Can Sevilla get revenge for their cup exit?
Difficult week in England for Atletico Madrid. Just three days after the semi-final first leg against Athletic Bilbao, Atletico travel to Andalusia to face Sevilla FC at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan on Sunday. Sevilla will no doubt be looking for a bit of revenge, as this pairing took place just over two weeks ago in the quarter-finals of the Copa del Rey – Atletico narrowly came out on top and knocked Sevilla out of the cup
The odds on the various outcomes of the traditional Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid duel are exciting, as Atletico is the slight favorite with the betting providers with a German license, but the difficult guest game in Sevilla will not be a sure-fire success. That wasn’t the case in the cup game and Atletico are playing in front of a home crowd
Now at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan, the task is likely to be a little tougher, as Sevilla have gained confidence this week while Atletico have suffered a setback. In this Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid preview, we take a look at why Atletico Madrid could also stumble in Sevilla, what’s in Sevilla’s favor, the starting positions and form curves of both teams as well as the last matches, including betting odds, predictions, betting tips and team checks for both clubs
Sevilla – Statistics & current form
Not only Atletico Madrid were in action during the week, but Sevilla FC were too – as the Andalusians had to play the Monday game last matchday. At Rayo Vallecano, the Sevillanos secured a hugely important victory in the relegation battle. Sevilla won 2:1 in Madrid and thus gained some breathing space in the tight relegation race. However, they are still just three points clear of the red zone, so a defeat against Atletico and corresponding results from their rivals could see Sevilla slip back below the bottom line
Weak home record: Sevilla FC want a third home win against Atletico
The 2-1 win at Rayo was the second victory under Quique Sanchez Flores, now the third coach of the season. After the opening win under his management at Granada, Sevilla had to wait four league games for their next three-pointer, three of which they lost. And the 1-1 draw against Osasuna at home at the end of January also felt like a defeat, as Sevilla once again failed to hold on to a lead and dropped important points.
This has happened more frequently in home games in La Liga and the Champions League, with Sevilla only winning two home games this season – in a total of 15 home games in all competitions. Only two teams have won less often in La Liga, with eleven points in twelve league home games being the fourth worst in Spain’s top flight.
However, those who believe in a second win in a row after the success at Rayo and thus a third home win will find odds averaging 3.50 for Sevilla v Atletico Madrid.
Predicted Sevilla line-up:
Atletico Madrid – Statistics & current form
Picking the opponent to win at home is of course associated with a certain risk when Atletico are in action. On the other hand, the Rojiblancos are also playing away from home on Sunday and not at home, where they are a home power in La Liga. It’s a different story away from home: Atletico have only managed to win four of their eleven away games and have already conceded five defeats. In view of this record, the betting tip for at least the double chance 1X in Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid appears in a different light
Atletico Madrid’s many tough English weeks in a row – are they running out of steam in Sevilla?
The many English weeks since the start of the year have been increasingly hard on the Rojiblancos, and the fixture list is anything but easy. First the Supercopa derby against Real Madrid (3:5 n.V.), followed by the Copa derby against the Blancos (4:2 n.V.), then the cup match against Sevilla (1:0), the league derby against Madrid (1:1) and now another tough cup match against Athletic Bilbao on Thursday – which was promptly lost 0:1. The Atletico team’s workload is particularly heavy these weeks, will the Rojiblancos run out of steam in Sevilla? They already suffered their first home defeat of the season against Bilbao and have not looked good away from home recently. Atletico have only won one of their last six away games in La Liga.
However, Sevilla have not yet managed two wins in a row. If you believe in a stumbling Atletico, but not necessarily a defeat, you should aim for a draw in Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid
Predicted line-up of Atletico Madrid:
Sevilla – Atletico Madrid head-to-head comparison / H2H record
A draw would not exactly be helpful for either team in view of their situation in the table, however, as they need three points in the fight against relegation and for the top flight. Atletico have conceded four times in a row in this clash, meaning Sevilla have lost four games in a row and failed to score in three of them. The Andalusians have not beaten Simeone’s side in five games and have only won two of their last ten encounters.
The overall record in direct comparisons also favors Atletico, who have won 72 of their 181 matches. 54 games ended in draws, Sevilla FC won 55 times
Sevilla – Atletico Madrid betting tip
Can Sevilla win after four defeats against Atletico and thus take revenge for their recent cup exit? In the relegation battle, that would be a real exclamation mark against the fourth-placed team in the table, who have kept up very well against Real Madrid twice recently in the cup and league. The big question is whether Sevilla have the necessary stability and cool-headedness to do so – they have rarely done so this season. Quique Sanchez Flores’ team are regularly too easy to beat, especially defensively
Goals on both sides could therefore be an obvious tip in this traditional duel, which is too tricky for us to predict in the three-way, as we expect another hard-fought game that could well end in a draw, just like in the cup. We are also betting on this – not after 90 minutes, however, but at the break. Our prediction for Sevilla v Atletico Madrid is that both teams will go into the half-time break tied
