Can Valencia hold their own against their fearful opponents?
The conclusion of the tenth matchday in the Spanish top flight is formed by two teams from the midfield of the league. The winner at the Estadio Mestalla will be able to move up a bit. The bookmakers see the hosts as relatively clear favorites and offer odds of under 1.80 on a home win in the clash between Valencia and Cadiz. The recent results of both teams ensure that two teams with little confidence face each other.
The hosts did manage an eye-catching win against the Rojiblancos after the first international break, but remained winless four times after that. The guests from the Andalusian port city have not even celebrated a single victory between the first and second international break and are thus winless for five matches in a row.
The hope for an increase in points from the guests’ point of view rests especially on the last direct duels, because the H2H of the recent past surprisingly speaks a clear language in favor of Cadiz. Nevertheless, between Valencia and Cadiz a prediction in the direction of the guests seems to be too high risk.
In particular, the risk seems high after Cadiz presented themselves shockingly weak this season, especially as a guest. The match kicks off at the Mestalla Stadium on Monday night at 9pm.
Valencia – Statistics & current form
The glory days of Valencia’s bats were a long time ago. For a short time, it looked like Valencia would be able to re-establish themselves in the top flight after finishing the 2017/18 and 2018/19 seasons both in a strong fourth place. In recent years, however, chaos has dominated and the relegation battle has been a recurring theme at Valencia. To that end, fans hold a grudge against owner Peter Lim, who has refrained from investing due to high debt levels.
Successful start to the season, disappointing recently
With the promotion of club legend Ruben Baraja to head coach in February this year, calm should finally return. The club managed to stay in the league and the start to the new season was also promising. Two wins at the start and three victories in the first five games created a positive mood. The surprising success against Atletico Madrid was mentioned at the beginning of this article, but it was also the last successful result. In particular, the two draws against last-place Almeria and Mallorca caused disillusionment in the bat camp.
Most recently, the offense has been a particular cause for concern, with the Baraja team scoring just one goal in the last three league games. With ten goals scored so far, Valencia is one of the weaker offensive lines in LaLiga. This is certainly one of the main reasons why the best bookmakers on the market offer high odds when betting on Valencia vs Cadiz to score over 2.5. This is quite understandable, but the very weak Cadiz defense should not be ignored. In terms of personnel, Valencia will also have to do without two regulars in the defense, captain Jose Gaya and Mouctar Diakhaby.
Predicted lineup of Valencia:
Cadiz – statistics & current form
The relegation battle as a defining theme is also the case with the Andalusian representative from the port city of Cadiz. The current season is the fourth LaLiga year in a row. In each of the last two years, the team had to tremble until the last matchday before it was able to stay in the league. Head coach Sergio’s team laid the foundation for staying in the league at home in the Nuevo Mirandilla Stadium.
Nine out of twelve goals conceded away from home
Also this year Cadiz is much stronger in front of home crowd than away. The home games against Villarreal (3:1) and Deportivo Alaves (1:0) were won. Goalkeeper Conan Ledesma has conceded only three goals in five home games. However, defensive stability is by no means a given away from home, where Cadiz has already conceded nine goals in just four away games. This means that Cadiz has conceded three quarters of its goals away from home. A goal ratio of 3:9 in four away games results in an average of exactly three goals per game.
Overall, Cadiz has scored just eight league goals and currently has the third-weakest offense in the league. Only UD Las Palmas (6) and promoted Alaves (7) have scored less often. Neither team will be able to keep up a constant drive forward, but we still like Valencia and Cadiz to score at least three goals. Valencia is missing two important defensive players, while Cadiz often invites the opponent to score goals, especially away from home.
Predicted Cadiz lineup:
Valencia – Cadiz Direct Comparison / H2H Balance
The direct comparison reflects the clear favorite role in favor of the bats from Valencia. Valencia has won 13 of the 28 LaLiga games so far, however, Cadiz celebrated a surprising victory both at home and away last season 2022/23.
However, not only did Cadiz come out on top last season, but since their LaLiga return (2020/21) Valencia have not won any of their six previous duels (three draws, three defeats). If the prediction on the visitors is right again on Monday night in Valencia vs. Cadiz, odds of over 5.00 for head coach Sergio’s team will tempt you.
Valencia – Cadiz bet
With the upcoming matches on the international stage, there is no treat to watch at the end of the current matchday. For a neutral soccer fan, this match will most likely not bring too much appeal.
However, between Valencia and Cadiz, a bet on the outcome of the match can significantly increase the excitement. The clear favorite role of the home side is quite understandable, despite the direct comparison since the Andalusians were promoted again. However, the stakes should not be too high in the victory on the Baraja eleven.
We’re swimming a bit against the tide in our recommendation. There are enough statistics that suggest a game with few goals on Monday night, but we still put a bet of five units on Valencia vs. Cadiz with the forecast on the over 2.5.
