards in terms of goals conceded. In 2025, they conceded an impressive 14 goals in six league games, which is only bettered by Kiel and today’s guests from Hoffenheim (16 each).

Expected line-up of Werder Bremen:

Hoffenheim – statistics & current form

TSG Hoffenheim is having a thoroughly disappointing season and, with 18 points from 21 games, is in its worst position in over ten years.

This also has to do with their recent form, because especially in the calendar year 2025, very little has worked out so far. With only four points from six games and a goal difference of -10, TSG is the weakest team in the league in the new year.

Hoffenheim with weak performance on the road

The away weakness is particularly dramatic. Hoffenheim have only won one of ten Bundesliga away games this season (four draws, five defeats) and scored the fewest away goals in the league (just eight).

Their record on Sundays is also alarming. No other team has been without a win for so long on a Sunday this Bundesliga season as TSG (six draws, three defeats), which is also due to the fact that the Sinsheimers have mostly played on Sundays after the English weeks in the Europa League, which is no longer the case due to the elimination in the league phase.

At least there is also positive news: Marius Bülter scored against no other Bundesliga club as often as against Werder Bremen (five goals), including his only double for TSG this season.

Provisional line-up for Hoffenheim:

Werder Bremen – Hoffenheim head to head / H2H record

Head to head: 14 – 10 – 9

A total of 33 encounters can be found in the books between the two teams and SV Werder Bremen, who also won the first leg 4-3, lead the direct comparison with 14 wins. In front of their home crowd at the Weser Stadium, however, the green-whites have been waiting for another victory against TSG Hoffenheim for nine Bundesliga home games (five draws, four defeats).

Werder Bremen – Hoffenheim betting tip

Although there are clear arguments against the Sinsheimers, we at least expect the guests, who have their backs to the wall, to win a point in a stadium where they have not lost any of their last nine away games (four wins, five draws). Against this background, our prediction for the double chance X2 tends towards Werder Bremen against Hoffenheim, especially since SVW also had a poor start to the winter break. The green-whites have only won one of the six league games in the new year (two draws, three defeats).

Because two of the weakest defensive lines in 2025 are facing each other, goals are also to be expected. This makes it an ideal opportunity to play a combined tip on the double chance X2 at over 1.5 goals.

The odds for this are 2.27 for Werder Bremen against Hoffenheim, which we are playing with three out of ten units at Betano.