Top game at Millerntor

Actually, the top games in the Bundesliga are reserved either for the teams that are well placed in the table or at least for well-known top clubs. This weekend, however, the match between St. Pauli and Augsburg would also deserve to be called a top match in a way. In the second half of the season table, the teams are in the top two places after two match days. This makes it all the more difficult to place a bet in the three-way market between St. Pauli and Augsburg.

The fact is that the teams are bursting with self-confidence after their recent strong performances and want to climb further up the table with another win. The Kiezkicker are in 13th place, their best position this season, while the FCA have worked their way up to twelfth place and, with a little imagination, can even dream of participating in international competition again.

St. Pauli vs. Augsburg AI prediction

Adding the xG values of 1.06 for the home team and 0.94 for the away team gives you exactly 2.0 goals. Since betting odds of 2.25 are offered for the Asian Under 2, which guarantees cashback in the event of exactly two goals after 90 minutes, value can be seen in this.

St. Pauli – Statistics & current form

Alexander Blessin has been receiving a lot of praise for his work at FC St. Pauli from all sides throughout the season. The promoted team has undoubtedly proven that it can not only keep up in the Bundesliga, but also set its own accents. However, while the north Germans paid a high price on the first 17 matchdays, the “Boys in Brown” seem to be getting better and better at Bundesliga football.

St. Pauli have only won two home games this season

Most recently, Blessin’s team celebrated two league wins in a row for the first time this season. After the 2-0 win in Heidenheim and the thoroughly impressive 3-0 win at home against Union Berlin last week, the Hamburgers even top the separate second-half table with the maximum haul of six points and 5-0 goals. In the overall standings, Pauli has jumped to 13th place and is thus in the best position in the season so far. Even more important: the gap to the relegation spot is already six points.

According to St. Pauli vs. Augsburg odds, the cushion between the relegation zone could be further expanded on Saturday afternoon, because the bookmakers are giving the Hamburgers slight advantages. This assessment is certainly daring, especially since the Kiezkicker are the second-weakest home team in the Bundesliga, having won only two of nine Bundesliga home games and losing five times instead.

Although only 16 goals have been scored in the aforementioned nine matches at the Millerntor, I am not averse to making a prediction between St. Pauli and Augsburg at the weekend regarding the number of goals. Led by Morgan Guilavogui, who was involved in all three goals last week, the promoted team’s offense seems much more potent than it did before the winter break. However, I wouldn’t overestimate the fact that Hamburg are the only team not to have conceded a goal in the second half of the season, because despite their good defensive record so far, with seven clean sheets and a total of only 21 goals conceded, it should not be forgotten that their last two opponents, Heidenheim and Berlin-Köpenick, are currently almost unbeatable in terms of their play with the ball. A different task therefore awaits the cult club from the Elbe against the in-form Fuggerstadt team.

Augsburg – Statistics & current form

FC Augsburg have a great opportunity on Saturday to equal two club records. If the betting odds for an away win between St. Pauli and Augsburg are correct, this would be the fourth Bundesliga three-pointer in a row on the one hand and the third consecutive triumph away from home on the other – both club records. But before that, there are 90 intense minutes ahead, in which the team of coach Jess Thorup, who will be coaching his 50th Bundesliga game at the Millerntor, will be hoping to show the same face as in the last few match days.

Relieved Augsburg want their fourth win in a row

The Fuggerstadt team may have started the new year with a narrow 1-0 home defeat against VfB Stuttgart, but they were then able to win 2-0 at the Alte Försterei and 2-0 at Werder Bremen. Last week, they finally managed a 2-1 win against 1. FC Heidenheim, which saw the Bavarian Swabians climb to twelfth place and extend their cushion to the first relegation place to eleven (!) points. After a negative streak at the end of the first half of the season, the FCA has noticeably recovered and, above all, improved in all respects.

In view of the two clean sheet victories in Köpenick and on the Weser and the fact that Augsburg is increasingly managing to bring the quality of the individual players onto the pitch, it could well be a profitable approach to place a bet on the third FCA away win in a row. The maximum odds at LeoVegas are 3.45 and can also be played with the LeoVegas welcome bonus, for example.

In connection with the Fuggerstädter, however, a bet on three or more goals may also be considered. Over the entire season, only four Bundesliga clubs conceded more goals away from home than Augsburg (22). A total of 31 goals were scored in the Thorup team’s nine away appearances in the Bundesliga, which corresponds to an average of 3.44 goals per 90 minutes. In six of those nine cases, the over 2.5 would have been accepted. So why not in the “top game light” at the Millerntor?

St. Pauli – Augsburg Direct comparison / H2H record

The most important thing first: none of the seven previous competitive duels between these clubs ended in a goalless draw. So, with a view to history, goals are virtually pre-programmed. It is also exciting that although St. Pauli won all four away games at FC Augsburg, they did not lose at home at Millerntor in the other three matches (2-1-0). There were already far more goals than expected in the first leg. The Fuggerstadt team won 3-1 at home in mid-September – all four goals came after the break.

St. Pauli – Augsburg betting tip

The league leaders face their closest pursuers. This is exactly the case for the St. Pauli v Augsburg tie, if you take the second half of the season table as a yardstick. Both the Kiezkicker and the Fuggerstädter started the second half of the season with two wins and now want to continue their winning streak in the direct duel. The bookmakers see the home side slightly ahead, but I would rather bet on the guest, especially since Hamburg have only won two of nine home games so far and have already lost the first leg 1-3. The FCA also travel to the Elbe with the recommendation of two clean sheets in away games.

On the other hand, anyone who rejects a bet on the three-way market should take a closer look at the odds for Over 2.5. Although many statistics point to a low-scoring match, the teams are brimming with self-confidence and have improved significantly in terms of efficiency compared to the first half of the season.