Real’s crisis mood meets Osasuna’s self-confidence
Crisis at the champions: After two heavy home defeats in a row, the house of Real Madrid is in a mighty mess. On Saturday at 2 p.m., the Blancos will be out for redemption when they face CA Osasuna at the Santiago Bernabeu. After two home defeats against Barcelona and Milan, the crowd expects a convincing performance and a home win. This is also expected by the betting providers with a German license, at least if you look at the Real Madrid vs. Osasuna odds. In any case, the Real crisis has no effect on these.
Real Madrid – Statistics & current form
“The nightmare continues. Madrid, who failed in the Clasico, repeated their disaster against Milan,” wrote the Madrid sports newspaper AS on Wednesday after Real Madrid had suffered their next heavy defeat. The 4-0 defeat in the Clasico against arch-rivals Barcelona was bad enough, but the team and fans had expected a reaction in the Champions League against AC Milan – but this did not materialize. On the contrary: it almost got worse. In the end, the 3-1 defeat was the second home defeat in a row and the second “disaster”.
Real Madrid are in crisis, the Spanish sports papers agree. Only Luka Modric, however, disagrees. “It’s not a crisis, that’s not a word I like to use. I’m sure we’ll bounce back,” the Real captain told the UEFA website.
0:4 against Barcelona, 1:3 against Milan: Real Madrid in crisis
The performances have not been impressive all season, but Real Madrid have often saved themselves with late goals, individual performances or comebacks – or because the opponent did not score, as against Stuttgart (3:1), Celta Vigo (2:1) or Real Sociedad (2:0), all of which could have had a completely different outcome. Now, however, the Ancelotti team has been mercilessly exposed twice, revealing various problems. The interplay between Mbappé, Vinicius and Bellingham continues to falter, with star newcomer Mbappé in particular “squeaking like a violin in this rock and roll band”, as the magazine SPORT writes.
Will there be a fightback against Osasuna, or will the Rojillos expose the weaknesses of the Blancos as well? Those who believe in the latter will find betting odds of up to 4.95 on the double chance X2 for Real Madrid vs. Osasuna, for example at NEO.bet. To minimize the risk with this tip, it’s worth checking which online bookmakers are currently offering freebets and free bets.
Osasuna – Statistics & current form
The Real Madrid vs. Osasuna betting tip that the guests will win a point is extremely lucrative, as Real Madrid are in a worse state than ever before. But what about Osasuna’s form? The Rojillos have won their last two games – both times keeping a clean sheet. The 2-0 win at Real Sociedad was followed by a 1-0 home win against Valladolid.
With six wins and 21 points already this season, Osasuna is the surprise team of the season. The northern Spanish team from the city of bullfighters are in fifth place with 21 points – and are thus only three points behind Real Madrid!
Osasuna in 5th place: Rojillos are the surprise team of La Liga
But the Rojillos earn the vast majority of their points at home in El Sadar. With 16 points, they are the team with the strongest home defense in the league, and even FC Barcelona suffered their first and only defeat here. They have only managed five points away from home: they have not yet recorded an away win and have scored four goals away from home, the third-fewest in the league. So Osasuna still has plenty of room for improvement here.
What doesn’t speak in favor of Osasuna at all, though, is the most recent head-to-head record – because it speaks for itself…
Real Madrid – Osasuna direct comparison / H2H record
The last time Osasuna beat Real Madrid was in 2011, when they won 1-0 at home. Real Madrid have not lost in their last 19 league games and 21 games overall against Osasuna. However, there have been a few draws, five in total.
Osasuna’s last away win at the Bernabeu was 20 years ago, when the Rojillos beat the champions 3-0 in April 2004. Last season, Real scored four goals in both encounters, winning easily 4-0 at home and 4-2 in Pamplona.
Real Madrid – Osasuna Tip
Historically, the duels have been a clear-cut affair recently. But the chances of taking anything away from the Bernabeu were rarely higher. Osasuna, in fifth place in the table and with two wins under their belt, are coming to the Bernabeu full of confidence, while the Madrilenians are completely lacking in spirit after two painful home defeats.
Those who present themselves bravely in Madrid, defend attentively and take their chances can also conquer the Bernabeu, as Barcelona and Milan have shown. But in the end, Osasuna lacks the individual quality that Real has – even if the Blancos are not functioning well as a team at the moment. Because we find it extremely difficult to imagine three home defeats in a row or three home games without a win, we are backing the favorites to win. However, not without conceding a goal, after all, Real is anything but stable. Therefore, our final Real Madrid vs. Osasuna prediction is: Real Madrid to win and both teams to score.
