Celebrate the Franjirrojos staying in the league?
Granada CF’s comeback came too late and fizzled out too quickly. After two more defeats in a row and a total of 7-0 goals, the Andalusians are now 13 points off the drop zone with just three games remaining and are second only to UD Almería for relegation. Meanwhile, the hosts could potentially secure early relegation in this Wednesday evening game if tip 1 pans out for Rayo Vallecano against Granada
Cadiz – currently 18th in the table – are six points behind Rayo Vallecano and still have a chance of overtaking the Franjirrojos. However, if Cadiz do not win their away game in Seville, the team from the Vallecas district of Madrid would already be through if Rayo Vallecano’s prediction of a point for the home team against Granada comes true. On the other hand, if Cadiz win at home at the same time, a lot would have to come together for the six-point lead not to be enough in the end
Rayo Vallecano now have a great opportunity to put a spanner in the works with a home win against Granada CF in what has been a complicated season overall, losing just two of their last seven league games (two wins, three draws). However, the Franjirrojos have failed to score in five of their last six league games – including the last three games in a row.
Although we find the greatest value in betting tip 1, there are good reasons to bet on under 2.5 goals instead, given the lack of offensive power of the team from Vallecas. Bet3000 is offering odds of 1.75 for this.
Rayo Vallecano – Statistics & current form
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid returned to Spain’s top flight in the summer of 2021. Here, the Franjirrojos initially had no increased relegation worries for two years in a row. Both the 2021/22 and 2022/23 seasons ended in twelfth place in the final table.
However, the new season got off to a strong start for the Capitals, who finished in seventh place after matchday 11. However, things went increasingly downhill in the course of a negative run around the turn of the year
Rayo Vallecano with a strong record against Granada
In mid-February, those responsible even pulled the ripcord on the coach’s chair and hired a new manager in the form of 36-year-old Iñigo Pérez. With eleven points from eleven league games, there has been no real lasting turnaround since then.
However, the Franjirrojos have at least only lost two of their last seven league games (two wins, three draws). As a result, the odds are now also in favor of the Madrilenians in Rayo Vallecano v Granada, who are unbeaten against the visitors from Andalusia in ten league games (eight wins, two draws).
Rayo Vallecano are weak at home and offensively
However, the home win will not be a foregone conclusion, as it would probably only be a formality even if Cadiz win in the parallel game in Sevilla. After all, Rayo Vallecano are extremely weak at home. Only Almeria (eight) have scored fewer points at home than the Madilene side (17).
What’s more, the Vallecas side have lacked offensive penetration time and time again. The only 16 home goals are the second lowest in La Liga behind Mallorca (15). The defensive stability regained under Pérez also came at the expense of the attack. This is also shown by the fact that the Franjirrojos have gone goalless in five of their last six league games…
Predicted Rayo Vallecano line-up:
Granada – Statistics & current form
Granada Club de Fútbol won the La Liga 2 championship last summer ahead of Las Palmas and Alaves. In contrast to the two promoted teams, however, the Nazaríes struggled to return to the top flight of Spanish soccer. Graná have been in a direct relegation spot since matchday 5.
And a return to the second tier is now a sad reality. With three games left to play and nine points up for grabs, the Andalusians are already 13 points adrift of safety, which is impossible to make up
The upswing only lasted a very short time
Those responsible also tried to force a turnaround with a change of coach in the spring. After a short start-up period, José Ramón Sandoval actually led to a brief period of strength, during which seven out of nine possible points were scored.
However, this was followed by two defeats in a row with a total of 0:7 goals, which sealed Graná’s fate. It can therefore be said that the comeback came far too late and was too short-lived to turn things around after a generally weak season
Granada are weak away from home and too susceptible to conceding goals
One of the main reasons for their relegation is the Nazaríes’ weakness on the road. No other team in La Liga has scored as few points away from home as Granada CF (just three), who are winless in 17 La Liga games away from home in the 2023/24 season (three draws, 14 defeats).
To make matters worse, no other club has conceded as many away goals as Graná. The Andalusians have conceded 38 goals in 17 games away from home, with only bottom club Almeria (70) bettering their total of 68 goals conceded. Accordingly, there is little to suggest that the bet on Rayo Vallecano’s first away win of the 2023/24 season against Granada will work out.
Predicted line-up of Granada:
Rayo Vallecano – Granada head-to-head comparison / H2H record
Head to head: 15 – 5 – 3
A total of 23 meetings have taken place between the two teams so far and with 15 wins and a win rate of 65.2 percent, the duel was predominantly in the hands of Rayo Vallecano. The Franjirrojos are currently unbeaten in ten competitive matches against Granada CF (eight wins, two draws) and also won the first leg in Andalusia 2-0.
Rayo Vallecano – Granada betting tip
All in all, we tend to predict a home win for the Franjirrojos against Granada in Rayo Vallecano, who could thus already wrap up their stay in the league on Wednesday evening. The club from the Madrid district of Vallecas are currently unbeaten in ten league games against the Andalusians (eight wins, two draws). Nazaríes have already been relegated alongside Almeria and are the weakest away team in La Liga. Accordingly, the home side have a good chance of putting a tick in the box for the 2023/24 season with a home win
It should be noted, however, that the Franjirrojos have struggled to score goals at times. In five of their last six league games, the Madilenians have not scored a goal of their own. Moreover, their 16 home goals are the second lowest in La Liga. However, because the Andalusians have the weakest away defense, we think it should still be enough in the end.
We therefore recommend betting tip 1, for which betting odds of 1.70 are offered for Rayo Vallecano against Granada. At Betano we play this bet with four out of ten units
