Is Valencia too weak away from home for Real Madrid?
The Whites can breathe a sigh of relief. Despite losing to Real Sociedad, they still managed to get their ticket for the 2024/25 Copa del Rey final in extra time. The “Blancos” will face FC Barcelona in the final of the Spanish cup competition. For the time being, however, the focus is on the league competition. As part of Matchday 30 in La Liga, the Whites are due to play host to Valencia this weekend. Our Real Madrid vs. Valencia prediction is for a home win.
Since August 2017, the Madrilenians have won each of the last six home games against Valencia. The last time the bats visited Madrid, Real even managed to win by a landslide. Carlo Ancelotti’s team swept “Los Che” out of the Bernabeu with a 5-1 victory. A win of this magnitude cannot be ruled out this time either.
The visitors have recently performed poorly on foreign soil and have not won a single away game in the current league season. With a record of 0-7-7, Valencia is even one of the weakest away teams in the league. It is therefore obvious to place a forecast on the “Royals” for Real Madrid vs. Valencia.
Real Madrid – Statistics & current form
Real Madrid only just avoided a home defeat in the Copa del Rey semi-finals. In the first leg, the La Liga runners-up won 1-0 in the Basque Country. The defeat in the second leg at home was therefore all the more surprising. At one point, Real Madrid were even 3-1 down and would have been almost eliminated from the semi-final in normal time.
Jude Bellingham & Co. ultimately managed the comeback. Rüdiger became the match winner in extra time with his header after being set up by Arda Güler. The next league game is now coming up on Saturday evening. As Barcelona’s pursuers, Real Madrid have no leeway for rotation – even with the Champions League quarter-finals coming up next week.
The “Blancos” are under pressure to win at home against Valencia. In the current league competition, the Madrilenians have only lost once at the Bernabeu. Real Madrid has a record of 12-1-1 and thus had the best points average at home. In these 14 meetings, Carlo Ancelotti’s team scored a total of 36 goals.
Will the Madrilenians draw level with FCB on points?
If the Whites win at home against the bats, Real Madrid will initially draw level with their championship rivals from Barcelona, who are currently at the top of the table. The Catalans do not play until Saturday evening. The home game comes at a convenient time for Real Madrid. After all, the head-to-head also speaks in favor of the “Blancos”.
The last six home duels against Valencia were won in the league. If you want to place a bet on Real Madrid vs. Valencia this time, you can use the betting apps of the betting providers. The Saturday game in the Spanish top flight is also available from the bookmakers as a live game with many other betting options.
Carlo Ancelotti has to do without five players due to injury in the upcoming encounter. There are currently no other personnel concerns at Real Madrid. Compared to the team that played against Real Sociedad in the cup during the week, no major changes are expected.
Valencia – Statistics & current form
Valencia have not lost in their last four league games since losing to Atlético Madrid. The bats climbed to 15th place in the Spanish top flight. “Los Che” have a record of 2-2-0 in these four meetings. Both victories came at home. Away from home, however, Valencia continue to fall short of expectations.
The team of head coach Carlos Corberan is still winless after 14 away games in the current league season. With seven points from these 14 matches, Valencia CF is statistically the third-weakest away team in La Liga. Only Espanyol (5) and Valladolid (3) have picked up fewer points than the Valencia bats.
It is therefore understandable that the 15th-placed team is the underdog in the encounter at Real Madrid, the team with the strongest home record in the Spanish top flight. They have already suffered a bitter defeat on foreign soil against FC Barcelona. The score was seven goals to one in the bat’s goal.
Will Valencia’s winning streak end this week?
A heavy defeat against Real Madrid is not out of the question. Although Valencia have not lost in their last four league games, it is more than risky to bet on Valencia getting a point against Real Madrid. Betting fans who still want to take a chance on it can use the Bwin new customer bonus. There is also a odds boost for selected betting options.
Carlos Corberan has to do without five players against Real Madrid. Among others, the yellow-carded Foulquier, Gayà and also Rioja are missing. Carlos Corberan is therefore forced to make a number of changes to the starting eleven.
In the 14 away matches in the current league season, Valencia have already conceded 28 goals – an average of two goals per game. Betting against this is also an obvious option against the concentrated offensive of the royals. Valencia already lost 1-2 to Real Madrid in the first leg.
Real Madrid – Valencia Direct comparison / H2H record
This will be the 200th time the two clubs have met. The Madrilenians lead the direct comparison against Valencia with a record of 106-41-52. In the first leg of the current season, Real won 2-1 against the bats and thus remained unbeaten against Valencia for the third time in a row. In these three encounters, Real Madrid scored nine goals against “Los Che”.
A high-scoring match is also on the cards in the second half of the season. For bets on over 2.5 goals, there are currently only odds in the 1.50 range anyway.
Real Madrid vs. Valencia tip
Real Madrid, as Barcelona’s pursuers in La Liga, are under pressure to win. The royals are three points behind the Catalans and can draw level on points for the time being on Saturday. Their title rival is not playing until Saturday evening. The home game against Valencia suits Carlo Ancelotti’s team well.
The team in second place has won each of their last six home league games against Valencia. It is quite possible that the winning streak will continue on Saturday evening. Valencia is one of the weakest away teams in the league and has not yet won a single league game on foreign soil.
Our Real Madrid vs. Valencia betting tip is based on odds of 1.66 for “HT/FT: 1/1”. We are betting five units for our prediction. AdmiralBet is currently offering the best odds for our betting tip. Alternatively, bets on Over 2.5 goals are also recommended. The three-goal mark has been broken in the last three head-to-heads.
