Rayo Vallecano to tarnish Real Madrid’s unblemished home record?
After the Clásico triumph comes the small city derby: Real Madrid celebrated a late 2-1 win at arch-rivals FC Barcelona last weekend, and now the league leaders welcome Rayo Vallecano to the Santiago Bernabeu on Sunday evening. Three points against the small team from the Madrid district of Vallecas are of course firmly on the agenda, and the win against rivals Barça should give them a boost for the next few duels, in which the record champions will not want to show any weaknesses
While the betting odds for Real Madrid v Rayo Vallecano speak for themselves, the Whites should not make the mistake of underestimating their smaller rivals with the Clasico victory behind them. Not only have Rayo only lost once away from home so far, but last season the underdogs even surprisingly defeated the big favorites
Real should be warned by their performance in Vallecas at least, but they are still the clear favorites, especially as it is a home game. Real Madrid have an unblemished record at the Bernabeu this season. The tendency in this game is clear – this preview of the match will take a closer look at which exciting bets you can place
Real Madrid – Statistics & current form
How much of a boost will the win in the Clasico at FC Barcelona give the Whites? The performance was at times very manageable, but the result was all the better in the end – once again Jude Bellingham was the guarantor of victory with his brace, including a late winner in stoppage time. The Englishman now has 10 goals in 10 games in La Liga. This naturally makes him the top scorer, with Bellingham averaging a goal every 85 minutes – no other player has a better goals-per-minute average.
It would therefore come as no surprise if the ex-BVB star were to score again against Rayo. The odds for Real Madrid v Rayo Vallecano are 2.20, although these can of course vary from provider to provider
Will Real Madrid win against Rayo without conceding a goal?
It’s possible that the decisive and late Bellingham goal won’t be needed this time, as Real Madrid’s home record is perfect so far: four games, four wins – and Real have only conceded two goals. Last season, Real Madrid conceded just 16 goals in 19 home games. As the odds of 1.30 for Real Madrid to win at home against Rayo Vallecano are not particularly rich, it may be worth combining the win tip. Real Madrid to win without conceding a goal is priced at 2.15 at Bwin. We think this is a prediction for Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano that offers good value given the home strength of the home side.
Predicted Real Madrid line-up:
Rayo Vallecano – Statistics & current form
However, it is important to bear in mind that Rayo Vallecano have performed very well away from home so far this season. In six away games, Rayo have picked up three wins and two draws, giving them eleven points; only two teams in La Liga have picked up more away points. Remarkably, all three victories away from home came with a clean sheet (2-0 at Almeria, 2-0 at Granada, 1-0 at Las Palmas).
At the same time, however, Rayo have only scored seven goals in their six away games. Can the underdogs from the Vallecas district also upset the big Real Madrid? If you believe so, you will find high odds for Real Madrid against Rayo Vallecano. The draw is endowed with high odds of five in some cases, while there are odds of 10.00 on the visitors to win
Rayo recently won twice against Real Madrid
If you believe that Rayo can take something away from the Bernabeu, but want to minimize the risk, you should aim for the double chance X/2 in view of the high odds. For Real Madrid against Rayo Vallecano, the bet on this is valued at odds of 3. And after all: Rayo not only beat Real Madrid at home last season, but twice in the last five duels – even if both were home wins.
Predicted line-up of Rayo Vallecano:
Real Madrid – Rayo Vallecano head-to-head comparison / H2H result
Looking at the most recent head-to-head comparison, we can see that there have been no draws recently. Real Madrid have won eight of their last ten games, with two Rayo victories. It is extremely remarkable that the last time the two sides shared points was over 23 years ago in March 2002. Since then, there have been 24 duels and not a single draw – and only three wins for Rayo.
The overall record speaks for itself: there have been 42 encounters so far, of which Real Madrid have won the vast majority (32 games). That compares to three draws and seven Rayo victories.
We are also not necessarily inclined to bet on a draw as the final score for Real Madrid against Rayo Vallecano, but the bet could possibly be made at half-time
Real Madrid – Rayo Vallecano betting tip
Best home team with an unblemished record against the third-best away team – the little Madrid derby could therefore be entertaining. If only because Rayo like to act boldly and not hide – which could and should benefit Real Madrid in attack, of course
It would be a big surprise if Real Madrid were to lose the points at home to Rayo after their Clasico triumph and fail to take all three points at the Bernabeu for the first time this season.
We therefore believe that Rayo will be bold as usual, that Real will know how to exploit the space and that they will score goals. Accordingly, we are predicting Real Madrid against Rayo Vallecano: The league leaders don’t show any weakness and win, but more than 2.5 goals are scored in the process.
