Rayo derby in Madrid!
Rayo will be looking forward to the “Little Derby” in Madrid against Atletico with mixed feelings. The home side have been waiting for their next win against their city rivals for more than ten years! The visitors also travel in a stable condition.
They have won consistently for four rounds of matches and qualification for the Champions League is looking more and more concrete for the current third in La Liga. They are already nine points clear of fifth-placed Betis, who were also beaten recently.
For the clash at the Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas between Rayo Vallecano and Atletico Madrid, the tip includes less than 2.5 goals.
Rayo Vallecano – Statistics & current form
Rayo are still fighting for participation in the international business, but the last few weeks have not been very successful. For seven rounds of matches, the players from Vallecas have been waiting for the next success.
Against Atletico, the Red and Whites can only rely on home advantage to a limited extent. Although coach Andoni Iraola’s team have only lost three of their 13 home matches, they have only managed five victories (5-5-3). With this result, the “Franjirrojos” occupy no more than 13th place in the La Liga home rankings.
Furthermore, Rayo’s home games have not been high-scoring lately. Five of the last seven matches in front of their home crowd ended with a maximum of two goals. In addition, the home side is very concentrated, at least until half-time. They have only trailed in four of their 13 home games.
New draw at the break?
In view of this, the betting and odds on a draw at the break tea in the clash between Rayo Vallecano and Atletico Madrid are also worth considering. This scenario has already been observed in six of the 13 home matches.
On top of that, the prediction is supported by a similar statistic of the guests in their away matches: Eight of the 13 away games went with a draw at half-time! Only Villarreal and the upcoming opponents also come to this high number in their away games.
Last matches played by Rayo Vallecano:
La Liga
04/04/2023 – Valencia 1 – 1 Rayo Vallecano
18/03/2023 – Rayo Vallecano 2 – 2 Girona
12/03/2023 – Celta Vigo 3 – 0 Rayo Vallecano
06/03/2023 – Rayo Vallecano 0 – 0 Athletic Bilbao
25/02/2023 – Cadiz 1 – 0 Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid – Statistics & current form
Atletico remain unbeaten in league action in 2023 (3-2-0). Coach Diego Simeone’s visiting eleven is also very strong away from home: no more than two of the 13 away games were lost from the perspective of the “mattress makers” (8-3-2).
Only the champions Real Madrid and Barcelona score better away from home. The successes in the away games are usually achieved by the third-placed team in the last edition of La Liga through very strong defensive performances.
Madrid conceded only eight goals in their league away games – again a top figure that only FCB can beat. In view of this, the prediction and odds on an away win to nil in the match between Rayo Vallecano and Atletico Madrid are also worth considering.
Away wins for Madrid without conceding a goal are almost the norm
No less than seven of the eight away wins recorded have been accompanied by a clean sheet from the visitors! The country’s eleven-time champions can also rely on Antoine Griezmann and Alvaro Morata in the attack this season.
The two strikers have already registered 19 goals in the current edition of La Liga. The first-mentioned Frenchman has also been very successful as an assist provider with eight assists – the best record in a league-wide comparison.
Last matches played by Atletico Madrid:
La Liga
03/04/2023 – Atletico Madrid 1 – 0 Real Betis
19/03/2023 – Atletico Madrid 3 – 0 Valencia
14/03/2023 – Girona 0 – 1 Atletico Madrid
05/03/2023 – Atletico Madrid 6 – 1 Sevilla FC
26/02/2023 – Real Madrid 1 – 1 Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano – Atletico Madrid Direct comparison / H2H record
Last season’s 12th-placed team in La Liga and Atletico drew 1-1 in the first leg, with the draw keeping the visitors unbeaten in league action and the Copa del Rey for the 13th consecutive season (10-3-0) in this pairing.
Rayo’s last win came in February 2013, when Colombian Falcao, now 37 and enjoying his reprieve with the hosts, scored Madrid’s only goal in a 2-1 defeat at Atletico.
Rayo Vallecano – Atletico Madrid Tip
For the clash between Rayo Vallecano and Atletico Madrid, the betting and odds on less than 2.5 goals seem profitable. The “Colchoneros” concede the second fewest goals in the league and Rayo’s defence is quite secure at home, conceding around one goal.
The prediction is also based on the fact that the attack of the “Vallecanos” is again capable of improvement and this judgement can equally be made for the attack of the visitors in their guest games. Due to the combination of a very solid defence and a rather subdued attack in the away games, the three-time Europa League winners’ away games are low-scoring.
Only three of the 13 away games ended with more than two goals – the second lowest number after Osasuna. Moreover, only 1.9 goals are scored on average in the away games of the third-placed team: Once again, this figure is undercut by Osasuna alone.
