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Who will win the crisis duel?
On Sunday, February 16, 2025, Tottenham Hotspurs and Manchester United will face each other in the English Premier League. At first glance, this game looks like a real top game, because normally the two clubs play for places in the international competitions. In reality, however, this encounter is merely a duel in the back midfield. In our Tottenham vs. Manchester United prediction, we take a closer look at why the two teams are currently in such poor form.
As usual, we begin our analysis with the home and away record of the two teams, because this factor plays an extremely important role in football. However, this is not the case with these two teams, because there is no sign of any home or away strength. The Spurs only managed to win four of their twelve league home games, winning just 14 points. On the other hand, the Red Devils have only managed to win three away games.
Form-wise, however, the picture is somewhat different, because while the home side have only won three of their last eight competitive games, the away side have won six. So the momentum is currently more on the side of the away team and thus contradicts the betting odds. Here, the Tottenham vs. Manchester United tip on the double chance of the guests could be worthwhile.
Tottenham – Statistics & current form
Tottenham are having a shockingly weak season, picking up just 27 points from their first 24 league games. This means that Ange Postecoglou’s team are only in 14th place and are further away from the international places than the relegation places. In addition, the Spurs have already been knocked out of the EFL Cup and the FA Cup, leaving only the Europa League. However, the home side are among the favorites there and can still hope to qualify for the Champions League.
Tottenham with plenty of offensive power
With 78 goals in 39 competitive games (Ø 2.00), it is inexplicable how the Spurs were able to perform so poorly in three of four competitions. Furthermore, Ange Postecoglou’s team have only been without a goal of their own five times, finding the way into the opposing goal in 87% of games. At Tottenham Hotspurs Stadium, the rate is even better at 95%. In addition, the home side have five players with at least 15 scorer points, making them a dangerous force across the board. So it doesn’t seem to be an issue in offense.
Tottenham with problems in defense
If the offense performs as well as just described for long periods of the season, then the weak yield to date can only be explained by a shaky defense. With 57 goals conceded in 39 games (Ø 1.46), this assumption is confirmed. Nevertheless, Ange Postecoglou’s team have kept a clean sheet ten times already, thus conceding a goal in “only” 74% of competitive matches. While this figure is not particularly good, it is also not extremely bad. So far, the 24/25 season can only be described in one word – curious.
Expected Tottenham lineup:
Manchester United – Statistics & current form
Manchester United are having a similarly poor season to Tottenham, managing just 29 points from their first 24 PL games. This means that Ruben Amorim’s team are in 13th place in the Premier League, just ahead of Spurs. The international places are therefore also out of reach for the away team. However, the Red Devils still have a slightly better chance of being represented in Europe next season with the FA Cup and the Europa League. Whether they will succeed, however, is another matter altogether.
Manchester United lack consistency
With 63 goals in 38 competitive games (Ø 1.66), the away team’s offense is actually doing well. Nevertheless, Ruben Amorim’s team have yet to score a goal themselves, putting the ball in the opponent’s net in just 76% of games. The away team therefore does not seem to be able to regularly bring their own offensive qualities onto the pitch. This is also reflected to some extent in the individual player statistics, with only two players, Diallo and Fernandes, managing to score more than 15 points.
Manchester United with gaps in defense
While things are still going quite well on the offensive side, the Red Devils’ back line is rightly facing criticism. Conceding 52 goals in 38 games (Ø 1.37) with a back five is quite something. Nevertheless, Ruben Amorim’s team have kept a clean sheet ten times already, thus conceding a goal in “only” 74% of competitive matches. Away from home, the rate is slightly better, but still at 72%. So a clean sheet cannot be expected, especially against Spurs’ strong offense.
Predicted Manchester United line-up:
Tottenham v Manchester United head to head / H2H record
We couldn’t identify a clear favorite in the team comparison, but what about the direct comparison? Here, the visitors are clearly ahead, with the Red Devils winning 96 of 204 duels, or 47% of the matches. By comparison, Spurs have only won 56 (27%). In the recent past, however, the tide has turned, with the away team currently waiting for five meetings to win the hosts. It is therefore perfectly understandable that the Tottenham vs. Manchester United betting odds are quite even.
Tottenham – Manchester United Tip
Due to the rather balanced facts, we have decided against a 3-way bet and in favor of a goal bet. This is primarily because the two teams are not particularly strong at home or away. Moreover, the two English giants are not having a good season and are lagging behind their own expectations. Nevertheless, the two teams have plenty of offensive power and are merely struggling with their own defensive work. For this reason, we recommend the Tottenham vs. Manchester United betting tip on “both teams to score – yes” in conjunction with over 2.5 goals.
Alternatively, you can also add the Tottenham v. Manchester United odds for the double chance on the guests to your betting slip. We have decided on this recommendation based on the current form of the two teams, as the Red Devils have a clear advantage here. Especially after the successes of the last few weeks, the guest team should have more self-confidence than the hosts.