Lack of goals in Köpenick?

Dortmund don’t like to set their sat nav in the direction of the Alte Försterei. BVB have lost three of their four Bundesliga matches with the “Eisern”! The visitors have a worse away record against any other team in the German top flight.

To make matters worse from the Black & Yellows’ point of view, the hosts have also caught up recently. For the first time this season, they are unbeaten in four rounds (2-2-0). Read the following text to find out which Union Berlin vs Dortmund betting tip we have in view of this starting position and get the latest odds on top!

The current form of the two teams can be described as very similar. The yield from the past five rounds of matches is eight points each. Another current parallel is the predominantly strong defensive performances. The Berliners and Westphalians have conceded an average of just one goal in the aforementioned period

For the showdown between Union Berlin and Dortmund, the prediction of a maximum of two goals at the Wuhlheide seems promising.

Union Berlin – Statistics & current form

The upswing at Union can also be seen in the home games. The Köpenickers have gone six home matches without defeat (4-2-0). Prior to this run, they had lost four in a row in front of their own fans.

Last week’s success was mainly due to a stabilized defence. The Union side conceded just six goals in their eight league games in 2024 and have also recorded four clean sheets since the turn of the year. A number that only the high-flyers from Leverkusen and their upcoming opponents have this year

No more than one goal for BVB?

With this in mind, the prediction of a maximum of one goal for the visitors in the clash between Union Berlin and Dortmund is also worth considering. However, the home side will have to cope with a painful loss in attack. We are talking about Robin Gosens, who will not be able to play due to a card suspension

The former Inter Milan player is the hosts’ top scorer this season with six goals, which is why his absence will naturally weaken the power of Berlin’s attack. Especially in view of the fact that Union’s attack is already weak from a collective perspective. Only the two basement dwellers from Mainz and Cologne score less in the German top flight.

On average, the home side score no more than one goal per league game and are only third-last in shot conversion. The value of – 3.4 for expected goals also shows the offensive deficits of the players from the Alte Försterei

Statistics from Bjelica give Union hope

For Union coach Nenad Bjelica, the upcoming opponent is once again a good omen – at least from his time as a Bundesliga player. In this role, he faced Dortmund three times, including in the last of his 65 Bundesliga games in the service of Kaiserslautern in May 2004, and always achieved at least a draw.

Predicted line-up for Union Berlin:

Dortmund – Statistics & current form

Dortmund have been successful in recent weeks, but suffered a setback last matchday. The Westphalians lost 2:3 at home to TSG Hoffenheim. It was the first defeat in the Bundesliga since the turn of the year.

The previous success was mainly due to a solid defense. The visitors had kept a clean sheet in four of their six league games prior to the latest defeat. The interim performance in the Champions League also fit into the picture of an improved defense.

BVB recorded a respectable 1-1 draw with the “Lamps” from Eindhoven, who are unbeaten in the Dutch Eredivisie and have the best offense in the league, especially considering that the only goal they conceded was the result of a controversial penalty.

Thanks to improved defensive performances in the recent past, the visitors now have the fourth-fewest goals conceded in the Bundesliga. The figure of -6.2 for “expected” goals conceded is also only bettered by Cologne and Heidenheim

Dortmund is not a welcome guest in the Bundesliga

BVB are also strong away from home: coach Edin Terzic’s side have lost just one of their last 14 Bundesliga matches (5-8-1). In addition, only Leverkusen have conceded fewer goals away from home.

In view of the current predominantly strong defensive performances of the home and away teams, as well as a generally similar level of play in recent weeks, a draw is also worth a tip and betting odds for the clash between Union Berlin and Dortmund

Predicted Dortmund line-up:

Union Berlin – Dortmund Direct comparison / H2H result

Dortmund have only won once in the Bundesliga at the Alte Försterei. The win came in February 2022 with a 3-0 victory. The other three away matches ended in defeats for Borussia

Union Berlin – Dortmund betting tip

This clash pits two in-form teams against each other. Both teams have picked up eleven points in the six games of the second half of the season. Only three clubs have bettered that tally. A parallel can be drawn between the two teams, who have generally been reliable at the back recently.

Union and BVB have already picked up four clean sheets in 2024. In the clash between Union Berlin and Dortmund, the prediction is therefore for a maximum of two goals. This is also supported by the fact that the visitors have been particularly strong defensively away from home recently

They have won three of their four clean sheets away from home in the current calendar year. The prediction is supported by offensive absences on both sides due to card suspensions. Union are without their top scorer Robert Gosen and Borussia are without their second-best marksman Donyell Malen.

Moreover, fewer goals have almost been the norm for the home side of late anyway: seven of their eight league games in 2024 have ended in this form.