Will Arsenal secure their place in the CL in the North London derby?

The season is coming to an end with big steps, but in England there are still some catch-up games on the schedule. On Wednesday evening, an absolute classic awaits fans in the motherland of football. In north London, the two great rivals Tottenham and Arsenal face each other.

A match in which the explosiveness can hardly be put into words. On the one hand, it is a direct duel for the last Champions League starting place, on the other hand, it is THE duel par excellence for the two capital clubs. The Gunners fans have even created “St Totteringham’s Day”. This is the day when Arsenal fix that they will finish the season ahead of their local rivals. But the last time this day was achieved was in the 2015/16 season, since then Tottenham have always ended up as the best team in the north of England.

St Totterinham’s Day could be May 12 this year as the Gunners would have definitely edged out Spurs with an away win at White Hart Lane. In the Tottenham vs Arsenal clash, odds of up to a 3.45 are offered for the away win prediction. The match kicks off at 9pm on Wednesday night.

Tottenham – Statistics & current form

Did Antonio Conte and his Tottenham Hotspurs tip the scales in the battle for the English Premier League title? Last weekend, Tottenham held Jürgen Klopp and Liverpool to a 1-1 draw. A point gained, but which in the end meant a bitter setback for both teams.

The draw against the Reds means Tottenham are now four points behind local rivals Arsenal with three games to go. The situation is correspondingly precarious for Spurs, who absolutely have to win the hate duel against their neighbours to keep their CL chances intact. Even a draw will be too little from Spurs’ point of view.

Only one win from their last four league games

The results at White Hart Lane are definitely an argument in favour of the home side, but it should also be mentioned that Tottenham have only won one of their last four league games. In particular, the loss of points against Brighton & Hove Albion (0:1) and promoted Brentford (0:0) weigh heavily in the current situation.

During this period of weakness, the Spurs offered a bet on an under 2.5. In three of the last four league games this was the case. With Kane & Son, Tottenham have two players who can score out of nowhere. Given the starting situation, however, Conte’s team will choose the risk wisely, so a bet on few goals in the derby between Tottenham and Arsenal is certainly a good idea.

In addition to the recent setbacks, Conte’s personal record against the Gunners is not necessarily an encouragement. He has only managed to win one of his eight previous games against Arsenal London. This makes the Gunners Conte’s fear opponents. He has not played against any other team more than five times and has won less than 12.5 per cent of all games.

Predicted Tottenham line-up:
Lloris – Sessegnon, Davies, Romero, Dier, Emerson – Son, Bentancur, Höjbjerg, Kulusevski – Kane

Last matches played by Tottenham:

Premier League
08/05/2022 – Liverpool FC 1 – 1 Tottenham

01/05/2022 – Tottenham 3 – 1 Leicester

23/04/2022 – Brentford 0 – 0 Tottenham

16/04/2022 – Tottenham 0 – 1 Brighton

09/04/2022 – Aston Villa  0 – 4 Tottenham

Arsenal – Statistics & current form

Arsenal Football Club fans have had to endure some ups and downs this season. Whenever it was believed that the team had finally found consistency, there have been inexplicable performances. A few weeks ago, Arsenal could almost plan on a CL ticket before the Arteta eleven lost four out of five league games between mid-March and mid-April.

Arsenal back on track

What the Gunners have learned under Mikel Arteta, however, is how to deal with setbacks. The crisis was shaken off in an impressive manner by winning the last four league games. With the derbies against Chelsea and West Ham as well as a duel against Manchester United, Arsenal had tough opponents in front of them.

In addition, relegation candidates Leeds United were beaten 2-1 last weekend and now have a very good starting position in the fight for the Champions League. A win on Wednesday against their arch-rivals would be tantamount to a return to the top flight. Not only do the visitors have four wins in a row, but also the fact that they have won seven of the last nine PL away games. With such statistics, the double chance X2 bet with odds of just under 1.70 on Tottenham versus Arsenal has its charm.

Predicted Arsenal line-up:
Ramsdale – Tomiyasu, Gabriel, Holding, Soares – Elneny – Martinelli, Odegaard, Xhaka, Saka – Nketiah

Last matches played by Arsenal:

Premier League
08/05/2022 – Arsenal FC 2 – 1 Leeds

01/05/2022 – West Ham 1 – 2 Arsenal FC

23/04/2022 – Arsenal FC 3 – 1 Manchester United

21/04/2022 – Chelsea FC 2 – 4 Arsenal FC

16/04/2022 – Southampton 1 – 0 Arsenal FC

Tottenham – Arsenal Direct Comparison / H2H Balance

It was suggested at the outset that Tottenham have been above the Gunners in the recent past. This thesis is underlined once again by looking at the recent PL home games against Arsenal. Tottenham have now gone seven games without defeat at home (five wins, two draws). A home win for Spurs would be their third in a row, last achieved in 1961.

However, the first leg this season was won 3-1 at home by Arteta’s side. Should they manage another win, not only will the holiday be perfect, but the Gunners would also be victorious in both games of the season against their arch-rivals for the first time since 2013/14.

Tottenham – Arsenal Tip

What satisfaction would an away win at their arch-rivals be from the Gunners’ point of view? A win against their arch-rivals tastes sweet anyway, but if it also means Champions League qualification, that would be even sweeter. After four wins in a row, the momentum is clearly in favour of Arteta’s team. Tottenham are considered very strong at home, but one win from the last four league games is by no means outstanding. The direct comparison in recent years also does not justify the low odds on Tottenham vs Arsenal when betting on the home side.

Generally, both teams are very attacking and a high-scoring match would be quite obvious. However, due to the explosive nature and importance of this match, it is not to be expected that salvation will be sought in the offensive. Safety first will be the motto, because Arsenal in particular could live quite well with a draw. Moreover, Tottenham have finished three of their last four games with a sub 2.5. Six units are set for the under 2.5 prediction in the North London derby between Tottenham and Arsenal.