Who will stay in the race for the top?

Last weekend, the moods in Bremen and Freiburg could hardly have been more different. While Werder celebrated a 4-3 away win at TSG Hoffenheim after trailing 3-0 in Sinsheim, the Sport-Club lost without ceremony at home to an inspired St. Pauli side. Although the cards will of course be reshuffled in the direct duel on Saturday afternoon, there are good arguments to back the home team against Freiburg at Werder Bremen.
The head-to-head in recent years is definitely not one of them, though, because the North Germans have only managed to win one of the last six meetings in the German top flight against the team from the Black Forest. Furthermore, no training in philosophy is required to predict before the kick-off of the Werder Bremen v Freiburg encounter that the Werner XI will definitely have to score their first home goal of the current season on Saturday as part of the 6th matchday in the Bundesliga in order to follow up with their second win in a row.

If you want to refrain from betting on the outcome of the game in view of the difficult starting position with reasons for both sides, you should consider the Werder Bremen vs. Freiburg odds on the goal market. There is some evidence that suggests that spectators at the Weser Stadium can expect one or two goals during the game. A huge selection of over bets, whether Asian or European, is available on the Bet365 app. What’s more, your first deposit of up to 100 euros will be automatically doubled after you successfully register with Bet365.

Werder Bremen v Freiburg prediction

Before the game between Werder Bremen and Freiburg, the AI prognosis is divided. Those in need of a value bet will find it primarily in the away win on the sports club. The “BETSiE” has calculated a 42% probability of victory for the Breisgauer, so that from a odds level of 2.40, a tip on the guest brings value. Currently, the maximum odds for Schuster’s team are even 2.62. Similarly, the over 2.5 is also supported by the artificial intelligence in predicted goals of 1.24 (Werder) and 1.44 (Freiburg). According to BETSiE, it could therefore also make sense to combine Freiburg winning a point with over goals.

Werder Bremen – Statistics & current form

With eight points from five games, SV Werder Bremen can certainly be said to have got the season off to a successful start. Especially considering that the green-and-whites have already had two tough games against Borussia Dortmund (0-0) and FC Bayern (0-5), the haul of two wins, two draws and only one defeat is quite an achievement. If the home side beat Freiburg on Saturday afternoon, the team from the Osterdeich would in all likelihood climb to a European spot in the standings.

Werder Bremen wants to take the away flow with them to the Weser

In order for the first home win of the season to happen, the first goal at home must finally come at the third attempt. However, we have no major doubts about this, because in the spectacular 4-3 away win last week, when coach Ole Werner’s team turned a 3-0 deficit away from home into a win, Ducksch and Co. underlined their offensive power. In all three away games, Werder scored at least twice. A bet on Over 2.5 would have always come out on top, in two cases even at half-time.

Since the upcoming opponent is not Dortmund or Bayern, but Freiburg, we assume that the north Germans will once again bring their strengths with the ball onto the pitch and also benefit from the self-confidence they have gained. At the same time, however, it must be stated that the defense continues to reveal deficiencies. Three goals against TSG Hoffenheim when they had an equal number of players, and a total of eleven goals conceded, are clearly too many and an indication that there is still a lot of room for improvement in the work against the ball.

Although the green-whites thus scored seven out of eight points away from home and also scored all eight goals in opposing stadiums, we are checking the odds for an over/under game between Werder Bremen and Freiburg. Meanwhile, anyone who believes in a home win with goals on both sides can bet a whopping 4.40 in the Merkur Bets app.

Freiburg – Statistics & current form

SC Freiburg only managed to score nine points in the first four match days of this Bundesliga season. The only defeat in this period came away at Bayern. Unsurprisingly, the Breisgauer were therefore favorites going into last weekend’s home game against FC St. Pauli and were completely crushed. In the 3-0 defeat, the team, coached by Julian Schuster, lacked virtually everything that had previously made them strong. Nevertheless, the club, based in the south of the republic, is highly satisfied with seventh place in the interim ranking after the personnel changes on the sidelines over the summer.

Is Freiburg finally starting well?

Logically, the successor to the prankster is still expecting a reaction from his team at the weekend. The sports club has big plans for the first 45 minutes in particular. So far, the Black Forest team has been far too harmless in the first half. Only one of the eight goals scored this season was scored before half-time. In three of the last four matches, the Breisgau team were even behind at half-time.

If you want to bet on the home side winning the first half on Saturday afternoon, you can get odds of 3.15 in the Betano app for Werder Bremen v Freiburg.

An alternative approach, as already suggested, is to bet on at least three goals in the entire game. Such an approach would have paid off in four of Schuster’s five Bundesliga games so far this season. Schuster’s team has a lot of individual quality in offense and can also score from set pieces. The new coach likes possession football and demands that his team has control of the ball in most phases of the game. Nevertheless, the new game plan also provides room for improvement, because, especially in defensive transitions, the sports club will undoubtedly have to improve in the coming weeks.

Werder Bremen – Freiburg Direct comparison / H2H record

Admittedly, the last encounters between these clubs were not spectacular. If we exclude Bremen’s 3-1 win in the most recent direct duel in winter 2024, only one of the previous six Bundesliga matches saw more than two goals. Looking back at the last six matches, however, the sports club usually had the upper hand (3-2-1). Nevertheless, there have only been two victories to celebrate in the last nine guest appearances on the Weser.

Werder Bremen – Freiburg Tip

Two teams that have started the season solidly will face each other on Saturday afternoon at the Osterdeich. Both teams have already proven their class in the young season and now want to take a step up in the standings in the direct duel. Thanks to the 4-3 win at TSG Hoffenheim last week, the momentum is more on the side of Werder, while Freiburg are keen to make amends after the 3-0 home defeat to St. Pauli.

Since the three-way odds in this encounter indicate how difficult it is to predict the correct outcome of the game, we believe that we will see at least three goals in the game. Our Werder Bremen vs. Freiburg tip is therefore Over 2.5 goals and can be played at Bet365 for a maximum rate of 1.62.