Will Werder Bremen stay on course for Europe?

On Sunday, January 19, 2025, the Bundesliga will see the clash between SV Werder Bremen and FC Augsburg. Going into this game, the home side seems to have the slightly better chances of winning, because while Ole Werner’s team is currently even dreaming of Europe, the away team has to look more towards the relegation places. However, whether the roles are as clearly defined as the table suggests is something we will now take a closer look at in our Werder Bremen v Augsburg prediction.

Our analysis begins with the home and away record of the two teams. The favorites from the Weser perform slightly better than the FCA, because while Werder have already collected ten points in their own stadium, the guests have only managed five meager away points. Nevertheless, Bremen have only won two of their eight home games and are therefore far from being able to call themselves home favorites. For a decent Werder Bremen vs. Augsburg tip, we therefore need to go into more detail.

The highest Werder Bremen vs. Augsburg odds for a win by the supposed favorite can be found at the bookmaker Betway that we tested. This game kicks off on Sunday at 5:30 p.m. at the Weser Stadium in Bremen. The match can be followed live and in full on Sky or Wow.

Werder Bremen – Statistics & current form

Werder Bremen will be absolutely satisfied with their performance so far this season. Ole Werner’s team has picked up 26 points from their first 17 games and is currently in ninth place. What’s more, Werder are just two points behind second-placed Mainz, who are currently in one of the hotly contested international spots. With a win against FC Augsburg, the hosts could therefore climb further up the table. In fact, even the Champions League places are within reach, because RB Leipzig are only four points ahead of them. So a great deal is still possible for SVW this season.

Werder Bremen can score goals

With 31 goals in 17 league games (Ø 1.82), the Werder Bremen offense is in great form. In a league-wide comparison, only six teams have scored more than Werder, and these are primarily the big German teams. In addition, Ole Werner’s team has only kept a clean sheet four times, meaning they have scored in 76% of their matches. In their own stadium, however, the rate is much worse at just 63%. This is primarily due to the start to the season, though, as Bremen have scored in each of their last five home games. Marvin Ducksh is particularly noteworthy in the home side’s attack, with six goals and nine assists that speak for themselves.

Werder Bremen with problems in defense

While the Werder team is doing a great job offensively and can even show off in some games, things are not going as well as hoped defensively. For this reason, Werder Bremen has already conceded 32 goals (Ø 1.88) and thus even has a negative goal difference. It is therefore no surprise that Ole Werner’s team has kept a clean sheet just four times, allowing a goal in 82% of league games. Especially in the last two games against RB Leipzig and 1.FC Heidenheim (seven goals conceded), the mistakes in the back four were particularly glaring. So the visitors still have work to do here.

Augsburg – Statistics & current form

Augsburg got off to a rather mixed start to the new season compared to Werder Bremen, picking up only 19 points in the first half of the season. As a result, Jess Thorup’s team are languishing in twelfth place and are looking down the barrel of a gun. Currently, the FCA also has only five points more than TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and thus ranks 16th. In addition, even teams like VfL Bochum (18th) and Holstein Kiel (17th) found their way back on track and shortened the gap considerably. With the performances shown so far, the guests therefore still belong to the extended circle of relegation candidates. An away win against SV Werder Bremen would therefore do them good.

Augsburg have shown little threat in front of goal

With only 19 goals in 17 league games (Ø 1.12), the visitors have one of the weakest attacks in the Bundesliga. In fact, only three teams, Union Berlin, Bochum and St. Pauli, have scored even fewer goals. It is therefore not surprising that FCA have gone six times without scoring a goal this season and have only scored in 65% of their matches. Nevertheless, three players stand out in attack: Alexis Claude-Maurice, Philipp Tietz and Samuel Essende. The three attackers have already scored 19 goals this season and are therefore almost irreplaceable.

Augsburg also not at their best defensively

However, it is not only in offense that things are going very poorly, but also in defense. Augsburg has conceded 33 goals in 17 league games (Ø 1.94) and is therefore one of the weakest defenses in the league. It is therefore no wonder that FCA has only kept a clean sheet three times and has therefore conceded a goal in 82% of games. Especially against Werder Bremen, who have quality in their offense, we think a clean sheet is therefore very unlikely. Consequently, the chances of winning also drop dramatically, because Augsburg have only scored more than one goal six times (35%).

Werder Bremen – Augsburg Direct comparison / H2H record

In the team analysis alone, we see the home side clearly ahead, but what about in direct comparison? In the H2H comparison, this assumption does not initially appear to be confirmed, because while the FCA has won twelve duels, the home side has only won 13 games. However, a slightly different picture has emerged in the recent past, with Augsburg currently waiting for a win against Werder in their last three meetings. For us, this is another reason why the Werder Bremen vs. Augsburg betting odds rightly favor a home win.

Werder Bremen – Augsburg Tip

We recommend the Werder Bremen vs. Augsburg betting tip for the home team to win a point in conjunction with over 1.5 goals in the game. This is primarily due to the away team’s extremely poor away record, with only one win in eight away games, making them anything but strong away from home. In addition, the hosts have only lost two league games at home and have thus remained unbeaten in 75% of their home games. Nevertheless, it cannot be denied that both teams have major defensive problems, so we may well expect one or two goals.

Alternatively, we recommend the Werder Bremen vs. Augsburg odds for over 2.5 goals in the game. Both teams are rarely able to keep a clean sheet and concede an average of almost two goals per game. We therefore consider the betting odds to be a little too high. However, that should not bother us, because it gives this recommendation plenty of value.